1. Drought 2012: Impact and Implications for Animal Agriculture
John D. Lawrence
Iowa State University

2. Overview
History
Cattle
Hogs, poultry and dairy
Implications
Response

3. Forecast

4. BEEF COWS THAT CALVED, JANUARY 1, 2012, (1000 Head)

5. Livestock Marketing Information Center
Data Source: USDA-NASS

7. 2002
2006

9. Cattle Summary Poor range and pasture Moving cattle more difficult now
Hay supplies short and being used
More silage and crop residue
Cash flow and equity challenges
Shrink an already small herd
Excess capacity in feedlots and packers

14. Forecast

15. Hog, Poultry, Dairy Summary
Driven by corn price
Not covering variable cost at times
Cash flow and equity challenge
Consolidation likely
Counter-party risk for growers

16. Overall Summary Producers search for alternative feeds
Herd and flock reduction
Poultry and hogs respond quicker
Higher prices for consumers
Further consolidation of industries
Reduced livestock and poultry income

17. Response Role for Extension Help improve access to feeds
Help facilitate emergency response
Financial and stress counseling
Recognize the drought’s long tail
Plan for continued or next drought
Plan for life after drought