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ODC Level Performance Models
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ODC PPM Following ODCs are included: SITATesting SABRE VOYA SEI TRIVENT NITL C4 HORIZON-HRES Hawaiian BA Responsive NN
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PPM Model - SITATesting
Model Parameter Description: Metric Type Sub-process Metric Name Metric Definition Metric Attribute QPPO Test Execution Test Execution Productivity (Weighted test cases executed )/ (total execution effort) Efficiency Level 1: Performance Test Execution Rate (Number of test cases executed )/ (total execution effort in person days) % Defect Rejected (Total number of defects rejected) / (total number of defects reported) Effectiveness Level 2: Controllable Test Design % Test Data Creation Effort (Total Test Data Creation Effort in Person days) / (Total planned Testing Effort in person days) * 100 Project Management Team Competency Planned teams domain competency % Review % Review Effort (Total review effort in Person days) / (Total planned Testing Effort in Person days) * 100 % Effort in RTB Refinement (Total RTB Refinement Effort in Person days) / (Total planned Testing Effort in person days) * 100
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PPM Model - SITATesting
Model Equations: Test Execution Productivity = ( ) * '% Defects Rejected'+ (1.769) * 'Test Execution Rate' +_5.317 % Defects Rejected = (-1.51) * '% Effort in RTB Refinement'+ (-0.698) * '% Review effort' +_0.013 Test Execution Rate = (96.809) * '% Test Data Creation effort '+ (14.227) * 'Team Competency' +_1.149 Y-variable Test Execution Productivity X-Variable Test Execution Rate % Defects Rejected Confidence Level 95% Adjusted R P-Value P-Value for Normality of Standard Residual Y-variable % Defects Rejected X-Variable % Review effort % Effort in RTB Refinement Confidence Level 95% Adjusted R P-Value E-06 P-Value for Normality of standard Residual Y-variable Test Execution Rate X-Variable Team Competency % Test Data Creation effort Confidence Level 95% Adjusted R P-Value P-Value for Normality of standard Residual
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PPM Model - SITATesting
Baseline: Metric Name Average St. Deviation Test Execution Productivity 9.1522 % Defect Rejected 0.0323 0.0206 Test Execution Rate 2.4033 % Test Data Creation effort 0.0623 0.0126 Team Competency 0.5429 0.0916 % Effort in RTB Refinement 0.0181 0.0071 % Review effort 0.0902 0.0198
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PPM Model - SITATesting
Justification: Effectiveness parameters for Testing COE project are: Defects Leaked to Production % Defects rejected by Customer Historical project data on defect leaked to production shows that it is under control and there is not much variation with respect to meeting customer and organization goals. There is performance metrics level equation established for % Defect rejected by customer which is addressing the customer effectiveness goal. Back
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Quantitative Process Performance Objective
PPM Model - SEBRE BO and QPPO Mapping Business Objective Quantitative Process Performance Objective Improve CSS Rating to Desired Service Level Improve cycle time by 10% by Jan 2017 Note: Based on historical data from Jan 2016 until Dec 2016 we will re-look at this data at the end of Jan 2017
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PPM Model - SEBRE QPPO Mapping
Quantitative Goal for Process Performance Objective (QPPO) Sub Process Sub Process Performance Metrics Sub process Controllable Metric Improve the Activation Cycle time(in weeks) Planned goal is 10% improvement of the cycle time Current goal is 11 weeks Planned goal is 10 weeks for Jan 2017(10% Improvement) Activation implementation Duration of Requirement analysis. Duration of QA testing. Learning weightage/ Complexity Sabre experience
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PPM Model - SEBRE PPM Regression Equation:
Actual Cycle time (weeks) = Sabre Experience Learning Weightage/ Complexity Based on the R-Sq(adj) and P-value of the X factors considered , PPM is recommended for use Predictor Coef SE Coef T P Constant Sabre experience Learning weightage/ Complexity S = R-Sq = 76.4% R-Sq(adj) = 73.9% P value should be less than .05 and R square adjustment should be more than 70. This shows that our equation is healthy or appropriate
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VOYA – Process Performance Model
