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Unveiling Invisible Risk Pools

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Presentation on theme: "Unveiling Invisible Risk Pools"— Presentation transcript:

1 Unveiling Invisible Risk Pools
Mark A. Hall Wake Forest University Brookings Institution, with Nick Bagley

2 Industry-Funded Reinsurance Pools For The Small Group Market
State Year Enacted Enrollment mid-2006 Alaska 1993 Repealed Connecticut 1990 >3,000 Idaho ~ 120 Massachusetts 1991 Missouri 1992 Nebraska 1994 20 New Hampshire 2005 >600 North Dakota Vermont Never Implemented Wyoming ~ 30

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4 Anthem Projections in Maine, 2012

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6 2 Birds, One Stone? Does Risk Adjust + Retro Reins = Prospec. Reins?

7 Maine Health Assessment Form
Medical Conditions and Treatment. A. Have you or any person to be covered been diagnosed or received treatment in the last two (2) years for any of the following conditions? Cancer – Brain and Nervous System D Yes D No Cancer – Breast D Yes D No Cancer – Colon/Rectum D Yes D No Cancer – Esophagus D Yes D No Cancer – Lung, Bronchi, Pleura D Yes D No Cancer – Multiple Myeloma D Yes D No Cancer – Myeloid Leukemia D Yes D No Cancer – Ovary D Yes D No Cancer – Pancreas D Yes D No Cancer – Urinary Bladder D Yes D No Celiac Disease D Yes D No Cerebral Palsy D Yes D No Chronic Kidney Disease D Yes D No Chronic Seizure Disorders D Yes D No Cirrhosis of the Liver D Yes D No Coagulation Defect (Hemophilia) D Yes D No Coronary Artery Disease D Yes D No Coronary Occlusion D Yes D No Crohn’s Disease (Inflammatory bowel disease) D Yes D No Cystic Fibrosis D Yes D No Friedreich's Ataxia D Yes D No Heart Disease Requiring Open Heart Surgery D Yes D No Hepatitis D Yes D No Hodgkin's Disease (Lymphoma) D Yes D No Huntington's Chorea or Huntington’s Disease D Yes D No Hypertension D Yes D No Insulin Dependent Diabetes D Yes D No Lupus D Yes D No Myasthenia Gravis D Yes D No Myotonia D Yes D No Parkinson's Disease D Yes D No Polycystic Kidney Disease D Yes D No Psychotic Disorders D Yes D No Quadriplegia/Paraplegia D Yes D No Scleroderma D Yes D No Stroke D Yes D No Syringomyelia D Yes D No Thrombosis D Yes D No Ventricular Septal Defect D Yes D No Wilson's Disease D Yes D No

8 Subsidy Efficiency $10-$15 billion required to reduce uninsured by ~ 1 million That equals $10,000 - $15,000 per newly insured

9 Bifurcated Risk Pools ACA transitional “grand-mothered” plans 2015
ACA Compliant Noncompliant Difference Premiums $355 $231 54% Claims $350 $190 84% MLR 99% 82% 17 points

10 Premiums for Selected HIPPA Nongroup Plans in 3 States GAO 1998
Premium as a percentage of Carrier standard rate A 140 B 150 C 185 D 200 E 200 F 225 G 300 H 300 I


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