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Demand Side Equilibrium
Chapter 9 Demand Side Equilibrium
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Y C= *Y I G X M AE DInventories Firm's Reaction 10000 9500 400 300 200 100 10,300 -300 Increase Production; hire more workers 11000 10400 11,200 -200 12000 11300 12,100 -100 13000 12200 13,000 Equilibrium 14000 13100 13,900 Decrease Production Hire less workers 15000 14,800
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Consumption changes with Disposable Income Yd
C = a + MPC*Yd C = a + MPC*(Y-Tx+Tr) C1 DC=MPC*DYd Y National Income : Wages Profits Interest Rents Move UP Along C C0 Yd= Y- Tx+ Tr Yd0 Yd1
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Consumption changes with National Income Y
C = a + MPC*(Y+ Tr – Tx) C = a + MPC* (Tr – Tx) + MPC*Y C will shift with an increase in Transfers or a drop in Taxes New Intercept: A C = A + MPC*Y C1 DC=MPC*DY Move UP Along C Y National Income : Wages Profits Interest Rents C0 Increase in National Income Y Y Y0 Y1
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National Income Y(wages, Profits, Interest, Rents)
Aggregate Expenditures ~Total Sales AE = C + I + G + NX AE = 6,400 NX= 300 G = 500 I = 1000 AE = 6,400 C= 4,600 C = Y C = 4600 Y = 5,000 National Income Y(wages, Profits, Interest, Rents)
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National Income Y(wages, Profits, Interest, Rents)
Aggregate Expenditures AE NX= 300 AE = C + I + G + NX NX= 300 G = 500 NX= 300 ~Total Sales NX= 300 G = 500 G = 500 G = 500 I = 1000 I = 1000 AE = 24,400 I = 1000 AE = 19,000 AE = 10,900 I = 1000 AE = 6,400 C = 22,600 C = 17,200 C = Y C = 9,100 C = 4600 Y = 10,000 Y = 5,000 Y = 19,000 Y = 25,000 National Income Y(wages, Profits, Interest, Rents)
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Equilibrium Y = 19,000 ~Total Sales Firms decrease production
No change in production ~Total Sales +600 AE AE Firms increase production Change in Inventories = 10,000 – 10,900 = -900 (decrease) Change in Inventories = 5, ,400 = -1,400 (decrease) Change in Inventories = 19,000 – 19,900 = 0 (no change) Change in Inventories = 25,000 – 24,400 = +600 (increase) -900 -1,400 Y =25,000 If total production Y = 25,000 If total production Y = 19,000 If total production Y = 5,000 If total production Y = 10,000 AE=19,000 AE=24,400 Y=19,000 AE=10,900 AE=6,400 Aggregate Expenditures AE = 19,000 Aggregate Expenditures AE = 6,400 Aggregate Expenditures AE =10,900 Y=10,000 Y=5,000 Equilibrium Y = 19,000 Y = 5,000 Y = 10,000 Y = 19,000 Y = 25,000
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Distances into Vertical Distances.
The 45 line Converts Horizontal Distances into Vertical Distances. Y = 19,000 Y = 10,000 Y = 5,000 450 Y = 5,000 Y = 10,000 Y = 19,000 Y = 25,000
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Total Sales=Aggregate Expenditures
AE Total Sales=Aggregate Expenditures Total Production 450 Y = 5,000 Y = 10,000 Y = 19,000 Y = 25,000
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At Equilibrium there is NO change in Inventories Total Production AE
Inventories Increase Y Aggregate Expenditures AE AE AE (Sales) Inventories Decrease Y(Production) For any output level below equilibrium For any output level above equilibrium Total Production (Y)
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AE = 24,400 AE = 10,900 C, AE C If consumption, I, G or NX increase
AE = C+I+G+NX G = 500 NX= 300 If consumption, I, G or NX drop G = 500 I = 1000 AE = 24,400 The AE line shifts up The AE line shifts down I = 1000 AE = 10,900 C = Y C = 22,600 C = 9,100 100 Y = 10,000 Y = 25,000 Real Income = Real GDP = Y
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Total Sales or Aggregate Expenditures
AE AE= C+I+G+NX Total Sales or Aggregate Expenditures Total Production or Total Income (Y) 450 GDP/Income Y = 5,000 Y = 10,000 Y = 19,000 Y = 25,000
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Production > sales Inventories increase
GDP/Income Equilibrium Equilibrium AE AE= C+I+G+NX If C,I,G or NX Decrease, AE line shifts down Production > sales Inventories increase Firms decrease output Equilibrium output decreases Lower Y*
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Sales > Production Inventories Decrease
AE New Equilibrium Equilibrium Equilibrium output increase Sales > Production Inventories Decrease If AE line shifts up Firms Increase Output 450 Higher Y1* Y0*
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Equilibrium AE Potential GDP AE
Where it should be: zero unemployment, no excess capacity Where the economy is stuck 450 Equilibrium GDP Potential GDP
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E B Equilibrium AE Potential GDP AE AE
To increase AE: increase in C, I, G or NX To eliminate a recessionary gap, AE must rise. AE Equilibrium Decrease Taxes/Increase Transfers Decrease interest Rates Increase Government Spending Make Dollar Weaker E B Distance E-B Economy is producing less than desired output Recessionary Gap Recessionary gap: GDP is lower than full employment GDP 7,000-6,000 =1,000 450 Equilibrium GDP: 6,000 Potential GDP : 7,000
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E B Equilibrium AE To decrease AE: Increase Taxes/Decrease Transfers
Increase interest Rates Decrease Government Spending Make Dollar Stronger Trying to produce more than possible Zero Unemployment, No excess capacity AE Working at full capacity: equipment breaks down more often: costs rise Labor shortages: hiring workers who already have a job: Labor costs rise To eliminate an Inflationary gap, AE must fall. AE Equilibrium Rising costs = rising prices E B Distance E-B Inflationary Gap 7,000-8,000 = -1,000 450 Potential GDP : 7,000 Equilibrium GDP: 8,000
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Which AE line will cause a recessionary gap?