Main Process Metrics (QPPO) Performance Parameter Mean Time to Resolve (Y) Test coverage per MR (X1) Review Effectiveness per MR (X2) Regression Equation is MTTR = Test Coverage per MR Review Effectiveness R square is 95.4% and R-square adjusted is 93.1% P- value of X parameters of equation is less than 0.05 #10 10 10
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VOYA – Process Performance Model
Predictor Coef SE Coef T P VIF Constant Test Coverage per MR Review Effectiveness S = R-Sq = 95.4% R-Sq(adj) = 93.1% Analysis of Variance Source DF SS MS F P Regression Residual Error Total Source DF Seq SS Test Coverage per MR Review Effectiveness #11 11 11
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Baselines of the factors for process stability
MTTR Test Coverage per MR Review Effectiveness Mean 2.13 8.98 0.73 STDEV 0.99 3.73 0.41 Count 7
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PPM Model-SEI The regression equation is
Main Process Metric (QPPO) Performance Parameter LN((No of script passed/No. of script failed)) (Y) Unit Testing effort rate (X1) Review Effectiveness (X2) The regression equation is Y= * Unit Testing effort rate(X2) * Rev Eff Project Baselines Output Parameter (Y) Unit Testing effort rate (X1) Rev Eff. (X2) Mean 2.4 1.5 2.2 Std Dev 1.60 0.65 1.04 UCL 7.20 3.42 5.38 LCL 0.00
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PPM Model-SEI Model Parameter Description: Metric Type Sub-process
Metric Name Metric Definition Metric Attribute QPPO COUT LN-(First Pass Success) No. of script passed in first review by sql SME/ Total No. of script submitted for review to sql SME Effectiveness Controllable Unit Testing effort rate Unit testing effort for sql script (Hrs) /No of sql script submitted for review Review Effectiveness Internal review wt defect for sql scripts / Internal Review effort for sql script (Hrs)
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Regression Statistics
PPM Model-SEI – Web Factory Regression Equation SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics The regression equation is Multiple R Y = * Unit Testing effort rate(X2) * Rev Eff R Square Adjusted R Square Standard Error Observations 21 ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F Regression 2 2.52E-09 Residual 18 0.315 Total 20 Coefficients t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept Unit Testing effort rate Review effectivness P value is less than .05 for all the x’s and for intercept
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Regression Statistics
PPM – SEI CAS The Regression Equation is Defect Density( QA) = *(UTC coverage)-0.07( % code review effort) Based on the R-sq ( adj)and p value of x factors considered, PPM is recommended for use Regression Statistics Multiple R R Square Adjusted R Square Standard Error Observations 17 ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F Regression 2 1.29E-05 Residual 14 Total 16 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept 3.05E-07 /User Story % Code review effort/ total engineering effort
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Baselines of the factors for process stability
QA Defect Density Unit Test Coverage % Code Review Effort Mean 0.36 1.89 4.94 STDEV 0.15 0.72 0.98 Count 17 UCL 0.4 3.33 6.9 LCL 0.45 2.98 Operational Definition Factor Definition Metric Formula Unit Unit Testing Coverage Total no. of Unit test case executed per story Total number of Unit Test cases executed / User Story Number % Code review effort code review effort ( as a % of Total engineering effort) % of code review effort (Code review effort/ Total engineering effort *100) Percentage QA Defect Density No. of defects found in QA Phase per story point Weighted defects found in QA testing/ Actual velocity(Story Points)
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Thrivent – Process Performance Model
Main Process Metrics (QPPO) Performance Parameter Productivity (Y) % COQ (X1) Review Effectiveness (X2) % Resources Cross trained across applications (X3) Regression Equation is Productivity = COQ % Review Effectiveness % Resources Trained Across Appl R square is 91.7% and R-square adjusted is 87.5% P- value of X parameters of equation is less than 0.05 #18 18 18
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PPM – Thrivent The regression equation is
Productivity = COQ % Review Effectiveness % Resources Trained Across Appl Predictor Coef SE Coef T P VIF Constant COQ % Review Effectiveness % Resources Trained Across Appl S = R-Sq = 91.7% R-Sq(adj) = 87.5% Analysis of Variance Source DF SS MS F P Regression Residual Error Total Source DF Seq SS COQ % Review Effectiveness % Resources Trained Across Appl
