1. EU COP balance sheets 2014/2015 and forecasts 2015/16
AGRI C 4 22 September 2015

2. 2014/2015 Marketing Year Cereals

3. EU TRADE 2014/2015 EU net exporter + Common wheat export new record :
- Russian export tax and exports restrictions in UKR,
- extension of maximum level of humidity (13.5%) for Egyptian purchases,
+ Barley Export new record (FR competitiveness on Chinese market)
+ Maize Export new record (Access to the Chinese market)
+ exchange rate
+ low costs of freights

4. EU MS exporting common wheat (incl. flour and groats)
Source: EUROSTAT (COMEXT)

5. EU common wheat (incl. flour and groats) export destinations
Source: EUROSTAT (COMEXT)

6. EU MS exporting barley (incl. malt)
Source: EUROSTAT (COMEXT)

7. EU barley (incl. malt) export destinations
Source: EUROSTAT (COMEXT)

8. EU MS exporting maize (incl. processed products)
Source: EUROSTAT (COMEXT)

9. EU maize (incl. processed products) export destinations
Source: EUROSTAT (COMEXT)

10. EU MS importing common wheat (incl. flour and groats)
Source: EUROSTAT (COMEXT)

11. EU common wheat (incl. flour and groats) import origins
Source: EUROSTAT (COMEXT)

12. EU MS importing durum wheat (incl. flour)
Source: EUROSTAT (COMEXT)

13. EU durum wheat (incl. flour) import origins
Source: EUROSTAT (COMEXT)

14. EU MS importing maize (incl. Processed products)
Source: EUROSTAT (COMEXT)

15. EU maize (incl. Processed products) Import origins
Source: EUROSTAT (COMEXT)

18. EU BALANCE SHEET 2014/2015
EU Production at record level (including soft wheat and maize)
+ Mainly yield effect
+ higher percentage of feed wheat
Record EU trade for wheat, barley and maize
+ EU 1st world exporter of soft wheat and barley
Strong recovery in stocks

19. 2015/2016 Marketing Year Cereals

20. EU areas Forecasts

23. EU 28- 2015 Production Forecasts

24. EU 28 - 2015 production Forecasts

25. EU 28- 2015 production Forecasts

30. TRADE MEASURES
- Russia : wheat export tax : 50 percent of the customs price minus roubles but not less than 50 roubles per tonne
- Egypt : extension of maximum level of humidity (13.5%) for import of soft wheat (May 2016)
- Iran : New duty on private traders’ imports of soft wheat
- China : rumoured changes to China’s maize price support
- China : Import system of licence for barley Trade protocol agreement with UK

33. EU BALANCE SHEET 2015/2016
Good level of harvest : higher percentage of milling wheat
Lower feed grains
Comfortable availabilities
Slight increase in use for animal feed
Decrease in stocks

34. Marketing year 2015/2016 Oilseeds and Protein Forecasts

35. EU areas Forecasts

36. EU 28- 2015 Production Forecasts

37. Thank you for your attention
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