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Campus Task Force A Way Forward . . .
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Comprehensive Recommendations to the Board of Trustees
Campus Task Force Goal: Comprehensive Recommendations to the Board of Trustees As Specific as Possible Conceptual Site Plans
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Campus Task Force Explore the Possible, Informed by the Probable, to Achieve the Inspirational yet Practical
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Architectural Programming:
Campus Task Force Architectural Programming: Establish Goals Collect & Analyze Facts Uncover & Test Concepts Determine Needs State the Problem
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Campus Task Force
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Recurring Themes: Inspiring, Creative Flexible, Multi-Mode
Campus Task Force Recurring Themes: Inspiring, Creative Flexible, Multi-Mode Pragmatic, Prudent Financially Sound
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Recurring Mantra: Optimize Space Use Preserve Options Fund the Future
Campus Task Force Recurring Mantra: Optimize Space Use - Create/Renovate New Space - Rethink Existing Space Preserve Options - Minimize single-use space Fund the Future - Pledge/Membership Impact - Rental Income Potential - Financing Potential
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Will the City Approve It? Can We Afford It?
Campus Task Force Recurring Questions: Does UUSM Need It? Will the City Approve It? Can We Afford It?
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The Target! Financial UUSM Feasibility Needs City Requirements
Campus Task Force Financial Feasibility UUSM Needs The Target! City Requirements
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What Does UUSM Need? ✓ ✓ ? ✓ ? ✓ Offices? Parking? ADA Restrooms?
Campus Task Force What Does UUSM Need? Offices? Parking? ADA Restrooms? Classrooms? Meeting space? Playground Space? Income? ✓ ✓ ? ✓ ? ✓
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Project Goals: ADA-Compliant Restroom(s) Meeting space(s) for 25+
Campus Task Force Project Goals: ADA-Compliant Restroom(s) Meeting space(s) for 25+ Flexibility A Way to Pay For It
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Will San Mateo Approve? Zoning Setbacks Height limit Floor Area Ratio
Campus Task Force Will San Mateo Approve? Zoning Setbacks Height limit Floor Area Ratio Parking Historical Preservation Legacy Tree Ordinance
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The Mother of All Matrices . . .
Campus Task Force The Mother of All Matrices . . .
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A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus
GROWTH SCENARIOS FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS ANALYSIS MATRIX A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus B. Main: ADA; 314: Flex Reno C. ADA; 314: Flex Reno + New Studio RENOVATION SCENARIOS D. Main: ADA; 314: Replace With New E. Main: ADA; Replace All Others F. Replace Everything With New G. Sell and Move
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Campus Task Force Renovation Scenarios . . .
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A. Sell 314; Focus on Original Campus
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B. Main: ADA; 314: Flex Renovation
Campus Task Force B. Main: ADA; 314: Flex Renovation
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Flexible Renovation Concept
Campus Task Force Flexible Renovation Concept
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Flexible Renovation Concept
Campus Task Force Flexible Renovation Concept
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C. Main: ADA; 314: Flex Reno + New Studio
Campus Task Force C. Main: ADA; 314: Flex Reno + New Studio
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D. Main: ADA; 314: Replace With New
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E. Main: ADA; 314: Replace All Others
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Main: ADA; 314: Flex Reno; New Out Building
Campus Task Force F. Replace With All NewBuildings Main: ADA; 314: Flex Reno; New Out Building
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Campus Task Force Growth . . .
