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Black Sea Conference Athens, Greece February, 2009
Economic Reforms and Financing Infrastructure to Enhance Growth Case of Georgia Black Sea Conference Athens, Greece February, 2009
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Georgia in International Ratings
Georgia is among the top 10 reformers in the world in 2006 and 2007 by Doing Business Report Georgia started with 110 rating in 2004 and achieved 15th in 2008 Corruption fell down in Georgia and Transparency International's Corruption Perception index raised from 1.8 in 2003 to 3.4 in 2007. No sovereign rating in in 2007: BB-/Stable - assigned by Fitch; B+/Positive – S&P’s Budget arrears reached 70% of the state budget in 2003 and External debt stood at 42% of GDP in 2003 No arrears in 2007 and external debt reduced at 16% of GDP
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Country Overview Georgia is a transcontinental country in the Caucasus region, located at the dividing line between Europe and Asia. Georgia covers a territory of 69,700 km²; Population million In 2007 nominal GDP was million USD and GDP per capita USD Estimated GDP for million USD and GDP per capita USD Adult Literacy Rate (UNDP) – 99.9%
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Macroeconomics GDP growth rate totaled 12.4 percent in 2007, while GDP per capita constituted USD 2315 Increasing Labor Productivity, as well as high inflows of FDI were the major driving forces of growth FDI sharply increased from 2004 and reached record high level of more then $1,7 billion in 2007, 17.2 percent of GDP. Average annual CPI inflation was 7.7% during the last six years Except for short episodes of sudden outbursts inflation in Georgia has been in single digits and stable for nearly a decade
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Structural and Economic Reforms
Tax Policy Customs Liberal Fiscal and Trade Regimes Improved Budget Policy Licensing and Permits Labor Code Privatization New Customs was adopted New Tax Code MTEF and BDD No Export Duties No Protectionism Large scale of privatization in all fields New Labor Code High Labor Freedom Index Reduced by 84% Licensing/Permits Crossing Border Starting Business Paying Taxes Employing Labor
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Economic Reforms Licensing and Permits
number of licenses and permits reduced by 84%, eliminated 756 licenses and permits and streamlined procedures; 30 days are necessary for issuing licenses and 20 days for issuing permits; Licenses and permits may be required only in limited cases. New Labor Code High Labor Freedom index 4th place in the world - Employing Workers indicator (Doing Business 2008 Survey) Civil service and Police Reform Reduced corruption and improved efficiency Budget Policy - Introduction of the Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) and Basic Data and Directions (BDD) Better macroeconomic analysis and allocation of resources according to priorities Defines the balance between current and capital expenditures in the medium term in order to ensure sustainable growth and defines the size of government and allocations to government (25% range)
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Tax Regime Enacted in 2005 new Tax Code reduced the number of taxes from 22 to 7 and in 2007 to 6 VAT – 18 percent Customs Duty – 0, 5 and 12 percent Personal Income Tax – 12% Social Tax – 20% Profit Tax – 20 percent Excise Tax – varies depending on type of goods Property Tax – defined by local governments 25% 2007 20% 2008 Personal Income Tax
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Taxation In spite of easing the tax burden, the ratio of tax revenues to GDP increased from 14% in 2003 to 25% in 2007. The share of shadow economy sharply declined Efficiency of tax collection vastly improved since 2003
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Trade Regime Export takes 5 days and 3 documents
One of the most liberal import duty systems in the world, with an average weighted import duty of 1.5% 90% of all imports have 0% duty Equal VAT on imported and local goods Equal excise tax on most imported and local goods No export duties Streamlined customs clearance: Export takes 5 days and 3 documents Import takes 4 days and 6 documents
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Fiscal Policy/ Budget Based on stated policy, Size of Government should not exceed 30% of GDP and will be reduced to 25% for next years. Government Investment volume in government spending will be kept more then 5% of GDP (in a range of 6-8%)
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Infrastructure Government of Georgia was widely investing money in energy infrastructure and as a result got guaranteed access to the energy. Road construction and rehabilitation takes a significant share in Government spending and it is expanding over time. It is planned to spend 521 million GEL in 2009, on approximately 618 km road rehabilitation. Municipal budget was rising during these years as the projects for regional infrastructure were widely financed.
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Regional (international) Infrastructure
Georgia plays an important role as a strategic crossroad for hydrocarbon transit from the Caspian Basin to West British Petroleum and its partners invested USD 5 billion to develop the three major oil and gas pipelines that cross Georgia Oil pipelines “East-west” The Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC) Length km(249km through Georgia); Capacity – ml barrels of oil per day; Total cost - USD 3.9 billion; Completed in 2005; Transported 212,163,359.5 barrels of oil in 2007. The Western Route Export Pipeline (WREP) or Baku-Supsa Length – 830 km; Capacity – up to barrels per day; Cost – 556 ml USD (including terminal) Completed in 1998 Supsa Tbilisi Ceyhan Baku
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Regional (international) Infrastructure
Gas pipelines “North-south” Rehabilitation by Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC); Total cost of USD 44.5 million; Connecting Russia and Armenia. The South Caucasus Gas Pipeline (SCP) Capacity – 8.8 billion cubic meter per year (20 bcm for future); Length 692km; Total Cost – 1.02 billion USD Completed in 2006; Tbilisi Baku Erzurum
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Regional (international) Infrastructure
Road and Transport Poti – Red Bridge Highway Part of important East-West corridor for transit transportation from the Black Sea to Central Asia Length – 397km Constructed – 80 km Samtske-Javakheti road rehabilitation Total Budget – million USD; Length – km. Financed by Millennium Challenge Georgia. Poti Red Bridge
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Baku – Tbilisi – Kars Railway Project
The Baku-Tbilisi-Kars railway is a regional rail link project to directly connect Turkey, Georgia and Azerbaijan Traffic is expected to total 3 million tones of freight and 1·5 million passengers in 2010, rising to 16·5 million tones of freight and 3·5 million passengers in 2034. In total 98 kilometers of new line will be built between Kars and Akhalkalaki. The existing line from Akhalkalaki on to Tbilisi and Baku will be modernized Cost–US$ 500 mln (Georgia only) The project is due to be completed by 2010 Kars Baku Tbilisi
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Management of Infrastructure
All three ports are under private management Poti Sea Port UAE’s Ras Al Khaimah (RAK); Turnover of 7.7 million tones in 2007 New port construction Free Economic Zone (FEZ) Batumi sea port KazMunaiGas (Kazakhstan); Capacity – 18 million tons oil per year 2.3 million tons dry cargo Kulevi oil port terminal State Oil Company of Azerbaijan (SOCAR); Capacity – 10 million tons of oil; Poti Batumi Kulevi
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Management of Infrastructure
Two international airports are managed via BOT agreement. Tbilisi and Batumi airports – TAV (Turkey); Total investment – 90.5 Million USD; Joint capacity – 3.4 million per year. Legislation: Open Sky Policy New liberal agreements
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Perspectives Black Sea Energy Transmission System
Estimated Cost – EUR 220 million, (KFW, EBRD and EIB); Length km “Back-to-back" substation at the Turkish border. Energy Sectors Hydro resources rivers out of ones on the territory of the country are significant in terms of energy production. Approximately 15% of hydro potential is used. Wind energy - potential of approximately 4 billion KWh per year. Solar energy - annual potential of 108 MW, which equals to tons of fuel. The country also has a serious potential for usage of hydrothermal waters
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