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Macro Outline AP Macro Outline – 2005-2006
I. Basic economic concepts – 12 % Chapters 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 & parts of 20 A. Scarcity, choice and opportunity costs B. Production possibilities curve C. Comparative advantage, specialization and exchange D. Demand, supply, and market equilibrium E. Macroeconomic issues: business cycle, unemployment, inflation, growth II. Measurement of economic performance – 16 % Chapters 4, 5, 7, 8 A. National Income Accounts (4-6%) 1. Circular flow 2. Gross Domestic Product 3. Components of GDP 4. Real versus Nominal GDP B. Inflation measurement and adjustment (4-5%) 1. Price indices 2. Nominal versus real values 3. Costs of inflation C. Unemployment (4-5%) 1. Definition and measurement 2. Types of unemployment 3. Natural rate of unemployment Macro Outline
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Macro Outline III. National income and price determination 15 – 25 %
Chapters 9, 10, 11, 12 A. Aggregate Demand (5-8 %) 1. Determinants of AD 2. Multiplier and crowding-out effects B. Aggregate Supply (5-8%) 1. Short run and long run analyses 2. Sticky versus flexible wages and prices 3. Determinants of AS C. Macroeconomic equilibrium (5-8%) 1. Real output and price level 2. Short run and long run 3. Actual versus full-employment output 4. Economic fluctuations IV. Financial Sector – 20 % Chapters 13, 14, 15 A. Money, banking and financial markets (7-15%) 1. Definition of financial assets: money, stocks, bonds 2. Time values of money 3. Measures of money supply 4. Banks and creation of money 5. Money demand 6. Money market 7. Loanable funds market B. Central bank and control of the money supply (3-5%) 1. Tools of central bank policy 2. Quantity theory of money 3. Real versus nominal interest rates Macro Outline
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V. Inflation, Unemployment and Stabilization Policies 20 – 30%
Chapters 11, 12, 16, 17, 18, 19 A. Fiscal and Monetary policies (15-20%) 1. Demand side effects 2. Supply side effects 3. Policy mix 4. Government deficits and debt B. Inflation and unemployment (5-10%) 1. Types of inflation a) Demand-pull b) Cost-push 2. The Phillips Curve: short run versus long run 3. Role of expectations VI. Economic Growth and Productivity – 6% Mix of all chapters Investment in Human capital Investment in physical capital Research and development and technological progress Growth policy VII. Open economy: International Trade and Finance 10 – 12% Chapters 6, 37, 38 A. Balance of payment accounts 1. Balance of trade 2. Current account 3. Capital account B. Foreign exchange market 1. Demand for and supply of foreign exchange 2. Exchange rate determination 3. Currency appreciation and depreciation C. Net Exports and Capital flows D. Links to financial and goods markets. Macro Outline
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Money and Banking 2005 Chapters 13-14-15
An easy but important conclusion to Macro – 20+ AP Questions Bonus work chapter By February 10 Chapter 13 Quiz Monday, February 13 Chapter 13 By February 17 Chapter 14 By week of February 20 Chapter 15. Test Day: Thursday 2/23/06
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Money & Banking FUNCTIONS OF MONEY SUPPLY OF MONEY DEMAND FOR MONEY
MONEY MARKET U.S. FINANCIAL SYSTEM Money & Banking CHAPTER THIRTEEN
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The Historical Development of $
From Barter to Electronic Fund Transfers (EFT’s)!
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Barter The oldest system of exchange!
Problem with the “double coincidence of wants”.
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Commodity Money Money that is valuable in and of itself.
Cows, salt, shells, tobacco, camels, cigarettes, bullets, tea, anything that is mutually acceptable. On Mocha it was clam shells!!
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Problems with Commodity Money
Storage Making change Carrying it to market Consistent Value
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Precious Metals A decided advantage in making change and storage.
Problems of limited supply and over supply.
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Bimetallic Systems With gold in short supply and not enough money in circulation, Gresham, Chancellor of the Exchequer in England in the 1800’s introduced silver to the money supply! A disaster ensued!
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Gresham’s Rule: Cheap money drives out expensive!
What happens when gold and silver are used together?
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Fiat Money Paper Money - Currency
Fiat money’s value is based on FAITH! Introduced by the Chinese as soon as paper was invented. Printing too much money can induce hyperinflation. Today’s Federal Reserve Notes are legal tender – valuable by law!
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Hyper inflation grew to 1 dollar=4 trillion marks
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Original 5% interest on $10 billion war debt to U.S.
High U.S. tariff of 1922 prevented Europe debt repayment Germany unable to pay $32 billion reparations but Coolidge demanded payments: "They hired the money, didn't they?" Congress passed 1930 Hawley-Smoot "tariff wall" and Hoover refused veto despite appeal of 38 nations and 1028 American economists
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Inflation 1923/24: a woman feeds her tiled stove with money.
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Hyperinflation was rare before the 20th century; older economies would revert to either specie metals or barter once inflation reached a certain level. The widespread use of fiat money created the possibility of hyperinflation as governments often tended to print larger amounts of money to finance their expenses. Inflation results where such an increase in money supply occurs without regard for the actual market demand. Rates of inflation of several hundred percent per month are often seen. Extreme examples include Germany in the early 1920s when the rate of inflation hit 3.25 million percent per month; Greece in the mid-1940s with 8.55 billion percent per month; and Hungary during the same approximate time period at 4.19 quintillion percent per month. Other more moderate examples include Eastern European countries in the period of economic transition in the early 1990s and in Bolivia and Peru in 1985 and 1988, respectively. Nations such as Ghana in North Western Africa continue to this day to have inflation in the order of 30% per annum.
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Hyperinflation! Various workers also had to be paid by the Weimar Government, additional currency was printed, which fuelled a period of hyperinflation. The value of the Mark declined from 4.2 per US dollar to 1,000,000 per dollar by August 1923 and 4,200,000,000,000 per dollar on November 20. On December 1, a new currency was established at the rate of 1,000,000,000,000 old marks for 1 new mark, the Rentenmark.
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Demand Deposits, Share Drafts, NOW Accounts: Checks!
Created by medieval goldsmiths, today checks and checkbook deposits cover 90% of all business transactions. Most people are paid by check or by direct deposit to a checking account.
