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Cash Flow
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Cash Balances and Flows
BUSS2 Focus Financial management Measuring performance Taking action to improve cash flow Budget Variances Profit Margins Cash Balances and Flows
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Why Does Cash Matter?
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Profit is a matter of Opinion!
Thought for the Day (1) Profit is a matter of Opinion!
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…continued Cash is a matter of Fact!
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Revenue is Vanity Margin is Sanity Cash is King
Thought for the Day (2) Revenue is Vanity Margin is Sanity Cash is King
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An Important Distinction
Two Kinds of Cash Flow in Business Trading Flows Financing Flows Cash sales & debtors Suppliers & payroll Stocks Buying fixed assets Leasing / hiring Overheads Tax Bank interest Bank loans (in & out) Shares – investment & dividends One-off asset deals
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Trading Flows Right at the heart of managing a business
Close link to business profitability Dictated by Industry norms (e.g. payment terms) Plenty of scope for active cash flow management
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Financing Flows Determined by choices made about sources of finance
Business is often at the mercy of outsiders – if it has debt Much less scope for active management
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What Really Matters in Cash Flow
Profitability – no hiding place Customers – the problem of late payment Suppliers – trading terms & relationships Stocks – not too little, not too much Financial structure Needs to be appropriate Match the asset to the right finance
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Specification Red Herring
Factoring Typically selling to other businesses Typical turnover £250k- £5m High cost: 5-10% loss of gross margin Factoring company collects debts Just 18,000 businesses use it in the UK: out of 4.5 million Invoice financing is much bigger
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Profit and Cash Flow Be careful!
Ways to Improve Cash Flow… “Care needs to be taken here – the aim is to improve the cash position of the business, not sales revenue or profits” Hodder AQA Business Textbook (2008)
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Why Businesses Run Out of Cash
Lack of profit (viability of business) Excess illiquid assets (too much working capital & production capacity) Too much growth (overtrading)
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Cash Flow Clue-DOH!
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Your Task Answer questions to obtain clues Examine the evidence
Decide the three main reasons why Peston Plastics went bust
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Five questions are in the sealed enveloped
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Clues You can choose up to five pieces of evidence – one for each question answered correctly
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Your choices (max 5) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Balance sheet at 30 September 2008
Exhibit Contains 1 Balance sheet at 30 September 2008 2 Profit & Loss Accounts for 2007 & 2008 (9 months) 3 Cash Flow Forecast for 2008 (7 months actual) 4 Memo from Ray Bodger (Finance Director) 5 Financial ratio analysis for Peston Plastics 6 Newspaper clippings for Peston Plastics 7 Comparison with key competitors
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A C B D Q1 Short-term cash flow can be improved by
Extending the period of trade credit A C Increasing overheads Increasing the value of finished stocks B D Repaying a bank loan
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Q2 Which of the following is a possible symptom of "overtrading"? A significant fall in liquidity ratios A C A slowdown in turnover An increase in stock turnover B D A decrease in time taken to pay suppliers
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Q3 Which one of these events might lead to a cash flow problem? Major supplier expands into China Govt cuts Corporation Tax rate A C Cost savings achieved on a large contract Customers ask for longer credit B D
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Q4 Which of these defines the net working capital of a business? Trade debtors less trade creditors Cash balances less bank overdraft A C Current assets less current liabilities Fixed assets less depreciation B D
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A C B D Q5 Cash flow could be improved by… Decreasing stock turnover
Better credit control over trade debtors A C Reducing the gross profit margin B D Accelerating capital projects
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Evidence Gathering Cash Flow Clue-DOH! A: Low profits
Possible Causes of the Cash Flow Problem Yes / No Evidence A: Low profits B: Management of trade debtors C: Management of stocks D: Management of creditors E: Overtrading F: Seasonal demand G: Unforeseen change H: Over-investment in fixed assets I: Bad luck J: Credit crunch
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Your Choice of the Three Reasons
Example Only Reason 1 Reason 2 Reason 3 H D C
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Your Choice of the Three Reasons
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Does Your View Agree with the Receivers?
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL Find Grabit & Sell Results of the investigation into the financial affairs of PESTON PLASTICS LIMITED Company Registration: IN RECEIVERSHIP
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Exhibit 1 - Balance Sheet
2007 2008 £'m Dec Sept FIXED ASSETS Tangible fixed assets 68 95 CURRENT ASSETS Trade debtors 48 55 Stocks 7 10 Cash balances 15 CURRENT LIABILITIES Trade creditors 40 45 Bank overdraft 17 NET CURRENT ASSETS 30 3 Long-term liabilities 25 NET ASSETS 98 73 CAPITAL AND RESERVES Share capital 2 Profit and loss 96 71
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Exhibit 2 - Profit and Loss Account
2006 2007 2008 £'m Actual Forecast Sales 190 175 150 Cost of Sales 72 75 Gross Profit 118 100 78 Wages & salaries 48 45 40 Other costs 47 43 39 Operating Profit 23 12 -1 Bank interest payable -6 -8 -10 Profit before tax 17 4 -11
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Exhibit 3: Cash Flow Forecast - 2008
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep £'m Actual Forecast Sales 8 10 13 15 Payments for stocks 3 5 6 7 Wages & salaries 4 Other costs 2 Payment for fixed assets 1 Bank loan repayment Bank interest Net cash flow -6 -13 -7 -2 Opening balance 9 -4 -10 -17 -15 -16 Closing balance
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Exhibit 7 - Competitor Profiles
Peston Plastics Declan Extrusions Evan Industrial Plastics JMR Plastic Extrusions Financial ratios Gross Profit Margin 52% 57% 56% 61% Operating Profit Margin -1% 8% 7% 9% Current Ratio 1.0 1.7 1.9 Quick Ratio 0.9 1.5 Stock turnover 7 9 11 Debtor days 112 100 94 81 Financial Summary (amounts in £m) Market share 1.2% 1.6% 2.0% 2.5% Sales 150 195 254 315 Operating Profit -1 15 17 29 Fixed Assets 95 59 102 120 Stocks 10 12 Trade debtors 55 53 65 70 Cash balances -17 19 6 45
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