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經濟與金融情勢展望 吳中書 中華經濟研究院 第十九屆亞太財務經濟會計及管理會議 2011.07.08~07.09.

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Presentation on theme: "經濟與金融情勢展望 吳中書 中華經濟研究院 第十九屆亞太財務經濟會計及管理會議 2011.07.08~07.09."— Presentation transcript:

1 經濟與金融情勢展望 吳中書 中華經濟研究院 第十九屆亞太財務經濟會計及管理會議 ~07.09

2 Figure 1. Industrial Production Indexes (Selected Developed Countries)
(%) 2011/05 2011/04 Source: CEPD Figure 1. Industrial Production Indexes (Selected Developed Countries)

3 Figure 2. Industrial Production Indexes (Selected Asian Countries)
(%) 2011/05 2011/04 Source: CEPD Figure 2. Industrial Production Indexes (Selected Asian Countries)

4 Figure 3. Interest Rates of Selected Countries
(%) 2011/06 2011/06 2011/05 Source:Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Bank of England, European Central Bank, Central Bank of Australia Figure 3. Interest Rates of Selected Countries

5 Table 1. Fiscal Expansion Programs of Selected Countries

6 Figure 4. International Crude Oil Prices
(US dollar/barrel) (2008/7) 133.91 133.10 131.22 131.16 108.8 101.27 (2011/05) (2003/5) 28.10 41.91 41.14 40.58 38.60 (2008/12) Note: The OPEC price are the average price of Saharan Blend , Mina, Iran Heavy, Basra Light, Kuwait Export, Es Sider, Bonny Light, Qstat Marine, ArablLight, Murban, and BCF17. Sources: Energy Intelligence Group, Oil Market Intelligence. Figure 4. International Crude Oil Prices

7 Figure 5. Precious Metal Prices at London Metal Exchange
(US dollar/ounce) Sources: LBMA, LPPM, and LME Figure 5. Precious Metal Prices at London Metal Exchange

8 Figure 6. Precious Metal Prices at London Metal Exchange (cont.)
(US dollar/ton) Sources: LBMA, LPPM, and LME Figure 6. Precious Metal Prices at London Metal Exchange (cont.)

9 Figure 7. U.S. Primary Commodity Prices
(US dollar/bushel) 2011/05 Sources: CBOT, NYBOT Figure 7. U.S. Primary Commodity Prices

10 Figure 8. Consumer Price Indexes (Selected Developed Countries)
May.2011 Source: CEPD Figure 8. Consumer Price Indexes (Selected Developed Countries)

11 Figure 9. Consumer Price Indexes (Selected Asian Countries)
Apr.2011 May.2011 Source: CEPD Figure 9. Consumer Price Indexes (Selected Asian Countries)

12 Table 2. Monetary Policy Towards Tightening

13 Table 3. The Fiscal Restructure Plans of Eurozone Countries
Source: IMF, EU

14 Figure 10. Manufacturing PMIs of Selected Countries
Jun.2011 May.2011 Figure 10. Manufacturing PMIs of Selected Countries

15 Figure 11. Composite Leading Indicators of OECD Countries
(Feb. 2011) Source: OECD Statistics Portal Figure 11. Composite Leading Indicators of OECD Countries

16 Figure 12. Unemployment Rates of OECD Countries
Source: OECD Statistics Portal Figure 12. Unemployment Rates of OECD Countries

17 Figure 13. Housing Price Indexes of Selected Countries

18 Figure 14. Stock Price Indexes of Selected Countries

19 Figure 15. M2 Growth Rates of Selected Asian Countries

20 Figure 15. M2 Growth Rates of Selected Asian Countries(cont.)

21 Figure 16. Key Indicators of Mainland China

22 Figure 17. U.S. 10-YR Bond Yield v.s TIPS

23 Thank You for Your Attention!
23


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