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Baselines of the factors for process stability
Productivity (hr/MR) Cost of Quality (%) Review Effectiveness (ratio) % Resources trained across appl Mean 27.28 28.73 1.65 41.38 STDEV 5.12 1.22 0.83 2.69 Count 10
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PPM Model – NITL Model Parameter Description: Parameter Formula
Baseline STDEV Remarks Productivity 12.35 1.72 Defect Density (/hrs) 0.32 0.13 Resource Utilization 98.58 0.83 Project overview (scope, team, start & end dates, lifecycle model) – Focus projects as well as non-focus projects; #21 21 21
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PPM Model – NITL Productivity (Y) = * Actual capacity Utilisation * Defect Density Project overview (scope, team, start & end dates, lifecycle model) – Focus projects as well as non-focus projects;
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PPM Model – NITL Based on the R-Sq(adj) and P-value of the X factors
The regression equation is Productivity = * Actual capacity utilization * Defect density SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R R Square Adjusted R Square Standard Error Observations 12 ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F Regression 2 1.65E-05 Residual 9 Total 11 Coefficients t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept Actual Capacity Utilisation 1.25 Defect Density -5.71 RESIDUAL OUTPUT Observation Predicted Actual Productivity Residuals 1 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 Based on the R-Sq(adj) and P-value of the X factors considered , PPM Is recommended for use.
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TC Executed / TC prepared Internal weighted defects / SP
PPM Model – C4 Model Parameter Description: Metric Type Sub-process Metric Name Metric Definition Metric Attribute Improve Customer Satisfaction Construction ST Defects/ST TC Executed / TC prepared Effectiveness Testing Internal weighted defects / SP
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PPM Model – C4 The regression equation is
ST Defect /SP (Y) = ( )*TC Create + ( )*Story Point Delivered + ( )*DB Components SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R R Square Adjusted R Square Standard Error Observations 9 ANOVA df SS MS F Significance F Regression 2 Residual 6 Total 8 Coefficients t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0% Intercept TC execution coverage by Sprint team Weighted Defects/SP by Sprint team RESIDUAL OUTPUT Observation Predicted Weighted Defects/SP by ITG Residuals 1 3 4 5 7
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PPM Model – C4 Baseline: Metric Name Average St. Deviation
Productivity 8.97 1.94 Wt. defect / SP 0.185 0.07 Resource Capacity Utilization 0.9344 0.0258 % Burnout 0.9516 Average of Velocity (SP) % of story changed
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PPM Model - HORIZON-HRES
Model Parameter Description: Sources Plotting Freq. Remarks QPPO Contractual Directive Internal Directive Actual PQ 20% improvement from the baselined till stage 11. baselined till stage 11 is 19.7 to bring it to 16. 16 Iteration end Contractual requirement is to achieve 16 at the stage end . Variation from 17 to 12 is allowed and discussed with client. USL= 17 LSL= 12 Project overview (scope, team, start & end dates, lifecycle model) – Focus projects as well as non-focus projects; Process composition done with the result of Causal, hence new PPB were release and PPM also recalibrated with the new data set and parameters. 27 #27 27
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PPM Model - HORIZON-HRES
Main Process Metric (QPPO) Performance Parameter Controllable Parameter Productivity (Y) Rework Ratio (X1) Partner Testing Defects Density (X2) Backlog Index (X3) Delivered FP/ Effort Rework FP/ Fresh FP Wtd Partner Testing defects/Fresh FP Actual stories / Planned stories (in FP) PQ Overall (Y) = (5.13) Rework Ratio + (4115.4)Defect density(in process/KLOC)+(-8.05) Backlog Index (Actual/Plan) Project overview (scope, team, start & end dates, lifecycle model) – Focus projects as well as non-focus projects; Voyager
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PPM Model - HORIZON-HRES
Actual PQ= *Shelf *Review Effectiveness+8.295*TC/TFP Based on the R-Sq(adj) and P-value of the X factors considered , PPM Is recommended for use.