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A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus
GROWTH SCENARIOS FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS ANALYSIS MATRIX SLOW CONTRACT MODERATE GROWTH MAJOR GROWTH FLAT A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus B. Main: ADA; 314: Flex Reno C. ADA; 314: Flex Reno + New Studio RENOVATION SCENARIOS D. Main: ADA; 314: Replace With New E. Main: ADA; Replace All Others F. Replace Everything With New G. Sell and Move
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A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus
GROWTH SCENARIOS FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS ANALYSIS MATRIX GOODNESS OF FIT = GOOD FIT = OK FIT – = POOR FIT SLOW CONTRACT MODERATE GROWTH MAJOR GROWTH FLAT A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus – B. Main: ADA; 314: Flex Reno – C. ADA; 314: Flex Reno + New Studio – RENOVATION SCENARIOS D. Main: ADA; 314: Replace With New – – E. Main: ADA; Replace All Others – – – F. Replace Everything With New – – – G. Sell and Move –
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Premise: UU Membership Will Likely Remain Flat
Campus Task Force Premise: UU Membership Will Likely Remain Flat
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Campus Task Force
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Premise: S.M. County Will Likely Grow Very Slowly
Campus Task Force Premise: S.M. County Will Likely Grow Very Slowly
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Campus Task Force
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Campus Task Force
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Growth Summary: UUSM: Static Share of a Static “Market”
Campus Task Force Growth Summary: UUSM: Static Share of a Static “Market” Our “Market Share” Matches U.S. Norm New Programs Might Create Growth . . . . . . But No New Programs Have Been Proposed
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UUSM Growth Assumptions:
Campus Task Force UUSM Growth Assumptions: Major Growth ( > 250 ) is Unlikely Moderate Growth (175 – 225) is Possible Flat “Growth” is Most Likely
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A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus
GROWTH SCENARIOS FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS ANALYSIS MATRIX GOODNESS OF FIT = GOOD FIT = OK FIT – = POOR FIT SLOW CONTRACT MODERATE GROWTH MAJOR GROWTH FLAT A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus – B. Main: ADA; 314: Flex Reno – C. ADA; 314: Flex Reno + New Studio – RENOVATION SCENARIOS D. Main: ADA; 314: Replace With New – – E. Main: ADA; Replace All Others – – – F. Replace Everything With New – – – G. Sell and Move –
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Will San Mateo Approve? Zoning: R-2 Setbacks: 10’ – 15’
Campus Task Force Will San Mateo Approve? Zoning: R-2 Setbacks: 10’ – 15’ Height limit: 24’ (referendum) Floor Area Ratio: 50% Parking: for two units Historical Preservation Legacy Tree Ordinance
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A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus
GROWTH SCENARIOS FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS ANALYSIS MATRIX GOODNESS OF FIT = GOOD FIT = OK FIT – = POOR FIT ODDS OF SUCCESS = GOOD ODDS = FAIR ODDS = POOR ODDS SLOW CONTRACT MODERATE GROWTH MAJOR GROWTH FLAT A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus – – B. Main: ADA; 314: Flex Reno – – C. ADA; 314: Flex Reno + New Studio – – RENOVATION SCENARIOS D. Main: ADA; 314: Replace With New – – E. Main: ADA; Replace All Others – – F. Replace Everything With New – – G. Sell and Move – –
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Financial Considerations
Campus Task Force Financial Considerations
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Sources of Funds: ✓ ✓ Membership Increase Pledge Increase
Campus Task Force Sources of Funds: Membership Increase Pledge Increase Rental Income Capital Campaign Borrowing ✓ ✓
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Pledge Income vs. Membership
Campus Task Force Pledge Income vs. Membership
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Capital Campaign (2010): Target: $1.5 – $2.0M Pledged: $1.2M
Campus Task Force Capital Campaign (2010): Target: $1.5 – $2.0M Pledged: $1.2M However: 63% from one donor
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Capital Campaign Feasibility Assumptions:
Campus Task Force Capital Campaign Feasibility Assumptions: < $750K: Good Odds $750K - $1.5M: Fair Odds > $1.5M: Poor Odds
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A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus
GROWTH SCENARIOS FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS ANALYSIS MATRIX GOODNESS OF FIT = GOOD FIT = OK FIT – = POOR FIT ODDS OF SUCCESS = GOOD ODDS = FAIR ODDS = POOR ODDS SLOW CONTRACT MODERATE GROWTH MAJOR GROWTH FLAT EST. COST 100K loss A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus – – B. Main: ADA; 314: Flex Reno – – 600K C. ADA; 314: Flex Reno + New Studio – – 750K RENOVATION SCENARIOS D. Main: ADA; 314: Replace With New – – 1.5M E. Main: ADA; Replace All Others – – 2.0M F. Replace Everything With New – – 5.0M G. Sell and Move – – ?
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Rental Income Potential:
Campus Task Force Rental Income Potential: $3,000/mo. Kinder Academy Facilities Rental Residential Rental Le Petite Sorbonne $300/mo. - $200/mo.
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Residential Rental Income:
Campus Task Force Residential Rental Income: Net? 314 Main: $3,500/mo. Studio: $1,500/mo. Parsonage: $3,300/mo. $3,000/mo. $2,500/mo.