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Electronic Fund Transfer
Increasingly money is merely transferred from one account to another by computer terminals and cash registers. Debit or check cards automatically transfer funds from a purchasers account to a stores account! Better than cash because it is faster and a record is kept of transactions.
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What about credit cards?
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The most profitable portion of many bank’s business!
They Are Not Money! They are a SCAM! Because of suckers who use it as an expensive loan at up to 35%.
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Characteristics of Money
Acceptable Portable Durable Divisible Recognizable Stable in value-Homogeneous Stable in time
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Functions of Money Medium of Exchange
Socially acceptable and allows geographic and human specialization.
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Functions of Money Medium of Exchange Unit of Account,
Measure of Value It is a “yardstick” for measuring the relative worth of a variety of goods.
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Functions of Money Medium of Exchange Unit of Account,
Measure of Value Store of Value A convenient way to store wealth, cash is the most liquid.
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Functions of Money Medium of Exchange Unit of Account, Price
Measure of Value Store of Value Standard for deferred Payment Can count on its worth in the future.
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Money Definition
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Money Definition Coins & Currency Coins , 2- 3 % of M1
Paper Money, 37 % of M1
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Money Definition Federal Reserve Notes Coins & Currency
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Money Definition Coins & Currency Checkable Deposits 60% of M1
Commercial Banks Thrift Institutions Savings & Loan Associations
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Money Definition Currency Token Money Intrinsic Value
M1 = C + C + C + TLC Coins, Currency, Checks Things like Checks! Currency Token Money Intrinsic Value Checkable Deposits Commercial Banks Thrift Institutions Savings & Loan Associations
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Money Definition = Plus...
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Money Definition = Plus... Near-monies
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= Plus... Money Definition Near-monies
1. Noncheckable Savings Accounts
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= Plus... Money Definition Near-monies
1. Noncheckable Savings Accounts 2. Money Market Deposit Accounts
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= Plus... Money Definition Near-monies
1. Noncheckable Savings Accounts 2. Money Market Deposit Accounts 3. Time Deposits
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= Plus... Money Definition Near-monies
M2 = M1 + <$100,000 Most Watched! Near-monies 1. Noncheckable Savings Accounts 2. Money Market Deposit Accounts 3. Time Deposits 4. Money Market Mutual Funds
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Money Definition = Plus... Large Time Deposits M3 = M2 + >$100,000
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Measuring the Money Supply
M1 smallest and most liquid M3 largest and least liquid M2 tracked most closely by the FED M2 that portion of the money supply controlled by consumers M1 = C + C + C + TLC M2 = M1 + <$100,000 M3 = M2 + >$100,000 Money Supply impacts i which impacts both C & I in C + I + G + (X – M) = AD!
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Monetary Control The Federal Reserve vs Pure Monetarists Allen Greenspan Milton Friedman Expansionary/Contractionary Conservative/Growth
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The Federal Reserve vs Pure Monetarists
Allen Greenspan Milton Friedman 3 Economic Common Goals: 3-5% RGDP Growth Stable Prices Full Employment Money Supply Growth At 3-5% Annually no matter The Cycle of the Economy MS * V = NGDP Counter Cyclical Money Supply Manipulation! MS i I GDP Recession Inflation Grow Money Supply at 3-5% no matter economic conditions.
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The Future?!? Ben Bernanke has replaced Alan Greenspan.
Greenspan’s last day was Friday, February 3, 2006 Bernanke replaced on Monday, February 6, 2006!
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The Supply of Money plus Checkable deposits
Currency (coins & paper money) plus Checkable deposits 1997 Data (billions of dollars)
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The Supply of Money M1 plus Checkable deposits equals M1
Currency (coins & paper money) plus Checkable deposits equals M1 M1 $1057 1997 Data (billions of dollars)
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The Supply of Money M1 plus Checkable deposits equals M1
Currency (coins & paper money) plus Checkable deposits equals M1 plus Noncheckable savings deposits, including MMDA’s plus Small time deposits plus Money market mutual fund balances (MMMF’s) M1 $1057 1997 Data (billions of dollars)
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The Supply of Money M1 M2 plus Checkable deposits equals M1
Currency (coins & paper money) plus Checkable deposits equals M1 plus Noncheckable savings deposits, including MMDA’s plus Small time deposits plus Money market mutual fund balances (MMMF’s) equals M2 M1 M2 $1057 $3964 1997 Data (billions of dollars)
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The Supply of Money M1 M2 plus Large time deposits
Currency (coins & paper money) plus Checkable deposits equals M1 plus Noncheckable savings deposits, including MMDA’s plus Small time deposits plus Money market mutual fund balances (MMMF’s) equals M2 plus Large time deposits M1 M2 $1057 $3964 1997 Data (billions of dollars)
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The Supply of Money M1 M2 M3 plus Large time deposits
Currency (coins & paper money) plus Checkable deposits equals M1 plus Noncheckable savings deposits, including MMDA’s plus Small time deposits plus Money market mutual fund balances (MMMF’s) equals M2 plus Large time deposits equals M3 M1 M2 M3 $1057 $3964 1997 Data (billions of dollars) $5205
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MONEY SUPPLY plus Savings deposits, plus Savings deposits,
Currency (coins & paper money) plus Checkable deposits equals M1 plus Savings deposits, including MMDA’s plus Small time deposits plus Money market mutual fund (MMMF) balances equals M2 Currency (coins & paper money) plus Checkable deposits equals M1 plus Savings deposits, including MMDA’s plus Small time deposits plus Money market mutual fund (MMMF) balances equals M2 plus Large time deposits equals M3 $1101 $4827 2000 Data (billions of dollars) $6853
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What Backs the Money Supply?
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What Backs the Money Supply?
Money as Debt Paper money and checks are promises to pay. In other words, issued money to be used in financial transactions. Monetary authorities attempt to provide the amount of $ needed for a level of business activity that will promote full employment.
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What Backs the Money Supply?
Money as Debt Value of Money
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What Backs the Money Supply?
Money as Debt Value of Money Acceptability Society accepts it as a medium of exchange.
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What Backs the Money Supply?
Money as Debt Value of Money Acceptability Legal Tender By law creditors must accept money as a form of payment.
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What Backs the Money Supply?
