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outer dynamics Robin Matthews Professor of International Business

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1 outer dynamics Robin Matthews Professor of International Business
Kingston University Business School London JM Keynes Professor of Management RANEPA Moscow Further papers by robin Matthews can be found at Also and robindcmatthews

2 Global situation Postwar recovery 1945 – 70 Stagflation 1970 -1980
Keynesian policies Stagflation Monetarism and supply side economics 1980 – 2007

3 Meta Model robindcmatthews

4 GLOBAL POSITIVE FEEDBACKS
Securitization GLOBAL POSITIVE FEEDBACKS 1980 – 2006 (circa)

5 17/05/2018

6 (0) P grammar OD ID PAYOFFS (P) INNER (ID) DYNAMICS
ATTRACTOR grammar PAYOFFS (P) P P (0) OODOO I OD ID INNER (ID) DYNAMICS OUTER (OD) DYNAMICS 17/05/2018

7 robindcmatthews

8 Haldane (2009) robindcmatthews

9 Haldane (2009) robindcmatthews

10 Haldane (2009) robindcmatthews

11 The Crisis 2007 – 20012 The financial tower of Babel
Project Management October 2014 part 3 The Crisis 2007 – The financial tower of Babel risis robindcmatthews

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13 The financial tower of Babel: 21ST century
CDO’s CDC’s CDW’S SWF’S SPV’’s SPE’s CONDUITS IPO’s PRIVATE EQUITY FUNDS HEDGE FUNDS DERIVATIVES/OPTIONS SHADOW BANKING SYSTEM REGULATED BANKING SYSTEM CORPORATE BONDS GOVERNMENT BONDS LIQUID ASSETS CASH unregulated regulated

14 Causes of crises Low interest rates Savings glut Financial innovation
Moral hazard None of the above All of the above Samudaya (the second noble truth: thirst)

15 Causes of the crisis? Greed Low interest rates Savings glut
Financial innovation Moral hazard Greed

16 Source rge monitor Exposure to Greek debt robindcmatthews

17 Long term bond yields july 2011 Source rge monitor
robindcmatthews Long term bond yields july 2011 Source rge monitor


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