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UNIT 3 OPTIONS
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OPTION PRICING MODEL
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Jul 60 Call vs Stock Price = 66
Option price curves P R E M I UM Jul 60 Call vs Stock Price = 66 STOCK PRICE
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Jul 60 Call vs Stock Price = 55
Option price curves P R E M I UM Jul 60 Call vs Stock Price = 55 STOCK PRICE
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XYZ 60 CALL PRICES vs STOCK PRICES
M I UM Strike Price = 60 Intrinsic Value = 0 STOCK PRICE
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XYZ 60 Put prices vs Stock Prices
Strike Price = 60 Intrinsic Value = 0 P R E M I UM STOCK PRICE
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Option Pricing Theoretical option pricing models are used throughout the option industry by professional option traders. These models are rather complicated formulas that the six quantifiable factors and produce a theoretical value for an option
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Option’s Theoretical Value
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Theoretical Models
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Value differs when factors differ
Stock Price = Rs. 62
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Value differs when factors differ
Stock Price = Rs. 58
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Value differs when factors differ
Stock Price = Rs. 60
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Value differs when factors differ
Volatility = 35 %
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Value differs when factors differ
Volatility = 50 %
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Value differs when factors differ
Volatility = 20 %
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Value differs when factors differ
Time (Days) = 66
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Value differs when factors differ
Time (Days) = 90
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Value differs when factors differ
Time (Days) = 29
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Value differs when factors differ
Strike Price = Rs. 60
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Value differs when factors differ
Strike Price = Rs. 50
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Value differs when factors differ
Strike Price = Rs. 70
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Value differs when factors differ
Dividend during the life of option = Rs 0.00
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Value differs when factors differ
Dividend during the life of option = Rs 1.00
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Value differs when factors differ
Dividend during the life of option = Rs 3.00
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Value differs when factors differ
Risk free interest rate = 5 %
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Value differs when factors differ
Risk free interest rate = 10 %
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Black-Scholes model One of the first theoretical option pricing models devised, and still widely used, is called the “Black-Scholes model”, named after the two academicians who created it Although differing in approach, the same six quantifiable factors are the foundation for the most theoretical option pricing models
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If you love formulas
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Theoretical values can be used as a guide
It is the current market price of an option that is most important to the investor Before purchase or sale of any option contract, the investor should first consider how its price fits within his tolerance for risk
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Theoretical models are based on a set of assumptions about the future (i.e., interest rates, dividend payments, volatility, etc.), an investment based solely on theoretical values is at risk if these assumptions are no longer value
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Non-quantifiable factors
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Unpredictable future volatility
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Liquidity matters
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Stock Price
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Stock Price
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Stock Price
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Which stock is more volatile?
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Volatility of stock & option price
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Jul 60 Option prices vs Volatility (%)
M I U Volatility = 35 % Volatility %
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Jul 60 Option prices vs Volatility (%)
M I U Volatility = 25 % Volatility %
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Jul 60 Option prices vs Volatility (%)
M I U Volatility %
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Time until expiration
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Option Prices vs Time (days left)
U No of days left = 100 Time (days left)
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Option Prices vs Time (days left)
u No of days left = 50 Time (days left)
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Option Prices vs Time (days left)
u No of days left = 150 Time (days left)
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Strike Price
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Jul option prices vs Strike prices
M I U Strike Price = 60 Strike Prices
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Jul option prices vs Strike prices
M I U Strike Price = 65 Strike Prices
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Jul option prices vs Strike prices
M I U Strike Price = 55 Strike Prices
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Dividends
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Dividends P R E M I U Dividend = Rs 1 Dividend per share
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Dividends P R E M I U Dividend = Rs 0.50 Dividend per share
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Dividends P R E M I U Dividend = Rs 1.50 Dividend per share
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Interest rates
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Jul 60 option prices vs int. rates
M I U Interest = 5 % Interest rates %
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Jul 60 option prices vs int. rates
M I U Interest = 7 % Interest rates %
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Jul 60 option prices vs int. rates
M I U Interest = 7 % Interest rates %
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