Money as Debt Value of Money Acceptability Legal Tender Fiat Money $ backed by the faith that the government will keep it stable.
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What Backs the Money Supply?
Money as Debt Value of Money Acceptability Legal Tender Relative Scarcity When demand stays constant, the supply of money will determine its purchasing power.
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What Backs the Money Supply?
Money as Debt Value of Money Acceptability Legal Tender Relative Scarcity Money and Prices
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What Backs the Money Supply?
Money as Debt Value of Money Acceptability Legal Tender Relative Scarcity Money and Prices Value of the Dollar The 50 cent dollar – “Ya sure can’t buy what you used to for a buck”
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= What Backs the Money Supply? NOTES: Money as Debt Value of Money
Acceptability Legal Tender Relative Scarcity Money and Prices Value of the Dollar NOTES: Reciprocal relationship between the price level and the value of the dollar. D = 1 P
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What Backs the Money Supply?
Money as Debt Value of Money Acceptability Legal Tender Relative Scarcity Money and Prices Value of the Dollar Inflation and Acceptability If rampant inflation, society will not accept, value is gone!
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Maintaining Money’s Value
What backs the money supply?
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Stable Value! through.... Maintaining Money’s Value
What backs the money supply? Stable Value! through....
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Stable Value! through.... Maintaining Money’s Value
What backs the money supply? Stable Value! through.... Appropriate fiscal policy
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Stable Value! through.... Maintaining Money’s Value
What backs the money supply? Stable Value! through.... Appropriate fiscal policy Intelligent management of the money supply Fiscal Policy = Congress + President Money Supply = The FED
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The Demand For Money
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The Demand For Money varies directly with nominal GDP
Transactions Demand, D1 varies directly with nominal GDP Primary function – Medium of exchange
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illustrated.... The Demand For Money varies directly with nominal GDP
Transactions Demand, D1 varies directly with nominal GDP Asset Demand, D2 varies inversely with the interest rate illustrated.... AP Essay Primary function store of value
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Rate of interest, i (percent)
The Demand For Money + Transactions Demand, Dt 10 7.5 5 2.5 Rate of interest, i (percent) Dt Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc in your text book before AP Curriculum
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Rate of interest, i (percent) Rate of interest, i (percent)
The Demand For Money + = Transactions Demand, Dt Asset Demand, Da 10 7.5 5 2.5 10 7.5 5 2.5 Rate of interest, i (percent) Rate of interest, i (percent) Dt Da Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc in your text book before AP Curriculum
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+ = The Demand For Money Transactions Demand, Dt Asset Demand, Da
Total demand for money, Dm 10 7.5 5 2.5 10 7.5 5 2.5 10 7.5 5 2.5 Rate of interest, i (percent) Rate of interest, i (percent) Rate of interest, i (percent) Dm Dt Da Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc in your text book before AP Curriculum
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+ = The Demand For Money ADD THE MONEY SUPPLY TO FIND THE
Transactions Demand, Dt Asset Demand, Da Total demand for money, Dm ADD THE MONEY SUPPLY TO FIND THE EQUILIBRIUM RATE OF INTEREST 10 7.5 5 2.5 10 7.5 5 2.5 10 7.5 5 2.5 Rate of interest, i (percent) Rate of interest, i (percent) Rate of interest, i (percent) Dm Dt Da Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc in your text book before AP Curriculum
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+ = The Demand For Money Equilibrium Interest Rate ie Transactions
Demand, Dt Asset Demand, Da Total demand for money, Dm Sm 10 7.5 5 2.5 10 7.5 5 2.5 10 7.5 5 2.5 Rate of interest, i (percent) Rate of interest, i (percent) Rate of interest, i (percent) ie Dm Dt Da Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Equilibrium Interest Rate Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc in your text book before AP Curriculum
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Rate of interest, i (percent) Amount of money demanded
The Money Market Sm Suppose the money supply is decreased from $200 billion, Sm, to $150 billion Sm1. 10 7.5 5 2.5 ie Rate of interest, i (percent) Dm Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc in your text book before AP Curriculum
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Rate of interest, i (percent) Amount of money demanded
The Money Market Sm1 Sm A temporary shortage of money will require the sale of some assets to meet the need. 10 7.5 5 2.5 ie Rate of interest, i (percent) Dm Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc in your text book before AP Curriculum
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lower prices associated
The Money Market Sm1 Sm Bonds are assumed as a typical asset with lower prices associated with higher interest rates A temporary shortage of money will require the sale of some assets to meet the need. 10 7.5 5 2.5 ie Rate of interest, i (percent) Dm Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc in your text book before AP Curriculum
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Rate of interest, i (percent) Amount of money demanded
The Money Market Sm1 After adjustments to asset holdings, a new equilibrium will be seen at a higher level of interest. 10 7.5 5 2.5 ie Rate of interest, i (percent) Dm Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars)
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Rate of interest, i (percent) Amount of money demanded
The Money Market Sm Suppose the money supply is increased from $200 billion, Sm, to $250 billion Sm2. 10 7.5 5 2.5 ie Rate of interest, i (percent) Dm Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars)
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Rate of interest, i (percent) Amount of money demanded
The Money Market Sm Sm2 A temporary surplus of money will require the purchase of some assets to meet the de- sired level of liquidity. 10 7.5 5 2.5 ie Rate of interest, i (percent) Dm Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars)
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Rate of interest, i (percent) Amount of money demanded
The Money Market Sm2 After adjustments to asset holdings, a new equilibrium will be seen at a lower level of interest. 10 7.5 5 2.5 Rate of interest, i (percent) ie Dm Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars)
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The United States Financial System
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The United States Financial System
The Federal Reserve System
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The United States Financial System
The Federal Reserve System Board of Governors
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The United States Financial System
The Federal Reserve System Board of Governors Assistance & Advice
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The United States Financial System
The Federal Reserve System Board of Governors Assistance & Advice Federal Open Market Committee
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The United States Financial System
The Federal Reserve System Board of Governors Assistance & Advice Federal Open Market Committee Three Advisory Councils
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The United States Financial System
The Federal Reserve System Board of Governors Assistance & Advice Federal Open Market Committee Three Advisory Councils The Twelve Federal Reserve Banks
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The United States Financial System
The Federal Reserve System Board of Governors Assistance & Advice Federal Open Market Committee Three Advisory Councils The Twelve Federal Reserve Banks Central Bank Role
