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Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 10/5/2017

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Presentation on theme: "Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 10/5/2017"— Presentation transcript:

1 Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 10/5/2017
Drought Conditions Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 10/5/2017

2 Into the Drought 2017 for ND Period Precipitation Ranking Fall 2016
14th Wettest Winter 6th Wettest September through February 9th Wettest 6-mo Period March 2017 48th Driest April 2017 34th Driest May 2017 15th Driest Spring 2017 9th Driest Spring June 14th Driest July 11th Driest August 21st Wettest Summer 19th Driest March through August 8th Driest

3 Precipitation Accumulation Since June 1 in Select Locations in ND (Ranking)
Precipitation Totals Since June 1st Weekly Change Fargo 32nd Driest (Record History: 137 years) -1 Grand Forks 53rd Wettest (Record History: 125 years) Bismarck 53rd Wettest (Record History: 143 years) -4 Williston 55th Wettest (Record History: 124 years) 4 Bottineau 49th Driest (Record History: 121 years) -5 Bowman 7th Driest (Record History: 103 years) Crosby 17th Driest (Record History: 111 years) 2 Minot 29th Driest (Record History: 113 years) 7

4 7-Day Rainfall total

5 30-Day Rainfall Total Accumulation % of Normal

6 Long Term Precipitation % of Normal
60 Days 90 Days

7 (% Change from previous week)
Cumulative % area (% Change from previous week) D1 60% (-3%) DO 72% (-17%) D3 2% (-1%) 28% (17%) D2 19% (-5%)

8 State Coverage and Intensity

9 Drought Change One-week Change 4-week Change

10 State Coverage and Intensity (Time Scale)
329 (Aug 8, 2006) 295 (Aug 8, 2017) 153 (-26) *Drought Severity and Coverage Index = DOx1+D1x2+D2x3+D3x4+D4x5 *Akyuz (2007)

11 7-day Forecast Mon 7am, Oct 5 through Mon 7am, Oct 12

12 Medium Range Forecast 8-14 Day Precipitation 8-14 Day Temperature

13 Medium Range Forecast Week 3-4 Precipitation Week 3-4 Temperature

14 3-Mounth Outlook: November through January
Precipitation Temperature


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