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Options Interest Group
LEAPS A presentation to the Denver Trading Group - Options Interest Group October 9, 2003
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LEAP Basics Long-term Equity Anticipating Securities Types Underlying
Expiration date Strike price Other basic factors Margin Renaming
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Intrinsic Value & Time Value
Stock Price = $ 56.00 50-strike Call Option = $ Expiration = 90 days Time Value = 3.00 Stock Price = 56 Option Premium = 9.00 Intrinsic Value = 6.00 Strike Price = 50
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Option Pricing Stock Price = $ 56.00
50-strike Call Option (IV = 35) = $ Expiration = 90 days TV=9 TV=7 TV=5 TV=3 Stock Price = 56 IV=6 IV=6 IV=6 IV=6 Strike Price = 50 Imp V = 35 Imp V = 50 Imp V = 65 Imp V = 80
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Option Pricing Stock Price = $ 56.00
50-strike Call Option (Exp = 90) = $ Implied Volatility = 35 TV=5 TV=3 TV=2 Stock Price = 56 TV=1 IV=6 IV=6 IV=6 IV=6 Strike Price = 50 Exp=30days Exp=60days Exp=90days Exp=180days
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Call pricing curve
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Call pricing curve (cont.)
Time value premium is greatest ATM Intrinsic value is zero until strike price is passed.
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Call pricing curve (cont.)
As IV shrinks, the price curve merges with the intrinsic line. As expiration draws closer, the price curve merges with the intrinsic line.
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Call pricing curve Time value is highest ATM
Far ITM and OTM time value = 0 OTM options will expire worthless if the stock moves too little Delta moves from 0 OTM to +1 ITM
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Time Decay Exp=120days Exp=90days Exp=60days Exp=30days
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LEAPS pricing curve
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LEAPS pricing curve
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LEAPS pricing curve (cont.)
LEAPS ITM delta is lower Difference in LEAPS prices increases as the LEAPS becomes ITM LEAPS curve is quite flat LEAPS OTM delta is higher LEAPS have little time decay
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LEAPS & interest rates r = 9% r = 6% r = 3%
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LEAPS & dividends $1 dividend increase With current dividend
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Comparing LEAPS and short-term calls
Change in price of the options 20% OTM ATM 20% ITM Variable 3-mo 2-yr Stock (+1 pt) .03 .41 .54 .70 .97 .89 Volatility (+1%) .43 .21 .48 .04 .33 Int. Rate (+1/2%) .01 .27 .08 .55 .14 .72 Dividend (+$.25/qtr) -.62 -.08 -1.18 -.14 -1.50
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Comparing LEAPS and short-term calls
Change in price of the options 20% OTM ATM 20% ITM Variable 3-mo 2-yr Stock (+1 pt) .03 .41 .54 .70 .97 .89 Volatility (+1%) .43 .21 .48 .04 .33 Int. Rate (+1/2%) .01 .27 .08 .55 .14 .72 Dividend (+$.25/qtr) -.62 -.08 -1.18 -.14 -1.50 Delta!
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Comparing LEAPS and short-term calls
Change in price of the options 20% OTM ATM 20% ITM Variable 3-mo 2-yr Stock (+1 pt) .03 .41 .54 .70 .97 .89 Volatility (+1%) .43 .21 .48 .04 .33 Int. Rate (+1/2%) .01 .27 .08 .55 .14 .72 Dividend (+$.25/qtr) -.62 -.08 -1.18 -.14 -1.50 Delta!
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Comparing LEAPS and short-term calls
Change in price of the options 20% OTM ATM 20% ITM Variable 3-mo 2-yr Stock (+1 pt) .03 .41 .54 .70 .97 .89 Volatility (+1%) .43 .21 .48 .04 .33 Int. Rate (+1/2%) .01 .27 .08 .55 .14 .72 Dividend (+$.25/qtr) -.62 -.08 -1.18 -.14 -1.50 Delta!
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Comparing LEAPS and short-term calls
Change in price of the options 20% OTM ATM 20% ITM Variable 3-mo 2-yr Stock (+1 pt) .03 .41 .54 .70 .97 .89 Volatility (+1%) .43 .21 .48 .04 .33 Int. Rate (+1/2%) .01 .27 .08 .55 .14 .72 Dividend (+$.25/qtr) -.62 -.08 -1.18 -.14 -1.50 Delta!
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LEAPS Strategies For stock currently held long
LEAPS instead of short stock Protecting existing holdings with LEAPS puts As a stock substitute Speculative option buying Selling LEAPS LEAPS spreads
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Long Call +5 45 50 55 60 -5
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JPM Stock vs. Purchase Date = 12.31.02 Purchase Price = $24.00
Last Date = Last Price = $35.55 ROI = 48%
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JPM 20 Call Jan’04 LEAPS Purchase Date = 12.31.02
Purchase Price = $6.20 Last Date = Last Price = $15.60 ROI = 152%
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Vertical spreads Directionality is the primary concern
Initially bullish or bearish Remain bullish or bearish regardless of changes in market conditions Volatility is a secondary concern At expiration A minimum value of zero (both options OTM) A maximum value of the spread (both ITM)
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Bull Call Spread Sell a call at a higher exercise price
Whenever the trader buys the lower exercise price and sells the higher exercise price, the position is bullish! Buy a call at a lower exercise price
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LEAPS Vertical spreads
Plenty of time for stock to move OTM LEAPS options are inexpensive You can make money before the expiration BreakEven Recent volatility (rare) Stock has fallen significantly in the last year or two
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Extremely aggressive (OTM)
Stock Inexpensive Remote chance
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LEAPS BuCS EBAY
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LEAPS BuCS CTRX
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LEAPS BuCS CTRX (cont.)
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Bull Put Spread Sell a put at a higher exercise price
Whenever the trader buys the lower exercise price and sells the higher exercise price, the position is bullish! Buy a put at a lower exercise price
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Extremely aggressive (OTM)
Stock Inexpensive Remote chance
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LEAPS BuPS MSFT
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LEAPS & Butterfly’s Delta neutral Cheap when using OTM Butterfly’s
You can trade the body’s Your position gets higher gamma when you buy back the body’s
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LEAPS OTM Fly INTC
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LEAPS OTM Fly INTC (cont.)
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LEAPS & Calendar Spreads
Delta neutral Increased risk due to larger debit May need to buy fewer calls than you are selling due to the higher delta of LEAPS
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LEAPS Cal Sp PSFT
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Acknowlegements LEAPS Comparison chart Risk Graphs
Options as a Strategic Investment, Larry McMillan Risk Graphs Optionetics Platinum,
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