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The United States Financial System
The Federal Reserve System Board of Governors Assistance & Advice Federal Open Market Committee Three Advisory Councils The Twelve Federal Reserve Banks Central Bank Role Quasipublic Banks
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The United States Financial System
The Federal Reserve System Board of Governors Assistance & Advice Federal Open Market Committee Three Advisory Councils The Twelve Federal Reserve Banks Central Bank Role Quasipublic Banks Banker’s Banks
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The United States Financial System
The Federal Reserve System Board of Governors Assistance & Advice Federal Open Market Committee Three Advisory Councils The Twelve Federal Reserve Banks Central Bank Role Quasipublic Banks Banker’s Banks Commercial Banks & Thrifts
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FED Functions and the Money Supply
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FED Functions and the Money Supply
Issuing Currency
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FED Functions and the Money Supply
Issuing Currency Setting Reserve Requirements & Holds Reserves
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FED Functions and the Money Supply
Issuing Currency Setting Reserve Requirements & Holds Reserves Lending Money to Banks & Thrifts
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FED Functions and the Money Supply
Issuing Currency Setting Reserve Requirements & Holds Reserves Lending Money to Banks & Thrifts Check Collection
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FED Functions and the Money Supply
Issuing Currency Setting Reserve Requirements & Holds Reserves Lending Money to Banks & Thrifts Check Collection Fiscal Agents for the Federal Government
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FED Functions and the Money Supply
Issuing Currency Setting Reserve Requirements & Holds Reserves Lending Money to Banks & Thrifts Check Collection Fiscal Agents for the Federal Government Supervision of Member Banks
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FED Functions and the Money Supply
Issuing Currency Setting Reserve Requirements & Holds Reserves Lending Money to Banks & Thrifts Check Collection Fiscal Agents for the Federal Government Supervision of Member Banks Control of the Money Supply
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NOTES: FED Functions and the Money Supply Issuing Currency
Setting Reserve Requirements & Holds Reserves Lending Money to Banks & Thrifts Check Collection Fiscal Agents for the Federal Government Supervision of Member Banks Control of the Money Supply NOTES: Federal Reserve Independence from Federal Government
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Recent Developments Relative Decline of Banks & Thrifts
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Recent Developments Relative Decline of Banks & Thrifts
Expansion of Services
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Recent Developments Relative Decline of Banks & Thrifts
Expansion of Services Mergers
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Recent Developments Relative Decline of Banks & Thrifts
Expansion of Services Mergers Regulatory Reform
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Recent Developments Relative Decline of Banks & Thrifts
Expansion of Services Mergers Regulatory Reform Market Globalization
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Recent Developments Relative Decline of Banks & Thrifts
Expansion of Services Mergers Regulatory Reform Market Globalization Electronic Money
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Recent Developments Relative Decline of Banks & Thrifts
Expansion of Services Mergers Regulatory Reform Market Globalization Electronic Money E-Cash
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Recent Developments Relative Decline of Banks & Thrifts
Expansion of Services Mergers Regulatory Reform Market Globalization Electronic Money E-Cash Smart Cards
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Questions and Discussion
Recent Developments Relative Decline of Banks & Thrifts Expansion of Services Mergers Regulatory Reform Market Globalization Electronic Money E-Cash Smart Cards Questions and Discussion
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money market mutual fund legal tender fiat money transactions demand
time deposits money market mutual fund legal tender fiat money transactions demand asset demand total demand for money money market Federal Reserve System Board of Governors Federal Open Market Committee Advisory Councils Federal Reserve Banks commercial banks E-cash smart cards medium of exchange unit of account store of value M1, M2, M3 token money intrinsic value Federal Reserve Notes checkable deposits thrift (savings) institutions savings & loan associations mutual savings banks credit unions near-monies noncheckable deposits money market deposit account Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc. 1999
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The Demand For Money
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The Demand For Money varies directly with nominal GDP
Transactions Demand, D1 varies directly with nominal GDP
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illustrated.... The Demand For Money varies directly with nominal GDP
Transactions Demand, D1 varies directly with nominal GDP Asset Demand, D2 varies inversely with the interest rate illustrated.... AP Essay 04
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Rate of interest, i (percent)
The Demand For Money + Transactions Demand, Dt 10 7.5 5 2.5 Rate of interest, i (percent) Dt Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc in your text book before AP Curriculum
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Rate of interest, i (percent) Rate of interest, i (percent)
The Demand For Money + = Transactions Demand, Dt Asset Demand, Da 10 7.5 5 2.5 10 7.5 5 2.5 Rate of interest, i (percent) Rate of interest, i (percent) Dt Da Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc in your text book before AP Curriculum
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+ = The Demand For Money Transactions Demand, Dt Asset Demand, Da
Total demand for money, Dm 10 7.5 5 2.5 10 7.5 5 2.5 10 7.5 5 2.5 Rate of interest, i (percent) Rate of interest, i (percent) Rate of interest, i (percent) Dm Dt Da Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc in your text book before AP Curriculum
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+ = The Demand For Money ADD THE MONEY SUPPLY TO FIND THE
Transactions Demand, Dt Asset Demand, Da Total demand for money, Dm ADD THE MONEY SUPPLY TO FIND THE EQUILIBRIUM RATE OF INTEREST 10 7.5 5 2.5 10 7.5 5 2.5 10 7.5 5 2.5 Rate of interest, i (percent) Rate of interest, i (percent) Rate of interest, i (percent) Dm Dt Da Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc in your text book before AP Curriculum
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+ = The Demand For Money Equilibrium Interest Rate ie Transactions
Demand, Dt Asset Demand, Da Total demand for money, Dm Sm 10 7.5 5 2.5 10 7.5 5 2.5 10 7.5 5 2.5 Rate of interest, i (percent) Rate of interest, i (percent) Rate of interest, i (percent) ie Dm Dt Da Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Equilibrium Interest Rate Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc in your text book before AP Curriculum
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Rate of interest, i (percent) Amount of money demanded
The Money Market Sm Suppose the money supply is decreased from $200 billion, Sm, to $150 billion Sm1. 10 7.5 5 2.5 ie Rate of interest, i (percent) Dm Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc in your text book before AP Curriculum
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Rate of interest, i (percent) Amount of money demanded
The Money Market Sm1 Sm A temporary shortage of money will require the sale of some assets to meet the need. 10 7.5 5 2.5 ie Rate of interest, i (percent) Dm Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc in your text book before AP Curriculum
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lower prices associated
