1. Road Transport and more....
Ispra,

2. Why road transport....
Lelieveld, J., Evans, J.S., Fnais, M., Giannadaki, D., and Pozzer, A. : “The contribution of outdoor air pollution sources to premature mortality on a global scale" , Nature, 525, , doi: /nature15371, 2015

3. Why road transport....
Lelieveld, J., Evans, J.S., Fnais, M., Giannadaki, D., and Pozzer, A. : “The contribution of outdoor air pollution sources to premature mortality on a global scale" , Nature, 525, , doi: /nature15371, 2015

4. Why road transport....

5. Why road transport....

6. PM2.5 more important than O3 for mortality
Proposed set-up
EMAC model (ECHAM5/MESSY 2.52)
simulation
T63L31 (~1.8x1.8) or T106L31 (~1.1x1.1) resolution (no stratosphere)
GmXe aerosols submodel + ISORROPIA (for thermodynamics)
Simple (MIM1) gas phase chemistry
Reference + (2) Scenarios
PM2.5 more important than O3 for mortality

7. NO SIMULATIONS PERFORMED UNTIL NOW
A bit more technical...
SCENARIOS:
1) Reference (REF): EDGAR v4.3 data represent our best estimate of the development of emissions (activity levels, emission factors, technology) for
2) Stagnation of fuel consumption (STAG_FUEL): the activity data (fuel consumption and mix) are worldwide kept constant at 1970 levels (for the power and non-power industry and for road transport), while emission factors vary over time and End-of-Pipe measures are installed as in the REF scenario. This scenario is expected to provide the lowest emissions and illustrates how much of the emission reductions achieved in 2010 is off-set by higher fuel consumption.
3) Stagnation of technology (STAG_TECH): no further EoP measures are implemented since 1970 in Europe for the power generation and road transport sectors. Emission factors (EF) of 1970 are projected in 2010 for power and non-power industry and road transport for the entire world.
I got the data ~ 1 month ago the BC emissions of the PEGASOS scenarios (a) without End-of-Pipe and (b) without End-of-Pipe and 1970 old emission factors
To be consistent we should perform coherent simulations with all the emissions from the same scenario (plus REFERENCE!).
NO SIMULATIONS PERFORMED UNTIL NOW

8. EDGAR PEGASOS DATA Excel file: NOx example: Sectors downloadable:
Source: EDGARv4.3 scenarios for PEGASOS
Dataset: v4.3_EM_NOx_hindcast_ref(JRC_PEGASOS)
Substance: NOx
Unit: kton NOx / yr
Year: 2010
world global
Process Group
REFERENCE SCENARIO
Agricultural_soils (AGS)
AGS
3.25E+03
Agricultural_waste_burning (AWB)
AWB
2.39E+03
Manure_Management (MNM)
MNM
3.80E+02
Energy_industry (ENE)
ENE
Solid_waste_diposal (incineration)
SWD
1.94E+02
Combustion_in_Manufacturing_Industry (IND)
IND
1.65E+04
IRO
7.24E+01
NFE
4.46E+01
CHE
1.62E+02
PAP
1.76E+02
Industrial_processes (IPU)
IPU
4.55E+02
PRO
1.56E+02
REF
9.20E+02
TRF
1.62E+03
Oil_Production_&_Refining (OPR)
TPR
2.70E+03
Buildings_(Residential_&_others) (RCO)
RCO
6.22E+03
Fossil fuel fires (FFF)
FFF
4.27E+01
Road_Transportation (TRO)
TRO
2.74E+04
Aviation (international+domestic)
AIR
2.86E+03
TNR.DAT
9.87E+02
TNR.IAT
1.87E+03
Shipping (international+domestic)
SHIP
1.72E+04
TNR.ILW
3.09E+03
TNR.SEA
1.41E+04
Non-road ground transport
TNG
1.90E+03
TNR.OTH
1.90E+02
TNR.RAI
1.71E+03
Sectors downloadable:
AGR: Agriculture
ENE: Power generation
IND: Manufacturing industry
OTH: Other sources
PPA: Process emissions during production and application
PRO: Fuel production/transmission
RCO: Residential combustion
REF: Oil production and refining
SWD: Solid waste disposal
TNR: Non road transport
TRF: Transformation industry
TRO: Road transport

