1. Regional Electricity and Renewable Integration: Benefits of Hydropower Reservoirs
Pierre-Olivier Pineau
Departement of decision sciences
with Sébastien Debia
Léonard Langlois
Sylvain Perron
Tuesday, June 20th / 4:00 - 5:30 pm
40th IAEE International Conference
Concurrent Session 33. Energy and Water
Orchid: 4206 & 4306

2. Outline The Electricity Challenge & New York Case
Regional Electricity Models
Our Model
Results: Gains from Regional Integration

3. 1. The Electricity Challenge & New York Case

4. Global GHG Emissions 2010: 49 Gt CO2e
Electricity & Heat
25%
Figure SPM.2 (page 9).
Climate Change Mitigation of Climate Change
Working Group III Contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
AFOLU: Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use
IPCC (2014)

5. Reduction Opportunities for the Electricity Sector (from the IPCC)
Increased Efficiency of Power Plants and Fuel Switching
Renewable Energy
Increased Energy Efficiency (end-use)
Nuclear Energy
Carbon Capture Sequestration and Storage
… but not regional integration!
“7.5 Mitigation technology options, practices and behavioral aspects”
Climate Change Mitigation of Climate Change
Working Group III Contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
”Reducing Emissions from Electricity”
(Accessed on June 17, 2017)
IPCC (2014) and EPA (2017)

6. Recent publications on electricity market integration

7. Integrating Thermal and Hydro Electricity Markets: Economic and Environmental Costs of not Harmonizing Pricing Rules
E. Billette de Villemeur and P.-O. Pineau
2016 Volume 37, Number 1
>1 Mt of CO2
-37$/t of abatement cost

8. New York’s REV
“50% of electricity consumed in New York to come from renewable sources” (
“50% of energy generation from renewable energy sources” (

9. 2. Regional Electricity Models

10. Focus: Energy System / Electricity Timeslice References
Model
Horizon
Focus: Energy System / Electricity
Timeslice
References
Times (IEA-ETSAP)
Long-run
Energy system; multiregional
Typical days / Season
Loulou (2014) ; [1]
OSeMOSYS
Howells et al. (2011)
EnergyPLAN (Aalborg U.)
1 year
Energy system; national
Hour
ELMOD (DIW Berlin)
Electricity system; national (high res.) or regional
Egerer (2014); [2]
Haiku (RFF)
20 years (4-yr steps)
Electricity system; multiregional
Paul and Burtraw (2001); [3]
Switch (UC Berkley)
[4]; switch-model.org; Johnston et al. (2013)
ReEDS (NREL)
Long-run (2-yr steps)
Electricity system; high geographic resolution; multiregional
Eurel et al. (2016) ; [5]
[1]
[2]
[3]
[4]
[5]

11. Renewable Integration Studies
2016
North American Renewable Integration Study (NARIS)
NRCan / SNER / DoE-NREL
Final results for 2019

12. QUeBEC Electricity production
And its neighbors (2015)
QC 200 TWh
99 % hydro
27 large reservoirs
176 TWh of storage
Ontario 154 TWh
10 % natural gas
Données US (2015):
D:\POPdoc\Research\Regions\US\EIA%20Power%20Data\Electric%20Power%20Monthly_2015.xlsx
Populations
N-Angleterre: 15 millions New York 20 millions, Ontario: 14 millions
Données Ontario (2015):
Données NB (2014):
Statistique Canada Tableau Production de l'énergie électrique, selon la classe de producteur d'électricité, annuel (megawatt heure)
Données QC (2016):
Bulletin sur la disponibilité et écoulement d’énergie au Canada – Préliminaire 2014
Statistique Canada – no X au catalogue
New York 140 TWh
41 % natural gas
1,7 % coal
New England 111 TWh
48 % natural gas
3,5 % coal
New Brunswick 16 TWh
44 % fossil fuels

13. 3. Our Model Renewable Integration and Storage Assessment – RISA (Based on Tapia-Ahumada et al. 2015)

14. Capacity expansion model (LP)
Regional electricity model (Quebec – New York)
Hourly loads and generation ( )
Water storage
Transmission
Objective: MINIMIZE investment and operations costs to supply demand s.t. operational constraints (reliability, security of supply, start-up, water management)

15. Scenarios
RISA1: “BAU” no renewable energy constraint
RISA2: 50% renewable generation in NY by 2030
RISA5: Quebec imports count as renewable (no new transmission)
RISA6: RISA5 + new transmission possible

16. 4. Results

17. Total Cost ($G)

18. NY Capacity – RISA1

19. NY Capacity – RISA2

20. NY Capacity – RISA5

21. NY Capacity – RISA6

22. QC-NY Transmisison Capacity

23. Quebec-NY Trade (GWh)

24. NY Production – RISA1

25. NY Production – RISA2

26. NY Production – RISA5

27. NY Production – RISA6

28. NY Prices ($/MWh)

29. Quebec Prices ($/MWh)

30. Your suggestions are welcome!
Conclusion
Integration can decrease cost
Renewable energy goals leads to some types of “production leaks” (and possibly higher GHG emissions)
Next steps:
Add carbon constraints
Better analyze hydropower’s role
Add other regions
Your suggestions are welcome!