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Gold and Silver: Ultra-Low Rates Limiting Downside Pressure from the Fed's Pending Policy Normalization August 2016 Bart Melek Head of Global Commodity.

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Presentation on theme: "Gold and Silver: Ultra-Low Rates Limiting Downside Pressure from the Fed's Pending Policy Normalization August 2016 Bart Melek Head of Global Commodity."— Presentation transcript:

1 Gold and Silver: Ultra-Low Rates Limiting Downside Pressure from the Fed's Pending Policy Normalization August 2016 Bart Melek Head of Global Commodity Strategy

2 Gold and Silver Prices in Real Terms
Gold & Silver Respond to Policy — Up When Fed Behind Curve, Down When it Catches Up Gold and Silver Prices in Real Terms

3 Ultra-Low Bond Yields Muting Negative Impact of Higher Fed Policy Rates on Gold
Real Rates and Gold

4 Specs Drive the Bus for Gold in the Short-term
Investment Flows for Gold since 2006

5 Gold Spec Long Position as % of Global Stock/Bond Market Assets
For Good Reasons, Specs Moved in on Weak US Payrolls and Brexit Implications Gold Spec Long Position as % of Global Stock/Bond Market Assets

6 Oil & Precious Metals Travelling Together — Except When They Don't
Oil and Precious Metals Prices

7 Disclaimer TD Securities is a trademark of TD Bank and represents TD Securities Inc., TD Securities (USA) LLC and TD Securities Limited and certain investment and corporate banking activities of TD Bank and its subsidiaries. © Copyright 2016 The Toronto-Dominion Bank. All rights reserved. Global Disclaimer


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