1. Future Directions

2. Future Studies Groups Futurist Future criminology
One who studies the future
The task of the futurist is to effectively distinguish among impending possibilities and make realistic forecasts
Future criminology
The study of likely futures as they impinge on crime and its control
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3. Future Studies Groups World Future Society
Society of Police Futurists International (PFI)
Futures Working Group (PFI/FBI joint venture)
Foresight program (in the UK)
Future Crimes Institute

4. Techniques of Futures Research
a multidisciplinary branch of operations research whose principal aim is to facilitate long-range planning based on
Forecasting from the past supported by mathematical models
Cross-disciplinary treatment of its subject matter
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5. Techniques of Futures Research
a multidisciplinary branch of operations research whose principal aim is to facilitate long-range planning based on
Systematic use of expert judgment
A systems-analytical approach to its problems

6. Principles of the Futurist Perspective
The future is determined by a combination of factors, including human choice
There are alternative futures
We operate within an interdependent, interrelated system
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7. Principles of the Futurist Perspective
Tomorrow’s problems are developing today
We should regularly develop possible responses to potential changes

8. Techniques of Futures Research
Trend extrapolation
Cross-impact analysis
The Delphi Method
Simulations and models
Environmental scanning
Scenario writing
Strategic assessment

9. Future Crimes
By 2025, socially significant crime in the advanced nations will be increasingly economic and computer based
The heads of 21st century criminal organizations will be educated, highly sophisticated, and computer literate
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10. Future Crimes
Identity manipulation will be a nexus of future criminality
Criminal organizations will have their own satellites to coordinate drug trafficking and money laundering operations
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11. Future Crimes Georgette Bennett predicts areas of coming change
Decline in street crime
Increase in white-collar and high-tech crime
Increase in crimes by women and the elderly
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12. Future Crimes Georgette Bennett predicts areas of coming change
Shift in high crime rates from Frost Belt to Sun Belt
Safer cities, more crime in small towns and rural areas

13. New Criminologies
L. Edward Wells predicts that future explanations of crime will be:
More eclectic
More comparative
Predominantly individualist and voluntaristic
More applied and pragmatic
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14. New Criminologies
L. Edward Wells predicts that future explanations of crime will be:
More oriented toward explaining white-collar crime
More emphasis placed on biological factors
Risk factor prevention paradigm (Farrington)

15. Crime-Control Policies of the Future
Key issues of concern:
New criminal groups
Language barriers
Distrust by ethnic communities
Greater reliance on community involvement
Regulating the marketplace
Reducing public demand
Increased treatment

16. Can We Solve the Problem of Crime?
Criminology should be considered a metascience, superior to the criminal law rather than an auxiliary to it
Criminologists today expect to work with politicians and policy makers in forging crime-control agendas based on scientific knowledge and criminological theorizing
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17. Can We Solve the Problem of Crime?
Implementation of effective policies may be difficult
Cultural taboos
Interest groups with diverse agendas
Racial divisiveness
Groups that see crime as an accepted way of doing business and do not consider criminal activity stigmatizing