The Money Market Sm1 Sm Bonds are assumed as a typical asset with lower prices associated with higher interest rates A temporary shortage of money will require the sale of some assets to meet the need. 10 7.5 5 2.5 ie Rate of interest, i (percent) Dm Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc in your text book before AP Curriculum
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Rate of interest, i (percent) Amount of money demanded
The Money Market Sm1 After adjustments to asset holdings, a new equilibrium will be seen at a higher level of interest. 10 7.5 5 2.5 ie Rate of interest, i (percent) Dm Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars)
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Rate of interest, i (percent) Amount of money demanded
The Money Market Sm Suppose the money supply is increased from $200 billion, Sm, to $250 billion Sm2. 10 7.5 5 2.5 ie Rate of interest, i (percent) Dm Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars)
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Rate of interest, i (percent) Amount of money demanded
The Money Market Sm Sm2 A temporary surplus of money will require the purchase of some assets to meet the de- sired level of liquidity. 10 7.5 5 2.5 ie Rate of interest, i (percent) Dm Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars)
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Rate of interest, i (percent) Amount of money demanded
The Money Market Sm2 After adjustments to asset holdings, a new equilibrium will be seen at a lower level of interest. 10 7.5 5 2.5 Rate of interest, i (percent) ie Dm Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars)
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Coming up next... How Banks Create Money Chapter 14
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Banks begin in Medieval Europe
Goldsmiths would hold peoples coins in their safes! Rather than take their coins on a trip which was unsafe. Goldsmiths issued script based on a person’s deposits
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Fractional Reserves An enterprising goldsmith realized that at anyone time only a portion of money on deposit circulated. Taking a risk the goldsmith was able to loan out someone else’s deposit at interest and make a profit. In so doing, the banking industry was born! But there were risks—Panics caused banks to fail! FDIC & FSLIC
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How Banks Create Money Total Reserves, Reserves, or Deposits
Excess Reserves Required Reserves Loan able Funds Required Reserve Ratio (RRR)
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New Deposit = $100,000 with a Required Reserve Ration of 20% Required Reserves Excess Reserves $20, $80,000 Excess reserves may be loaned out. The difference between the interest it receives on this money loaned and what it pays depositors determines a banks profitability. Required reserves the amount of money a bank must keep for safe operation. The % is under the control of the Federal Reserve!
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How Banks Create Money Banks create money by making loans, receiving deposits, and reloaning that money until all new deposits become required reserves. With no required reserves, how much money could be created?
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Multiple Deposit Expansion Process
Amount bank can lend - New money created Acquired reserves and deposits Required reserves Excess reserves Bank A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Other banks $100.00 80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 21.97 $20.00 16.00 12.80 10.24 8.19 6.55 5.24 4.20 3.36 2.68 2.15 1.72 1.37 1.10 4.40 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 Total amount of money created by the banking system Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc. 1999
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Multiple Deposit Expansion Process
Amount bank can lend - New money created Acquired reserves and deposits Required reserves Excess reserves Bank A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Other banks $100.00 80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 21.97 $20.00 16.00 12.80 10.24 8.19 6.55 5.24 4.20 3.36 2.68 2.15 1.72 1.37 1.10 4.40 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 Total amount of money created by the banking system Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc. 1999
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Multiple Deposit Expansion Process
Amount bank can lend - New money created Acquired reserves and deposits Required reserves Excess reserves Bank A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Other banks $100.00 80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 21.97 $20.00 16.00 12.80 10.24 8.19 6.55 5.24 4.20 3.36 2.68 2.15 1.72 1.37 1.10 4.40 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 Total amount of money created by the banking system Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc. 1999
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Multiple Deposit Expansion Process
Amount bank can lend - New money created Acquired reserves and deposits Required reserves Excess reserves Bank A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Other banks $100.00 80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 21.97 $20.00 16.00 12.80 10.24 8.19 6.55 5.24 4.20 3.36 2.68 2.15 1.72 1.37 1.10 4.40 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 Total amount of money created by the banking system Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc. 1999
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Multiple Deposit Expansion Process
Amount bank can lend - New money created Acquired reserves and deposits Required reserves Excess reserves Bank A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Other banks $100.00 80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 21.97 $20.00 16.00 12.80 10.24 8.19 6.55 5.24 4.20 3.36 2.68 2.15 1.72 1.37 1.10 4.40 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 Total amount of money created by the banking system Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc. 1999
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Multiple Deposit Expansion Process
Amount bank can lend - New money created Acquired reserves and deposits Required reserves Excess reserves Bank A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Other banks $100.00 80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 21.97 $20.00 16.00 12.80 10.24 8.19 6.55 5.24 4.20 3.36 2.68 2.15 1.72 1.37 1.10 4.40 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 Total amount of money created by the banking system Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc. 1999
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Multiple Deposit Expansion Process
Amount bank can lend - New money created Acquired reserves and deposits Required reserves Excess reserves Bank A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Other banks $100.00 80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 21.97 $20.00 16.00 12.80 10.24 8.19 6.55 5.24 4.20 3.36 2.68 2.15 1.72 1.37 1.10 4.40 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 Total amount of money created by the banking system Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc. 1999
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Multiple Deposit Expansion Process
Amount bank can lend - New money created Acquired reserves and deposits Required reserves Excess reserves Bank A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Other banks $100.00 80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 21.97 $20.00 16.00 12.80 10.24 8.19 6.55 5.24 4.20 3.36 2.68 2.15 1.72 1.37 1.10 4.40 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc. 1999
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Multiple Deposit Expansion Process
Amount bank can lend - New money created Acquired reserves and deposits Required reserves Excess reserves Bank A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Other banks $100.00 80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 21.97 $20.00 16.00 12.80 10.24 8.19 6.55 5.24 4.20 3.36 2.68 2.15 1.72 1.37 1.10 4.40 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 Total amount of money created by the banking system $400.00
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Money Destruction when Money is held and not reloaned!
