1. Insights into New South Wales greenhouse gas emissions: sources, trends and projections
The Future of Energy in the Hunter: a seminar exploring the energy future of our region, Hunter Environmental Institute, 15 June 2011

2. Sources of greenhouse gas emissions
Total NSW emissions in Million tonnes CO2e
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

3. Sources of greenhouse gas emissions
Total NSW emissions in Million tonnes CO2e
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

4. Sources of greenhouse gas emissions
Total NSW emissions in Million tonnes CO2e
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

5. Sources of greenhouse gas emissions
Total NSW emissions in Million tonnes CO2e
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

6. Sources of greenhouse gas emissions
Total NSW emissions in Million tonnes CO2e
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

7. Sources of greenhouse gas emissions
Total NSW emissions in Million tonnes CO2e
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

8. Sources of greenhouse gas emissions
Total NSW emissions in Million tonnes CO2e
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

9. Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System
This chart shows the trend in emissions since 1990, the Kyoto Protocol base year. Total emissions in NSW have been relatively stable since 1990, but this masks sectoral differences. In particular, increases in energy emissions have been offset by reductions in other sectors.
The reductions in agriculture and land clearing emissions largely reflect the effects of extended drought.
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

10. Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System
This chart shows the trend in emissions since 1990, the Kyoto Protocol base year. Total emissions in NSW have been relatively stable since 1990, but this masks sectoral differences. In particular, increases in energy emissions have been offset by reductions in other sectors.
The reductions in agriculture and land clearing emissions largely reflect the effects of extended drought.
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

11. Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System
This chart shows the trend in emissions since 1990, the Kyoto Protocol base year. Total emissions in NSW have been relatively stable since 1990, but this masks sectoral differences. In particular, increases in energy emissions have been offset by reductions in other sectors.
The reductions in agriculture and land clearing emissions largely reflect the effects of extended drought.
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

12. Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System
This chart shows the trend in emissions since 1990, the Kyoto Protocol base year. Total emissions in NSW have been relatively stable since 1990, but this masks sectoral differences. In particular, increases in energy emissions have been offset by reductions in other sectors.
The reductions in agriculture and land clearing emissions largely reflect the effects of extended drought.
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

13. Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System
This chart shows the trend in emissions since 1990, the Kyoto Protocol base year. Total emissions in NSW have been relatively stable since 1990, but this masks sectoral differences. In particular, increases in energy emissions have been offset by reductions in other sectors.
The reductions in agriculture and land clearing emissions largely reflect the effects of extended drought.
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

14. Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System
This chart shows the trend in emissions since 1990, the Kyoto Protocol base year. Total emissions in NSW have been relatively stable since 1990, but this masks sectoral differences. In particular, increases in energy emissions have been offset by reductions in other sectors.
The reductions in agriculture and land clearing emissions largely reflect the effects of extended drought.
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

15. Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System
This chart shows the trend in emissions since 1990, the Kyoto Protocol base year. Total emissions in NSW have been relatively stable since 1990, but this masks sectoral differences. In particular, increases in energy emissions have been offset by reductions in other sectors.
The reductions in agriculture and land clearing emissions largely reflect the effects of extended drought.
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

16. NSW electricity use
Sources: ABARE Energy update 2010

17. NSW electricity use – growing faster than population
Sources: ABARE Energy update 2010, ABS Population estimates ( )

18. Coal mine production
Source: Coal Services

19. Coal mine emissions (fugitive emissions)
Sources: Coal Services, Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

20. Transport - Passenger cars
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, DCCEE Australia's emissions projections, OEH analysis

21. Transport - Passenger cars
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, DCCEE Australia's emissions projections, OEH analysis

22. Transport - Passenger cars
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, DCCEE Australia's emissions projections, OEH analysis

23. Oil prices
Source: DCCEE Australia's emissions projections

24. Oil prices and new car fuel efficiency
Source: DCCEE Australia's emissions projections

25. Agriculture emissions
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

26. Agriculture emissions – Livestock herd
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

27. Agriculture emissions – Livestock herd
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

28. Agriculture emissions
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System

29. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020?
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

30. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020?
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

31. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020?
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

32. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020?
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

33. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020?
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

34. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020?
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

35. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020?
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

36. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020?
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

37. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020?
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

38. Meeting a 5% reduction by 2020?
Source: Australian Greenhouse Emissions Information System, Commonwealth Treasury ALPF, OEH analysis

39. What about meeting a 20% reduction by 2020?

40. Can energy efficiency assist in achieving significant emission reductions by 2020?

41. NSW electricity - efficiency opportunities
Sources: ABARE Energy update 2010, ABS Population estimates ( )

42. We can use electricity more efficiently
36% less
Per capita difference: kWh
NSW population: million
Potential savings: ,000 GWh
GHG savings: Mt CO2e
Sources: ABARE Energy update 2010, ABS Population estimates ( ), US Census Bureau, US Energy Information Administration

43. There is great potential in NSW for cost effective savings…
Sector
Savings (GWh)
Residential
5,000
Commercial/Manufacturing
12,000
Industrial
8,000
Total
25,000

44. Source: ClimateWorks Australia – Low Carbon Growth Plan for Australia

45. Reducing demand will also alter the supply mix
Sources: AEMO 2010 Electricity statement of opportunities, MMA modelling, NSW MACC 2020, McKinsey & Company and OEH analysis

46. “Change has considerable psychological impact on the human mind
“Change has considerable psychological impact on the human mind. To the fearful it is threatening as it means things may get worse. To the hopeful it is encouraging because things may get better. To the confident it is inspiring because the challenge exists to make things better.”
King Whitney Jr., Wall Street Journal, 7 June 1967