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Published byBarrie Goodwin Modified over 6 years ago
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The Big Mystery – What do these people do all day?
Alain Hung, CFA Associate Director of Investments
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WARF’s Approach Allocate risk not capital Separate beta and alpha
Maximize benefits of diversification
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R = rf + β + α
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Economic Diversification
Growth Inflation Rising Stocks Commodities Real Estate Private Equity Style Premia Inflation-linked bonds Falling Global nominal bonds
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Risk Allocation by Economic Environments
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Volatility Assumptions Leverage at Asset Level
Domestic Large Cap 16% 1x Domestic Mid Cap 18% Domestic Small Cap 21% EAFE 17% Emerging 23% Frontier Markets 25% Commodities Real Estate 13% TIPS 7% 2x Global Bonds 5.6% 2.6x Private Equity Style Premia 12% Alpha Portfolio 4%
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Rising Growth Falling Growth Rising Inflation Falling Inflation Target Risk Budget Capital Allocation Domestic Large Cap 3.1% 7% Domestic Mid Cap 1.5% 3% Domestic Small Cap 1.2% 2% EAFE 5.2% 10% 11% Emerging 5.0% 8% Frontier Markets 1.4% Commodities 2.5% 5.7% Real Estate 1.9% 0.9% 4% 5% TIPS 6.6% 13% 17% Global Bonds 7.9% 16% 20% Private Equity 3.6% Style Premia 1.3% Alpha Portfolio 12% 54% Total 100%
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Beta Portfolio leverage
1.5 Total portfolio leverage 2.0 Portfolio risk target 10.3% Expected excess return 6.1% Sharpe ratio 0.6
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5-Year 10-Year Portfolio Return 7.80% 7.40%
Spending Rate % % +3.30% +2.90%
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Quiz What was the portfolio’s 10-year annualized return as of the end of FY2016 (6/30/16)? What was the percentile ranking of that performance in a universe of the top 35 university foundations?
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Reminder: Investment contest due date, 3 p.m.
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