9. Sectors downloadable:
Excel file:
NOx example:
Source: EDGARv4.3 scenarios for PEGASOS
Dataset: v4.3_EM_NOx_hindcast_ref(JRC_PEGASOS)
Substance: NOx
Unit: kton NOx / yr
Year: 2010
world global
Process Group
REFERENCE SCENARIO
Agricultural_soils (AGS)
AGS
3.25E+03
Agricultural_waste_burning (AWB)
AWB
2.39E+03
Manure_Management (MNM)
MNM
3.80E+02
Energy_industry (ENE)
ENE
Solid_waste_diposal (incineration)
SWD
1.94E+02
Combustion_in_Manufacturing_Industry (IND)
IND
1.65E+04
IRO
7.24E+01
NFE
4.46E+01
CHE
1.62E+02
PAP
1.76E+02
Industrial_processes (IPU)
IPU
4.55E+02
PRO
1.56E+02
REF
9.20E+02
TRF
1.62E+03
Oil_Production_&_Refining (OPR)
TPR
2.70E+03
Buildings_(Residential_&_others) (RCO)
RCO
6.22E+03
Fossil fuel fires (FFF)
FFF
4.27E+01
Road_Transportation (TRO)
TRO
2.74E+04
Aviation (international+domestic)
AIR
2.86E+03
TNR.DAT
9.87E+02
TNR.IAT
1.87E+03
Shipping (international+domestic)
SHIP
1.72E+04
TNR.ILW
3.09E+03
TNR.SEA
1.41E+04
Non-road ground transport
TNG
1.90E+03
TNR.OTH
1.90E+02
TNR.RAI
1.71E+03
Sectors downloadable:
AGR: Agriculture
ENE: Power generation
IND: Manufacturing industry
OTH: Other sources
PPA: Process emissions during production and application
PRO: Fuel production/transmission
RCO: Residential combustion
REF: Oil production and refining
SWD: Solid waste disposal
TNR: Non road transport
TRF: Transformation industry
TRO: Road transport

10. Sectors downloadable:
Excel file:
NOx example:
Source: EDGARv4.3 scenarios for PEGASOS
Dataset: v4.3_EM_NOx_hindcast_ref(JRC_PEGASOS)
Substance: NOx
Unit: kton NOx / yr
Year: 2010
world global
Process Group
REFERENCE SCENARIO
Agricultural_soils (AGS)
AGS
3.25E+03
Agricultural_waste_burning (AWB)
AWB
2.39E+03
Manure_Management (MNM)
MNM
3.80E+02
Energy_industry (ENE)
ENE
Solid_waste_diposal (incineration)
SWD
1.94E+02
Combustion_in_Manufacturing_Industry (IND)
IND
1.65E+04
IRO
7.24E+01
NFE
4.46E+01
CHE
1.62E+02
PAP
1.76E+02
Industrial_processes (IPU)
IPU
4.55E+02
PRO
1.56E+02
REF
9.20E+02
TRF
1.62E+03
Oil_Production_&_Refining (OPR)
TPR
2.70E+03
Buildings_(Residential_&_others) (RCO)
RCO
6.22E+03
Fossil fuel fires (FFF)
FFF
4.27E+01
Road_Transportation (TRO)
TRO
2.74E+04
Aviation (international+domestic)
AIR
2.86E+03
TNR.DAT
9.87E+02
TNR.IAT
1.87E+03
Shipping (international+domestic)
SHIP
1.72E+04
TNR.ILW
3.09E+03
TNR.SEA
1.41E+04
Non-road ground transport
TNG
1.90E+03
TNR.OTH
1.90E+02
TNR.RAI
1.71E+03
Sectors downloadable:
AGR: Agriculture
ENE: Power generation
IND: Manufacturing industry
OTH: Other sources
PPA: Process emissions during production and application
PRO: Fuel production/transmission
RCO: Residential combustion
REF: Oil production and refining
SWD: Solid waste disposal
TNR: Non road transport
TRF: Transformation industry
TRO: Road transport

