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Ad hoc surveys and measuring the non-observed economy in

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1 Ad hoc surveys and measuring the non-observed economy in
Agenda item 1b UNECE-EUROSTAT-OECD meeting on national accounts: session for transition economies Geneva, 21 April 2008 Ad hoc surveys and measuring the non-observed economy in Western Balkan countries David Roberts, OECD

2 EUROSTAT-EFTA-OECD NOE project for Western Balkan countries
Two phases: Phase I: September 2004 to January 2006; funded by Eurostat; carried out by statistical agencies of WBC in consultation with the OECD Phase II: January 2007 to February 2008; funded by EFTA; carried out by statistical agencies of WBC in consultation with Statistics Norway and the OECD

3 OBJECTIVES Apply the Eurostat tabular approach to exhaustiveness to: Production account (Phase I & II) Expenditure account (Phase II) Estimate output of owner-occupied dwellings by the user cost approach (Phase I & II) Make estimates of output and value added from illegal activities (Phase II) Carry out ad hoc surveys (Phase I & II)

4 NOE adjustment (% of GDP) in 2005
SUMMARY RESULTS Country NOE adjustment (% of GDP) in 2005 Albania 41.7 Bosnia Herzegovina 7.2 Croatia 9.0 FYR of Macedonia 22.7 Montenegro 5.5 Serbia 13.5

5 AD HOC SURVEYS: TOPICS Individual agricultural producers (FOSBiH, MONSTAT) Individual construction (SIRS) Construction firms (SOK) Hotels & restaurants (FOSBiH) Tourism (MONSTAT) Unincorporated enterprises in healthcare activities (SIRS) H/hold expenditure on healthcare, education & tips (RSOS) Prostitution (CBS) Remittances from abroad received by resident h/holds & expenditure abroad by resident h/holds (RSOS)

6 AD HOC SURVEYS: ADJUSTMENTS (% of GDP)
Individual agricultural producers - FOSBiH: % Individual agricultural producers - MONSTAT: % Hotels & restaurants – FOSBiH: % Tourism – MONSTAT: % H/hold expenditure on healthcare, education & tips –RSOS: % Prostitution – CBS: % Remittances from abroad received by resident h/holds – RSOS: %

7 AD HOC SURVEYS: SOME LESSONS LEARNT
Surveys do not have to be random samples, selection can be purposive; innovation should be encouraged Having a household budget survey infrastructure in place is an advantage – sampling frame, interviews, modules Need to cross-check against other sources & to adjust or discard survey results for inconsistencies or ”bias” Useful to share & compare results with countries having similar economies

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