4. Business Outlook
PMI was registered at 50.8 percent indicating that manufacturing economy is generally expanding. However, compared to October’s 50.9 percent it indicates that manufacturing industry is expanding at a slower rate.
Profits from current production decreased $19.3 billion in the third quarter, in contrast to an increase of $94.7 billion in the second quarter.
Domestic profits of financial corporation decreased $29.1 billion in the third quarter, in contrast to an increase of $25.3 in the second.

6. Due to the weakening of the dollar, the US current account deficit has been declining due to an increase in exports and a decrease in imports.

8. U.S. Dollar vs. Other Currencies
USD to EURO
USD to Chinese Yuan
USD to Canadian Dollar (CAD)
USD to Japanese Yen

9. U.S. Dollar Index
The dollar has been dropping due to rumors that the Federal Reserve will cut interest this month.
The dollar has fallen 5% against the pound; 7% against the yen; 10% against the euro; 14% against the Canadian dollar; and 8% against the Federal Reserve’s trade weighted basket of currencies.

10. Housing Market
Building Permits went down 24.3% compared to October 2006, and Housing Starts went down 16.4% compared to October 2006.
Existing Home Sales went down 20.7% compared to October 2006, and current existing home inventory went up by 15.4% compared to October 2006.
Median sales price of existing home went down by 5.1% compared to last year, and average sales price of existing home went down by 3.4% compared to last year.
Persistent weakness in the housing market will lead to below-trend growth for the rest of this year.
Job losses in residential buildings (-9,000) and in residential specialty trade contractors (-13,000) were offset by job gaining in nonresidential specialty trade contractors (+16,000)

13. Consumer confidence has been dropping since August
Consumer confidence has been dropping since August. The Consumer Confidence Index is 87.3, compared to 95.2 in September.
This is the lowest since October 2005; it’s reading then was 85.2.
The Present Situation Index is down from during October.

14. Declining Credit
Source: Federal Reserve

15. Personal Income increased .2%
Disposable Income increased by .5%
Personal Consumption Expenditures increased by 2%
All figures were lower than the increases economists projected.

18. Oil Prices
Crude oil futures have declined significantly from a high of $98.18 on November 23, amid speculation that OPEC may increase oil production.

19. Markets DJIA NASDAQ S&P 500 DJ Wilshire 5000 Source: Bloomberg
Source: Wilshire Associates
Source: Bloomberg

20. Outstanding Commercial Paper
Source: Federal Reserve