11. Sectors downloadable:
Excel file:
NOx example:
Source: EDGARv4.3 scenarios for PEGASOS
Dataset: v4.3_EM_NOx_hindcast_ref(JRC_PEGASOS)
Substance: NOx
Unit: kton NOx / yr
Year: 2010
world global
Process Group
REFERENCE SCENARIO
Agricultural_soils (AGS)
AGS
3.25E+03
Agricultural_waste_burning (AWB)
AWB
2.39E+03
Manure_Management (MNM)
MNM
3.80E+02
Energy_industry (ENE)
ENE
Solid_waste_diposal (incineration)
SWD
1.94E+02
Combustion_in_Manufacturing_Industry (IND)
IND
1.65E+04
IRO
7.24E+01
NFE
4.46E+01
CHE
1.62E+02
PAP
1.76E+02
Industrial_processes (IPU)
IPU
4.55E+02
PRO
1.56E+02
REF
9.20E+02
TRF
1.62E+03
Oil_Production_&_Refining (OPR)
TPR
2.70E+03
Buildings_(Residential_&_others) (RCO)
RCO
6.22E+03
Fossil fuel fires (FFF)
FFF
4.27E+01
Road_Transportation (TRO)
TRO
2.74E+04
Aviation (international+domestic)
AIR
2.86E+03
TNR.DAT
9.87E+02
TNR.IAT
1.87E+03
Shipping (international+domestic)
SHIP
1.72E+04
TNR.ILW
3.09E+03
TNR.SEA
1.41E+04
Non-road ground transport
TNG
1.90E+03
TNR.OTH
1.90E+02
TNR.RAI
1.71E+03
Sectors downloadable:
AGR: Agriculture
ENE: Power generation
IND: Manufacturing industry
OTH: Other sources
PPA: Process emissions during production and application
PRO: Fuel production/transmission
RCO: Residential combustion
REF: Oil production and refining
SWD: Solid waste disposal
TNR: Non road transport
TRF: Transformation industry
TRO: Road transport

12. Sectors downloadable:
Excel file:
NOx example:
Source: EDGARv4.3 scenarios for PEGASOS
Dataset: v4.3_EM_NOx_hindcast_ref(JRC_PEGASOS)
Substance: NOx
Unit: kton NOx / yr
Year: 2010
world global
Process Group
REFERENCE SCENARIO
Agricultural_soils (AGS)
AGS
3.25E+03
Agricultural_waste_burning (AWB)
AWB
2.39E+03
Manure_Management (MNM)
MNM
3.80E+02
Energy_industry (ENE)
ENE
Solid_waste_diposal (incineration)
SWD
1.94E+02
Combustion_in_Manufacturing_Industry (IND)
IND
1.65E+04
IRO
7.24E+01
NFE
4.46E+01
CHE
1.62E+02
PAP
1.76E+02
Industrial_processes (IPU)
IPU
4.55E+02
PRO
1.56E+02
REF
9.20E+02
TRF
1.62E+03
Oil_Production_&_Refining (OPR)
TPR
2.70E+03
Buildings_(Residential_&_others) (RCO)
RCO
6.22E+03
Fossil fuel fires (FFF)
FFF
4.27E+01
Road_Transportation (TRO)
TRO
2.74E+04
Aviation (international+domestic)
AIR
2.86E+03
TNR.DAT
9.87E+02
TNR.IAT
1.87E+03
Shipping (international+domestic)
SHIP
1.72E+04
TNR.ILW
3.09E+03
TNR.SEA
1.41E+04
Non-road ground transport
TNG
1.90E+03
TNR.OTH
1.90E+02
TNR.RAI
1.71E+03
Sectors downloadable:
AGR: Agriculture
ENE: Power generation
IND: Manufacturing industry
OTH: Other sources
PPA: Process emissions during production and application
PRO: Fuel production/transmission
RCO: Residential combustion
REF: Oil production and refining
SWD: Solid waste disposal
TNR: Non road transport
TRF: Transformation industry
TRO: Road transport

13. Pozzer, A., Jöckel, P., and Van Aardenne, J.:
The influence of the vertical distribution of emissions on tropospheric chemistry,
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 9, , doi: /acp , 2009.

14. Final remark.... what about VOC?
Pozzer, A., de Meij, A., Pringle, K. J., Tost, H., Doering, U. M., van Aardenne, J., and Lelieveld, J.:
Distributions and regional budgets of aerosols and their precursors simulated with the EMAC chemistry-climate model,
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, , doi: /acp , 2012.

15. Thanks!