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Mexico: Perfect Dictatorship to Defective Democracy
Poli UBC Max Cameron March 22, 2016
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Territory 1,9m km2 (2x BC)
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Mexico: Basic Facts Population: 122 million (2013) Gini Index: 0.48
GDP (ppp): $1,3 trillion, 10k per capita Poverty rate: 53 percent (World Bank 60 percent mestizo by mid-20th Century
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Mexico’s Political Trajectory
Colonial past From anarchy to oligarchy (the Porfiriato) Revolution, ISI and populism under Cardenas Breakdown of PRI rule ( ) Mexico and NAFTA
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Mexico: Structure
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Mexico: Process
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Colonial Past Mexico City seat of Aztec empire
percent indigenous Large landed estates (haciendas) owned by criollos Indian communal villages (ejidos)
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Anarchy Between 1821-1860: 50 separate presidencies
Conflict between Liberals and Conservatives Church owned half the land Powerful regional caudillos
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Oligarchy Rise of Porfirio Diaz 1876-1911
Concentration of land and capital dispossession and landlessness State – cientificos and positivists Foreign investment promoted Conditions of life for most deteriorated in final decades
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Revolution, 1917 revolution – revolutionary leaders drawn from lower classes (Pancho Villa and Emiliano Zapata) 1917 Constitution Article 27 PNR forms 1927 – Plutarco Elias Calles
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Depression and ISI Populism of Lázaro Cárdenas (1934-1940)
PRI – corporatism CTM, CNC, CNOP Nationalization of foreign controlled enclaves (creation of PEMEX) System of exchange and reward for loyalty with selective repression (the “perfect dictatorship”): clientelism and camarillas.
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Breakdown of PRI rule Period of high growth (1940s-1960s) ends
Tlatelolco massacre 1968 Electoral reforms in 1977 Split in PRI in 1987, FDN (later PRD) forms President Carlos Salinas’ sexenio ( ) NAFTA negotiations – locks in neoliberal reforms. Side deal negotiations 1993.
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Mexico Since NAFTA Zapatista uprising 1994
Ernesto Zedillo elected ( ) Mexico banking crisis and Tequila effect 2000 Election ends PRI rule, rise of PAN Vicente Fox ( ) Felipe Calderon ( ) 2006 drug war Return of PRI under President Peña Nieto: plus ça change?
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Conclusion Distinctive feature of Mexico: revolutionary experience
Political order guaranteed by corporatism and clientelism (the “perfect dictatorship”) has broken down New challenges (insurgency, drugs) Persistence of the “Mexican chip”
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