Multiple Deposit Expansion Process Amount bank can lend - New money created Acquired reserves and deposits Required reserves Excess reserves Bank Money Destruction when Money is held and not reloaned! A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Other banks $100.00 80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 21.97 $20.00 16.00 12.80 10.24 8.19 6.55 5.24 4.20 3.36 2.68 2.15 1.72 1.37 1.10 4.40 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 Total amount of money created by the banking system $400.00
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The Monetary Multiplier
1 Monetary Multiplier = Required reserve ratio
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The Monetary Multiplier
1 Monetary Multiplier = Required reserve ratio Maximum Demand-deposit expansion = x Excess reserves Monetary Multiplier
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Outcome of Money Expansion
$100 New reserves $20 Required reserves $80 Excess reserves $100 Initial Deposit $400 Bank system lending Money Created Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc. 1999
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Bank does not give out loan. People not wanting loans.
Outcome of Money Expansion Leakages exist... Currency Drains People hold on to cash. Excess Reserves Bank does not give out loan. People not wanting loans. $100 New reserves $20 Required reserves $80 Excess reserves $100 Initial Deposit $400 Bank system lending Money Created Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc. 1999
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TI –ers and Ritger’s Formula
TR – (TR x RRR) Potential Change in Money Supply! = RRR Knowing this formula is dangerous and may harm your ability to pass the AP Test in May????????????
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AP Essay Questions From the 1993 Exam:
The reserve requirement for the banking system is 20%. Currently, Third National Bank has no excess reserves. Then Behroz deposits $100 in her checking account at Third National. A. Explain, without using mathematical formula, why Behroz' deposit can lead to greater increase in the money supply. B. Discuss two limitations on this process. From the 1995 Exam: What are the excess reserves and required in the third round with an initial deposit of $100 and a RRR of 20%?
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Multiple Deposit Expansion Process
Amount bank can lend - New money created Acquired reserves and deposits Required reserves Excess reserves Bank A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Other banks $100.00 80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 21.97 $20.00 16.00 12.80 10.24 8.19 6.55 5.24 4.20 3.36 2.68 2.15 1.72 1.37 1.10 4.40 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 Total amount of money created by the banking system $400.00
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All money creation and destruction is only a potential change in the money supply???
Money held as cash and not redeposited diminishes money creation or destruction. Banks holding excess reserves and not making new loans also diminishes the process.
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Transmission Graphs Ready to run in circles!
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Quantity of money demanded and supplied
Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP Sm1 MEI R i 10 8 6 10 8 6 Investment Demand Real rate of interest, i Dm Quantity of money demanded and supplied Amount of planned investment, I AS MEI – Marginal Efficiency of Investment As interest falls more Investment becomes Possible and Profitable! Price level P1 AD1 Real domestic output, GDP
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Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP
Sm1 MEI R i 10 8 6 10 8 6 Investment Demand Real rate of interest, i Dm Quantity of money demanded and supplied Amount of planned investment, I If the money supply increases to stimulate the economy.... AS Price level P1 AD1 Real domestic output, GDP
154
Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP
Sm1 Sm2 MEI R i 10 8 6 10 8 6 Investment Demand Real rate of interest, i Dm Quantity of money demanded and supplied Amount of planned investment, I AS Price level P2 P1 AD1 AD2 Real domestic output, GDP
155
If the money supply increases again....
Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP Sm1 Sm2 MEI R i 10 8 6 10 8 6 Investment Demand Real rate of interest, i Dm Quantity of money demanded and supplied Amount of planned investment, I If the money supply increases again.... AS Price level P2 P1 AD1 AD2 Real domestic output, GDP
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Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP
Sm1 Sm2 Sm3 MEI R i 10 8 6 10 8 6 Investment Demand Real rate of interest, i Dm Quantity of money demanded and supplied Amount of planned investment, I AS Long Run Effects: Increased planned investment will lead to increased AS 2. i down = international $ down, PL up = X down 3. Canceling effect: AD up, MD up, i up, and I down, = AD down P3 Price level P2 P1 AD1 AD2 AD3 Real domestic output, GDP
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Quantity of money demanded and supplied
Fiscal Policy and Equilibrium GDP Sm1 10 8 6 Price level Real rate of interest, i Dm2 Dm1 AD1 AD2 Quantity of money demanded and supplied Real domestic output, GDP R i 10 8 6 Long Run Effects: Decreased planned investment will lead to decreased AS 2. Canceling effect: I down, AD down, MD down, and i down, = AD up 3. i up = international $ up, PL down = X up MEI PI2 PI1 Amount of planned investment, I
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It's all #$@% %$&*! Money Supply Effects interest rate
Interest rate effects Investment Investment effects AD and AS AD and AS effect price level Price Level effects exports and imports It's all %$&*!
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Monetary Policy CHAPTER FIFTEEN FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK
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Fiscal and Monetary Goals are identical in that both seek to prevent wild inflationary and recessionary swings while guiding the economy on a path of steady economic growth, with full employment and stable prices!
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Tools of the Fed!!! *For an extended period of time!
Required Reserve Ratio Open Market Operation Discount Rate Federal Funds Rate Moral Suasion* *For an extended period of time!
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Federal Funds Rate
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Federal Funds Rate Over night lending rate Set by the Fed
Used to direct Banks and Money Supply Most often used between banks Less costs Less oversight
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Allan Greenspan Dr. Greenspan took office June 20, 2000, as Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System for a fourth four-year term ending June 20, Dr. Greenspan also serves as Chairman of the Federal Open Market Committee, the System's principal monetary policymaking body. He originally took office as Chairman and to fill an unexpired term as a member of the Board on August 11, Dr. Greenspan was reappointed to the Board to a full 14-year term which began February 1, He has been designated Chairman by Presidents Reagan, Bush and Clinton.
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Ben Bernanke Before his appointment as Chairman, Dr. Bernanke was Chairman of the President's Council of Economic Advisers, from June 2005 to January 2006. Dr. Bernanke has already served the Federal Reserve System in several roles. He was a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System from 2002 to 2005; a visiting scholar at the Federal Reserve Banks of Philadelphia ( ), Boston ( ), and New York ( , ); and a member of the Academic Advisory Panel at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York ( ). From 1994 to 1996, Dr. Bernanke was the Professor of Economics and Public Affairs at Princeton University. He was the Howard Harrison and Gabrielle Snyder Beck Professor of Economics and Public Affairs and Chair of the Economics Department at the university from 1996 to Dr. Bernanke had been a Professor of Economics and Public Affairs at Princeton since 1985.