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A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus
GROWTH SCENARIOS FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS ANALYSIS MATRIX GOODNESS OF FIT = GOOD FIT = OK FIT – = POOR FIT ODDS OF SUCCESS = GOOD ODDS = FAIR ODDS = POOR ODDS SLOW CONTRACT MODERATE GROWTH MAJOR GROWTH POTENTIAL INCOME FLAT EST. COST 100K loss A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus – – NC B. Main: ADA; 314: Flex Reno – – 600K HI C. ADA; 314: Flex Reno + New Studio – – 750K HI RENOVATION SCENARIOS D. Main: ADA; 314: Replace With New – – 1.5M LO E. Main: ADA; Replace All Others – – 2.0M LO F. Replace Everything With New – – 5.0M LO G. Sell and Move – – ? ?
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Question: What If There Is a Capital Campaign Shortfall?
Campus Task Force Question: What If There Is a Capital Campaign Shortfall? Premise: It Is Easier To Mortgage (or Sell) a Residential Unit
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Borrowing Potential: $500K @ 4%/30 yrs. = $2,400/mo.
Campus Task Force Borrowing Potential: 4%/30 yrs. = $2,400/mo. 4%/15 yrs. = $2,200/mo. 4%/10 yrs. = $2,500/mo.
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A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus
GROWTH SCENARIOS FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS ANALYSIS MATRIX GOODNESS OF FIT = GOOD FIT = OK FIT – = POOR FIT ODDS OF SUCCESS = GOOD ODDS = FAIR ODDS = POOR ODDS SLOW CONTRACT MODERATE GROWTH MAJOR GROWTH POTENTIAL INCOME FLAT EST. COST REFI/RESALE POTENTIAL 100K loss A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus – – LO LO B. Main: ADA; 314: Flex Reno – – 600K HI HI C. ADA; 314: Flex Reno + New Studio – – 750K HI HI RENOVATION SCENARIOS D. Main: ADA; 314: Replace With New – – 1.5M LO LO E. Main: ADA; Replace All Others – – 2.0M LO LO F. Replace Everything With New – – 5.0M LO LO G. Sell and Move – – ? ? ?
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Another $$$ Consideration:
Campus Task Force Another $$$ Consideration: Dual Use: Parsonage + Rental
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A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus
GROWTH SCENARIOS FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS ANALYSIS MATRIX GOODNESS OF FIT = GOOD FIT = OK FIT – = POOR FIT ODDS OF SUCCESS = GOOD ODDS = FAIR ODDS = POOR ODDS SLOW CONTRACT MODERATE GROWTH MAJOR GROWTH POTENTIAL INCOME FLAT EST. COST REFI/RESALE POTENTIAL PARSONAGE POTENTIAL 100K loss A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus – – LO LO Y B. Main: ADA; 314: Flex Reno – – 600K HI HI C. ADA; 314: Flex Reno + New Studio – – 750K HI HI RENOVATION SCENARIOS D. Main: ADA; 314: Replace With New – – 1.5M LO LO N E. Main: ADA; Replace All Others – – 2.0M LO LO F. Replace Everything With New – – 5.0M LO LO G. Sell and Move – – ? ? ? ?
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Premise: Go For The Green!!
Campus Task Force Premise: Go For The Green!! Scenario ‘C’ Scenario ‘B’ as a Fallback
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Why??? Appropriate for Expected Growth Preserves Maximum Options
Campus Task Force Why??? Appropriate for Expected Growth Preserves Maximum Options More Financially Feasible Could Create Income Allows for Possible Financing Opportunity to Address Deferred Maintenance
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A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus
GROWTH SCENARIOS FINANCIAL CONSIDERATIONS ANALYSIS MATRIX GOODNESS OF FIT = GOOD FIT = OK FIT – = POOR FIT ODDS OF SUCCESS = GOOD ODDS = FAIR ODDS = POOR ODDS SLOW CONTRACT MODERATE GROWTH MAJOR GROWTH POTENTIAL INCOME FLAT EST. COST REFI/RESALE POTENTIAL PARSONAGE POTENTIAL 100K loss A. Sell 314; Focus on Orig. Campus – – LO LO Y B. Main: ADA; 314: Flex Reno – – 600K HI HI C. ADA; 314: Flex Reno + New Studio – – 750K HI HI RENOVATION SCENARIOS D. Main: ADA; 314: Replace With New – – 1.5M LO LO N E. Main: ADA; Replace All Others – – 2.0M LO LO F. Replace Everything With New – – 5.0M LO LO G. Sell and Move – – ? ? ? ?
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Campus Task Force Let’s Talk . . .
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