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Identification example

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Presentation on theme: "Identification example"— Presentation transcript:

1 Identification example

2 This continues on from the Johansen demonstration
Under standard finance theory the weekly libor rate should cointegrate with the monthly and the weekly should cointegrate with the 3 month Implies 2 bivariate vectors

3 Weekly = monthly Weekly = 3month So 6 restrictions (-1,1,0) and -1,0,1) We need 4 for identification so 2 over identifying restrictions to test.

4 This follows on from the last demo
We have already tested cointegration Estimated the model subject to 2 cointegrating vectors Now we impose the restrictions

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8 First we will apply just identifying restrictions

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14 Now we will apply and test the 2 over identifying restrictions

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17 Restricted cointegrating vectors

18 TEST of restriction


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