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Organization of the Fed!!
Fed Chairman – Ben Bernanke! Board of Governors Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Federal Reserve Banks
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Organization of the FED
FOMC Ben+11 5 12 Federal Reserve Banks 7 7 Board of Governors DR & FFR OMO RRR
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GOALS OF MONETARY POLICY
to assist the economy in achieving a full-employment, noninflationary level of total output....
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Consolidated Balance Sheet of the Federal Reserve Banks
ASSETS
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Consolidated Balance Sheet of the Federal Reserve Banks
ASSETS Securities T-bills and T-bonds
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Consolidated Balance Sheet of the Federal Reserve Banks
ASSETS Securities Loans to Commercial Banks
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Consolidated Balance Sheet of the Federal Reserve Banks
ASSETS Securities Loans to Commercial Banks LIABILITIES
177
Consolidated Balance Sheet of the Federal Reserve Banks
ASSETS Securities Loans to Commercial Banks LIABILITIES Reserves of Commercial Banks
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Consolidated Balance Sheet of the Federal Reserve Banks
ASSETS Securities Loans to Commercial Banks LIABILITIES Reserves of Commercial Banks Treasury Deposits
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Consolidated Balance Sheet of the Federal Reserve Banks
ASSETS Securities Loans to Commercial Banks LIABILITIES Reserves of Commercial Banks Treasury Deposits Federal Reserve Notes
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Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY The FED can influence the $ creating abilities of commercial banks. Open Market Operations
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Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations Buying Securities
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From commercial banks... Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations Buying Securities From commercial banks...
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From commercial banks... Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations Buying Securities From commercial banks... Bank gives up securities
184
From commercial banks... Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations Buying Securities From commercial banks... Bank gives up securities FED pays bank
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From commercial banks... Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations Buying Securities From commercial banks... Bank gives up securities FED pays bank Banks have increased reserves
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From individuals... From commercial banks... Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations Buying Securities From commercial banks... Bank gives up securities FED pays bank Banks have increased reserves From individuals...
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From individuals... From commercial banks... Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations Buying Securities From commercial banks... Bank gives up securities FED pays bank Banks have increased reserves From individuals... Individual gives up securities
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From individuals... From commercial banks... Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations Buying Securities From commercial banks... Bank gives up securities FED pays bank Banks have increased reserves From individuals... Individual gives up securities Individual deposits check in bank
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From individuals... From commercial banks... Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations Buying Securities From commercial banks... Bank gives up securities FED pays bank Banks have increased reserves From individuals... Individual gives up securities Individual deposits check in bank Banks have increased reserves
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Federal Reserve Bond Purchase of Bonds
Purchase of a $1000 bond from a bank... New reserves $1000 Excess Reserves $5000 Bank System Lending Money Created
191
Federal Reserve Bond Purchase of Bonds
Purchase of a $1000 bond From the public... New reserves $200 Required reserves $800 Excess Reserves $4000 Bank System Lending $1000 Initial Deposit Total Increase in Money Supply ($5000)
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Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio
193
Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio Raising the Reserve Ratio
194
Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio Raising the Reserve Ratio Banks must hold more reserves
195
Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio Raising the Reserve Ratio Banks must hold more reserves Banks decrease lending
196
Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio Raising the Reserve Ratio Banks must hold more reserves Banks decrease lending Money supply decreases
197
Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio Raising the Reserve Ratio Banks must hold more reserves Banks decrease lending Money supply decreases Lowering the Reserve Ratio
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Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio Raising the Reserve Ratio Banks must hold more reserves Banks decrease lending Money supply decreases Lowering the Reserve Ratio Banks may hold less reserves
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Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio Raising the Reserve Ratio Banks must hold more reserves Banks decrease lending Money supply decreases Lowering the Reserve Ratio Banks may hold less reserves Banks increase lending
200
Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio Raising the Reserve Ratio Banks must hold more reserves Banks decrease lending Money supply decreases Lowering the Reserve Ratio Banks may hold less reserves Banks increase lending Money supply increases
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Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio The Discount Rate This differs from the Federal Funds Rate and the prime interest rate. Discount Rate – the rate the FED charges banks to borrow. Federal Funds Rate – the rate commercial banks charge each other. Prime Interest Rate – the rate banks charge their best customers.
202
Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio The Discount Rate Easy Money Policy
203
Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio The Discount Rate Easy Money Policy Buy Securities
204
Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio The Discount Rate Easy Money Policy Buy Securities Decrease Reserve Ratio
205
Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio The Discount Rate Easy Money Policy Buy Securities Decrease Reserve Ratio Lower Discount Rate
206
Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio The Discount Rate Easy Money Policy Tight Money Policy
207
Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio The Discount Rate Easy Money Policy Tight Money Policy Sell Securities
208
Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio The Discount Rate Easy Money Policy Tight Money Policy Sell Securities Increase Reserve Ratio
209
Open Market Operations
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations The Reserve Ratio The Discount Rate Easy Money Policy Tight Money Policy Sell Securities Increase Reserve Ratio Raise Discount Rate
210
Discuss relative Importance of each control
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Open Market Operations Discuss relative Importance of each control The Reserve Ratio The Discount Rate Easy Money Policy Tight Money Policy Sell securities Increase Reserve Ratio Raise Discount Rate
211
MONETARY POLICY, REAL GDP