Which AE line will cause an Inflationary gap?
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Assume the Economy is at Equilibrium
GDP = ? Is total spending larger than/smaller than/equal to Output? Do Inventories fall, rise or remain unchanged? Does the economy experience a recessionary/inflationary gap? What is the size of the gap? How can the gap be closed?
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Assume the Economy is at Equilibrium
GDP = ? Is total spending larger than/smaller than/equal to Output? Do Inventories fall, rise or remain unchanged? Does the economy experience a recessionary/inflationary gap? What is the size of the gap? How can the gap be closed?
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At Y=3000 At Y=4000 At Y=5000 Potential GDP AE=C+I+G+NX
Is the economy at equilibrium ? Total Spending( > = < )Output Inventories (rise, fall, remain the same) Firms will (increase, decrease, not change)output. Does the economy experience a (recessionary, inflationary) gap? Size of the Gap = __________ Is the economy experiencing unemployment or labor shortages? Is the economy at equilibrium ? Total Spending( > = < )Output Inventories (rise, fall, remain the same) Firms will (increase, decrease, not change)output. Once the Economy reaches equilibrium, will the economy experience a (recessionary, inflationary) gap? Size of the Gap = __________ Is the economy experiencing unemployment or labor shortages? Is the economy at equilibrium ? Total Spending( > = < )Output Inventories (rise, fall, remain the same) Firms will (increase, decrease, not change)output. Once the Economy reaches equilibrium, will the economy experience a (recessionary, inflationary) gap? Size of the Gap = __________ Is the economy experiencing unemployment or labor shortages?
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At Y=3000 At Y=4000 At Y=5000 Is the economy at equilibrium ?
Total Spending( > = < )Output Inventories (rise, fall, remain the same) Firms will (increase, decrease, not change)output. Once the Economy reaches equilibrium, will the economy experience a (recessionary, inflationary) gap? Is the economy experiencing unemployment or labor shortages? Is the economy at equilibrium ? Total Spending( > = < )Output Inventories (rise, fall, remain the same) Firms will (increase, decrease, not change)output. Does the economy experience a (recessionary, inflationary) gap? Is the economy experiencing unemployment or labor shortages? Is the economy at equilibrium ? Total Spending( > = < )Output Inventories (rise, fall, remain the same) Firms will (increase, decrease, not change)output. Once the Economy reaches equilibrium, will the economy experience a (recessionary, inflationary) gap? Is the economy experiencing unemployment or labor shortages?
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Income that does not come back to buy goods and services
NI Spending Leakages Taxes Imports Income that does not come back to buy goods and services Saving GDP
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NI GDP Spending Injections Imports Taxes Government spending Exports
Saving Investment
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Equilibrium Leakages S+T+M I+G+X Injections
Not enough spending Inventories accumulate Spending = Output inventories do not change Leakages S+T+M Leakages larger than Injections I+G+X I+G+X=S+T+M Injections Larger than Leakages Injections Ybelow equilibrium Y Equilibrium Yabove equilibrium Too much spending inventories fall
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Equilibrium AE S+T+M I+G+X > Inventories increase Inventories fall
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At equilibrium, Leakages = Injections S+T+M = I + G + X Rearrange:
S = I + (G-T) (X-M) Savings finance Government’s Deficit: Spending > Tax Revenue Trade Deficit: Buy more from other countries than we sell to them Investment
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At Y = 3,000 are inventories rising? Falling? Unchanged?
What is the equilibrium GDP? For what value of GDP is: Y = AE? For what value of GDP is: Y = AE? For what value of GDP is: S = I +(G-T) +(X-M)? I + (G-T) + (X-M)
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