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Time Value of Money
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The Present Value Relationship
Where PV = present value CFt = the cash flow occurring at time t r = the discount rate N = the number of periods
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The Present Value Relationship and the discount rate, r
What determines r? The real rate compensates investors for deferring consumption when they lend their money. A premium for expected inflation keeps investors from losing expected purchasing power of their money. A premium for risk, induces investors to invest in risky projects that might otherwise not attract investment dollars.
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The Present Value Relationship and the discount rate, r
What is the present value of $1 received one year from now if the appropriate discount rate is 5% versus 10%? PV = $1/(1.05) = $.952 PV = $1/(1.10) = $.909 Why does the term “discount” make sense in this context? Suppose the discount rate were zero. What would that mean?
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The Present Value Relationship and the timing of cash flows
Timing refers to the time at which cash flows arrive. A time line is useful in forming a picture of the arrival process. 1 2 3 What is the present value of $1 received one year from now versus two years from now if the appropriate discount rate is 10%? PV = $1/(1.10)1 = $.909 PV = $1/(1.10)2 = $.826
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The Present Value Relationship and Cash Flow Patterns
A Lump Sum An annuity An annuity and a lump sum $10 $1 $1 $1 $1 $1 $1 $1 $1 + $10
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The Present Value Relationship A Practice Problem
Assume you want to buy a home that costs $150,000. You will pay regular monthly payments for 10 years, and then pay a balloon payment of $50,000. The current interest rate is 8%. Create an amortization schedule. If interest payments are tax deductible and you are in the 35% tax bracket, what is the present value of the tax savings? What the present value of the cost to you for purchasing the home?
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The Present Value Relationship A Practice Problem
PV = -$150,000 FV = N = I%/Yr = FV = PMT = Describe the cash flow stream on this mortgage.
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The Present Value Relationship A Practice Problem
See Excel Worksheet for the rest of the story
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