AND THE PRICE LEVEL Cause-Effect Chain
212
MONETARY POLICY, REAL GDP
AND THE PRICE LEVEL Cause-Effect Chain Money supply impacts interest rates
213
MONETARY POLICY, REAL GDP
AND THE PRICE LEVEL Cause-Effect Chain Money supply impacts interest rates Interest rates affect investment
214
MONETARY POLICY, REAL GDP
AND THE PRICE LEVEL Cause-Effect Chain Money supply impacts interest rates Interest rates affect investment Investment is a component of AD
215
MONETARY POLICY, REAL GDP
AND THE PRICE LEVEL Cause-Effect Chain Money supply impacts interest rates Interest rates affect investment Investment is a component of AD Equilibrium GDP is changed
216
Quantity of money demanded and supplied
Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP Sm1 10 8 6 10 8 6 Investment Demand Real rate of interest, i Dm Quantity of money demanded and supplied Amount of investment, i AS Price level P1 AD1 Real domestic output, GDP Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc. 1999
217
Quantity of money demanded and supplied
Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP Sm1 10 8 6 10 8 6 Investment Demand Real rate of interest, i Dm Quantity of money demanded and supplied Amount of investment, i If the money supply increases to stimulate the economy.... AS Price level P1 AD1 Real domestic output, GDP Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc. 1999
218
Quantity of money demanded and supplied
Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP Sm1 Sm2 10 8 6 10 8 6 Investment Demand Real rate of interest, i Dm Quantity of money demanded and supplied Amount of investment, i AS Price level P2 P1 AD1 AD2 Real domestic output, GDP Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc. 1999
219
Quantity of money demanded and supplied
Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP Sm1 Sm2 10 8 6 10 8 6 Investment Demand Real rate of interest, i Dm Quantity of money demanded and supplied Amount of investment, i If the money supply increases again.... AS Price level P2 P1 AD1 AD2 Real domestic output, GDP Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc. 1999
220
Quantity of money demanded and supplied
Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP Sm1 Sm2 Sm3 10 8 6 10 8 6 Investment Demand Real rate of interest, i Dm Quantity of money demanded and supplied Amount of investment, i AS P3 Price level P2 P1 AD1 AD2 AD3 Real domestic output, GDP Copyright McGraw-Hill, Inc. 1999
221
Transmission Graphs
222
Quantity of money demanded and supplied
Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP Sm1 MEI R i 10 8 6 10 8 6 Investment Demand Real rate of interest, i Dm Quantity of money demanded and supplied Amount of planned investment, I AS MEI – Marginal Efficiency of Investment As interest falls more Investment becomes Possible and Profitable! Price level P1 AD1 Real domestic output, GDP
223
Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP
Sm1 MEI R i 10 8 6 10 8 6 Investment Demand Real rate of interest, i Dm Quantity of money demanded and supplied Amount of planned investment, I If the money supply increases to stimulate the economy.... AS Price level P1 AD1 Real domestic output, GDP
224
Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP
Sm1 Sm2 MEI R i 10 8 6 10 8 6 Investment Demand Real rate of interest, i Dm Quantity of money demanded and supplied Amount of planned investment, I AS Price level P2 P1 AD1 AD2 Real domestic output, GDP
225
If the money supply increases again....
Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP Sm1 Sm2 MEI R i 10 8 6 10 8 6 Investment Demand Real rate of interest, i Dm Quantity of money demanded and supplied Amount of planned investment, I If the money supply increases again.... AS Price level P2 P1 AD1 AD2 Real domestic output, GDP
226
Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP
Sm1 Sm2 Sm3 MEI R i 10 8 6 10 8 6 Investment Demand Real rate of interest, i Dm Quantity of money demanded and supplied Amount of planned investment, I AS Long Run Effects: Increased planned investment will lead to increased AS 2. i down = international $ down, X up 3. Canceling effect: AD up, MD up, i up, and I down, = AD down Secondary effects – PL up, X down P3 Price level P2 P1 AD1 AD2 AD3 Real domestic output, GDP
227
Quantity of money demanded and supplied
Fiscal Policy and Equilibrium GDP Sm1 10 8 6 Price level Real rate of interest, i Dm2 Dm1 AD1 AD2 Quantity of money demanded and supplied Real domestic output, GDP R i 10 8 6 Long Run Effects: 1. Decreased planned investment will lead to decreased AS 2. i up = international $ up, X down 3. Canceling effect: I down, AD down, MD down, and i down, = AD up, 4. Secondary effects – PL down = X up MEI PI2 PI1 Amount of planned investment, I
228
MONETARY POLICY, REAL GDP
AND THE PRICE LEVEL Effects of an easy money policy Decrease i, Increase I, Increase AD, RGDP Increases
229
MONETARY POLICY, REAL GDP
AND THE PRICE LEVEL Effects of an easy money policy Effects of a tight money policy Increase i, Decrease I, Decrease AD, Inflation declines
230
MONETARY POLICY, REAL GDP
AND THE PRICE LEVEL Effects of an easy money policy Effects of a tight money policy Policy effectiveness An increase in I will cause an increase in money demand. That will offset the reduction in interest rates.
231
MONETARY POLICY, REAL GDP
AND THE PRICE LEVEL Effects of an easy money policy Effects of a tight money policy Policy effectiveness Monetary policy & aggregate supply Where should monetary policy be employed?
232
Effectiveness of Monetary Policy
233
Effectiveness of Monetary Policy
Strengths of monetary policy
234
Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Strengths of monetary policy
Speed and flexibility
235
Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Strengths of monetary policy
Speed and flexibility Isolation from political pressure
236
Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Strengths of monetary policy
Speed and flexibility Isolation from political pressure Recent successes
237
Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Strengths of monetary policy
Speed and flexibility Isolation from political pressure Recent successes Shortcomings and problems
238
Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Strengths of monetary policy
Speed and flexibility Isolation from political pressure Recent successes Shortcomings and problems Less control?
239
Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Strengths of monetary policy
Speed and flexibility Isolation from political pressure Recent successes Shortcomings and problems Less control? Cyclical asymmetry
240
Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Strengths of monetary policy
Speed and flexibility Isolation from political pressure Recent successes Shortcomings and problems Less control? Cyclical asymmetry Changes in velocity of money
241
Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Strengths of monetary policy
Speed and flexibility Isolation from political pressure Recent successes Shortcomings and problems Less control? Cyclical asymmetry Changes in velocity of money The investment impact
242
Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Strengths of monetary policy
Speed and flexibility Isolation from political pressure Recent successes Shortcomings and problems Less control? Cyclical asymmetry Changes in velocity of money The investment impact Interest as income
243
Monetary Policy and the International Economy
Net export effect Interest rates affect the demand for the $, increased i rates, increased demand for $, $ appreciates, lower exports.
244
Monetary Policy and the International Economy
Net export effect Macro stability and the trade balance
245
Monetary Policy and the International Economy
Net export effect Macro stability and the trade balance Discussion...
246
monetary policy open-market committee reserve ratio discount rate easy money policy tight money policy velocity of money prime interest rate
247
Extending the Analysis
of Aggregate Supply Next Chapter 16
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