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Climate from Discharge
Tianny, Kara, and London
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ANALYZING KANSAS RIVER DISCHARGE RECORDS TIANNY ZAPATA
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KANSAS RIVER AT TOPEKA, KS
How is local climate reflected in the discharge data?
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HOW DOES RIVER FLOW VARY THROUGHOUT THE YEAR?
River flow seems to fluctuate with the seasons Early September- March “Dryer” periods Greater discharge expected around June and July Years following Great Flood of 1951, “Dry” period (~1956)
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HOW OFTEN ARE THERE FLOODS?
Initial prediction of anything >40,000 cfs Floods appear rare but not unlikely.
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HOW LONG DO FLOODS LAST? Varies from periods of “short intense,” to “long” floods.
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ARE THERE PERIODS OF DROUGHT OR FREQUENT FLOODS?
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IS THERE A TREND IN THE DATA?
Overall clear trend, with minor exceptions Less discharge is far more common, however outliers skew the data Near perfect bell curve fit for log-transformed discharge distribution
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Discharge in the San Juan River Kara Smickley
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San Juan River, New Mexicover
Starts in Utah then runs through Shiprock New Mexico and up to Colorado Goes through Shiprock, New Mexico Also known as the Colorado River
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Looking over a long-period of time
Data starts in 1934 and goes to 2016 (about 30,000 day span) You can see some fluctuation based off what we can assume may be seasons
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Taking a closer look Data taken from 1000 day span
Has an inconsistent pattern Seems to be more dry than wet
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Trend Seems to be more “flashy”.
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Flooding Flooding is anything more than 14,000 cubic feet per second
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Current Weather Patterns in Shiprock, NM
This area of New Mexico has very low rainfall August has highest precipitation June has lowest precipitation Inconsistent weather pattern
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Do current weather patterns make sense with our trend?
1000 year trend
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Discharge of Elkhorn River Waterloo, NE
London
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Long Period of Time
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10,000 days
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1,000 Days
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Averages
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Kansas River, KS; San Juan River, NM; Elkhorn River, NE
Group Comparisons Kansas River, KS; San Juan River, NM; Elkhorn River, NE
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London Tianny Kara Tianny
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Log10 distribution by day comparisons
Kansas River, KS San Juan River, NM Elkhorn, NE Tianny
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Mean comparisons San Juan River, NM Kansas River, KS Elkhorn River, NE
Tianny Elkhorn River, NE
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Weather pattern comparison
Average Annual Rainfall Topeka KS inches Omaha NE inches Shiprock, NM inches Kara
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Flooding Comparisons Kansas River, KS >40000 cfs Elkhorn, NE
San Juan River, NM >14000 cfs Kara: year
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Thank you Kansas River, KS San Juan River, NM
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