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Math 220: Elementary Statistics

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1 Math 220: Elementary Statistics
Ty Darensburg-Crane, MS

2 Introductions & Syllabus
From New Orleans, LA Education Bachelor’s in Mathematics and Computer Science from Xavier University of Louisiana Master’s in Biostatistics from Emory University +10 years educational experience Math software company Teaching HS to graduate school level Director of Math XU Important notes from the Syllabus

3 Chp 1: The Nature of Probability & Statistics
Statistics: science of conducting studies to collect, organize, summarize, analyze and draw conclusions from data Why study statistics? If you have to conduct research of your own or prepare a report To read and understand studies performed in your field To be a better informed consumer and citizen

4 Terminology Variable: characteristic that can assume different values (i.e. age, height, etc.) Data: values that variables can assume (variables whose values are determined by chance are called random variables) What would be an example of a random variable? Gender Value of a fair die thrown, etc.

5 Stats…not just numbers
Data Qualitative Quantitative Discrete Continuous Variables and Types of Data: Quantitative: numerical data Qualitative: variables that can be placed in categories

6 Statistics is more than just numbers…
Quantitative: numerical data “think quantity” Discrete: can be counted (i.e. age) Continuous: assume an infinite number of values, and often include fractions and decimals (i.e. weight) Qualitative: variables that can be placed into distinct categories, sometimes called categorical

7 Classify the following data
Quantitative or Qualitative? Number of children in a family Quantitative Discrete Gender Qualitative Time taken to run a mile Continuous

8 Collecting data A popular way to collect data - survey
Three major types are telephone, mailed questionnaire, and personal interview: Telephone Advantages: not costly, anonymous feel Disadvantages: do not reach unlisted numbers, people do not answer Mailed Questionnaire Advantages: can cover wider geographic area, not expensive, anonymous Disadvantages: people do not open mail or return surveys

9 Collecting Data Three major types are telephone, mailed questionnaire, and personal interview: Personal interview Advantages: in-depth responses Disadvantages: not time/cost effective, interviewers must be trained in asking questions/recording responses, bias

10 Population v. Sample It can be impossible to include the entire population. To ensure that studies are as accurate as possible, statisticians use special sampling techniques Population: all subjects that are being studied Sample: group of subjects selected from a population

11 Sampling techniques Random: selected by using chance methods (drawing names out of hat) Systematic: numbering each subject of the population and selecting every kth subject (selecting every 3rd student in roll book) Stratified: dividing population into groups based on some characteristic and sampling from each group randomly (split class by gender, randomly select 5 from each group)

12 Sampling techniques (cont.)
Cluster: dividing population based on geographic area then randomly selecting clusters and surveying all members of cluster (pick 5 random UIU classes and survey all students Convenience: selects subjects that are convenient (subjects at a festival) – must be taken with care so that it is representative

13 Uses and Misuses of Statistics
Statistics are sometimes misused to sell products that don’t work or attempt to prove something that really isn’t true Here are some common ways this is done: Suspect samples: size and source of sample Changing the subject: using different values to represent the same data (i.e. percent vs. actual amount) Detached statistics: using a statistic where no comparison is made Match each scenario to a label on the left: Rapid release Tylenol works 4 times faster. Detached statistic 9 out of 10 women prefer Dove soap Suspect sample I’m going to double your salary! Or your salary will increase by $0. Changing the subject

14 Uses and Misuses of Statistics
Here are some common ways this is done: Implied connection: claims that imply connections between variables that may not exist (look for words like “may”, “some people”, and “might help”) Faulty survey questions: questions improperly written Match each scenario to a label on the left: Eating dairy products three times a day may help you lose weight. Implied connection Are you in favor of a special tax to provide national healthcare? Faulty survey questions Studies suggest that appemine decreases hunger in some people

15 Chp 2: Frequency Distributions & Graphs
After data is collected it must be organized The most useful method of presenting data is by constructing statistical charts and graphs We will discuss how to construct frequency distributions, pie charts, and time series graphs

16 Frequency Distributions
Frequency distribution: organization of raw data in table form using classes and frequencies Ex army inductees were given a blood test to determine their blood type. The data set is (p. 38): A B B AB O O O B AB B B B O A O A O O O AB AB A O B A

17 Frequency Distributions
Ex 2. Record high temperatures for each of the 50 states (p. 41) When data is not already in categories you can create classes (categories). For our purposes we will typically use 5 to 10 classes. Step 1: Determine the classes. Use 7 classes for this example. Largest – Smallest value = =34 Take result and divide by number of classes = 34/7=4.9 Round up ≈ 5, This is your class width Step 2: Create frequency distribution using class width

18 Histogram Visual representation of frequency distribution
Let’s revisit Example 2 with record high temperatures.

19 Time Series Graphs When data are collected over a period of time, they can be represented by a time series graph Ex 3. Workplace Homicides (p.72) Year ‘03 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 Number 632 559 567 540 628 517

20 Pie Charts Ex 4. Super Bowl Snacks Snack Pounds Potato Chips
11.2 million Tortilla Chips 8.2 million Pretzels 4.3 million Popcorn 3.8 million Snack nuts 2.5 million Total 30 million

21 Pie Charts Ex 4. Super Bowl Snacks Snack Pounds Percentage
Potato Chips 11.2 million 11.2/30=.373≈37.3% Tortilla Chips 8.2 million 8.2/30=.273≈27.3% Pretzels 4.3 million 4.3/30=.143≈14.3% Popcorn 3.8 million 3.8/30=.127≈12.7% Snack nuts 2.5 million 2.5/30=.083≈8.3% Total 30 million


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