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QPPO Mapping - Hawaiian
Quantitative Goal for Process Performance Objective (QPPO) Sub Process Sub Process Performance Metrics Sub process Controllable Metric Test case execution productivity Current goal is 17 Planned goal for Oct 2016 is 18 (5% Improvement) Test Case Execution (TC Executed/No. of Days)*100 Testing effectiveness (Bugs raised/ Test cases executed for a month) Team’s average domain knowledge (for the quarter)
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Productivity Execution
Steps for building PPM – Overall Productivity - Hawaiian PPM is build using Multiple Linear Regression Base Data Used is Months Productivity Execution Bugs raised/ Test case Average domain knowledge July '15 18 22.82 Aug '15 16 21.8 Sept '15 17 21.82 Oct '15 21.52 Nov '15 Dec '15 19 22.32 Jan '16 21.93 Feb '16 21 23.93 Regression Equation: Productivity Execution = * (Bugs raised/Test case) * (Average Domain Knowledge)
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PPM - Hawaiian Regression Equation:
Productivity Execution = * (Bugs raised/Test case) * (Average Domain Knowledge) Based on the R-Sq(adj) and P-value of the X factors considered , PPM is recommended for use Predictor Coef SE Coef T P VIF Constant Bugs raised/Test case Average Domain Knowledge S = R-Sq = 93.8% R-Sq(adj) = 91.3% Analysis of Variance Source DF SS MS F P Regression Residual Error Total Source DF Seq SS Bugs raised/Test case Average Domain Knowledge
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Average Domain knowledge
Baselines of the factors for process stability - Hawaiian Productivity Bugs raised/Test Case Average Domain knowledge Mean 17.4 0.036 22.6 Std Dev 1.85 0.01 1.06 UCL 22.92 0.07 25.76 LCL 11.83 0.00 19.39
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PPM Model – BA Responsive
Model Parameter Description: Parameter Formula Baseline STDEV Remarks Productivity Productive Capacity/ Sprint % Change in Story Story point add during sprint / Initial Story point 25.594 Defect Density (/hrs) Total Weighted / Story Point Resource Utilization Project overview (scope, team, start & end dates, lifecycle model) – Focus projects as well as non-focus projects; #34 34 34
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PPM Model – BA Responsive
Main Process Metric (QPPO) Performance Parameter Controllable Parameter Productivity (Y) % Change in Story Productivity (Y) = %change in story Defect Density Resource utilization Project overview (scope, team, start & end dates, lifecycle model) – Focus projects as well as non-focus projects;
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PPM Model – BA Responsive
Based on the R-Sq(adj) and P-value of the X factors considered , PPM Is recommended for use.
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PPM Model – NN Model Parameter Description: Metric Type Sub-process
Metric Name Metric Definition Metric Attribute QPPO Project Management Resource Capacity Utilization% (Actual effort spent in a specific period)/(Planned effort during that period) Efficiency Performance MR Resolution MR Service Rate (no. of MRs serviced during the specified period)/(no. of days in the specified period) Controllable Average Exp. Average Exp of team in years Training Cross IBIS Training % Percentage of modules known to different Team members
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PPM Model – NN Model Equations:
Resource-Capacity-Utilization % = (2.024)*MR-Arrival-Rate + ( )*Average-Exp. + (5.65)*Cross IBIS Training % +_3.763 Y-variable Resource-Capacity-Utilization % X-Variable MR-Arrival-Rate Average-Exp. Cross IBIS Training % Confidence Level 95% Adjusted R P-Value P-Value for Normality of Standard Residual
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PPM Model – NN Baseline: Metric Name Average St. Deviation
Resource Capacity Utilization% MR Service Rate Average Years of Exp. Cross IBIS Training %
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PPM Model – NN Back Justification:
This project uses only efficiency parameters for generating PPM for predicting outcome of project. This is because the effectiveness parameter (Rejection Index) is well controlled and always meeting it’s goal except in one or two cases. Back
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Thank You
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