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Changing International Financial Environment

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Presentation on theme: "Changing International Financial Environment"— Presentation transcript:

1 Changing International Financial Environment
From Jim O’Neill’s, Chairman, Goldman Sachs Asset Management Presentation at the City Week London, 7 February 2012 1

2 Country Classification by 2010 GDP Share
Bangladesh Egypt Iran Nigeria Pakistan Philippines Vietnam Mexico Korea Turkey Indonesia World Growth Markets Turkey 1% Korea 2% Mexico 2% India 2% Russia 3% Brazil 3% China 9% Emerging Markets 12% Growth Markets 23% Indonesia 1% Developed Markets 65% Source: GSAM

3 GDP Forecasts

4 Change in US$ Size of GDP from 2011 to 2020
Source: GS Global ECS Research. GSAM Calculations

5 Share of Global GDP in 2020 Source: GS Global ECS Research. GSAM Calculations

6 Growth Market / Emerging Market Split 2050 Forcast
Source: GS Global ECS Research. GSAM Calculations

7 GES For Growth Markets (and US)
Source: GS Global ECS Research

8 Budget Deficits and Government Debt in Advanced Economies
Note, data are 2011 estimates apart from EMU gross govt. debt which is for 2010 Source: IMF and Eurostat

9 Budget Balances and Government Debt in the Growth Markets
Note, data are 2011 estimates Source: IMF

10 Current Estimates for the Equity Risk Premium*
Source: GSAM Calculations


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