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State of the art on quality report

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1 State of the art on quality report
Milestones: overview and focus on Information for report concerning cost and burden and benefits STS sources PEEI in focus: output prices in industry and next subject Output: report to Parliament and Council WP June 2007

2 Milestones of the quality report
Year 2006 June 07 July 07 Sept 07 End 07 S1-08 1. STS sources X X countries eurostat 2. PEEI in focus PPI Template out report 3. Quality report €indicator no 4. Burden & cost, benefits WG TF Report to P&C SPC for info, June WG Information to users PEEI in focus STS sources update WP June 2007

3 Information for report on cost & burden & benefits
26 countries, 4 annexes hours worked per year for Statistical cost Statistical burden respondent businesses => 4h20’ Main ideas in annex 1 Benefits arising from the STS-R EU: Comments from ECB 8 National institutes, mostly based on user surveys WP June 2007

4 Benefits arising from the STS-R
Increasing amount of statistical information on the EU and € area aconomy Satisfactory, sufficient, appropriate, inadequate, « not sufficient for comprehensive analysis » Entry of new countries Additional indicators: services sector mainly but construction (investment) WP June 2007

5 Benefits arising from the STS-R
2. Timeliness adequate (unanimous in AT), satisfied (unanimous in FI),very satisfied (54% in SI), current efforts timely, good enough Lag in US smaller, to reach US comparative standards – « flash estimates » (PL) Quarterly data less timely (LT) Specific PPI user: to reduce the press release time (EL) WP June 2007

6 Benefits arising from the STS-R
3. Scope of STS Sufficient to totally sufficient (AT), favor (LT), fairly satisfies (85% in SI), diverse (SK) Differs across countries, need of further homogeneity Other indicators: demand of investment (ES, FI), profitability, export, import, services (FI, PL, EL) Regional indicators (ES) WP June 2007

7 Benefits arising from the STS-R
4. Quality of STS Good or sufficient (AT), reliable statistics (LT), very satisfied (4/5 in FI), from very to not (38% in SI), mix sufficient and not relevant (SK) Improvements noticed (PL) More analysis for big countries (ES) Absence of full harmonisation (ES), more coherence (FI) Specifically construction data: low quality (ES) WP June 2007

8 Benefits arising from the STS-R
5. Data revisions Harmonise revision timetables, indication of uncertainty (ES) Mix sufficiently defined and not well explained Fairly satisfied (SI) Communication needs on revision (FI) Lower revisions - users confidence Improve procedures to eliminate revisions (PL) WP June 2007

9 Benefits arising from the STS-R
6. Punctuality in the dissemination Punctual: yes (AT, FI, SI) Modest improvement (ES) WP June 2007

10 Benefits arising from the STS-R
7. Comparability of EU and euro area economy with US and Japan Not explicit in the report (ES) Balanced views (AT), fairly satisfied (SI) Go for more homogeneity (EL), cyclic component filtering (PL) Add Russia, China and India in the comparison (AT, PL) National uses (SK: 2/3 not relevant) WP June 2007

11 Benefits arising from the STS-R
General comments Positive answers in general shorter deadlines and larger scope Flash estimates (PL) Not to focus only on PEEIs Details Current objectives not explicit Comparison between STS and other statistics WP June 2007

12 Cost & burden ; benefits
text on benefits answers on restricted STS Circa (if not send an ) Reminder: send your feedback ASAP (mid june) Comments ? WP June 2007

13 isabelle.remond-tiedrez@ec.europa.eu, WP June 2007
STS sources Eurostat, march 07 Eurostat 2004 metadata Mid July 2007 Countries, update 2007 WP June 2007

14 PEEI in focus, domestic producer price index in industry
Focus on domestic PPI Statistical surveys (marginally other sources, eg some price list in energy) Coverage in terms of CPA and Nace Thresholds: turnover more than employment WP June 2007

15 PEEI in focus, PPI in industry
thresholds WP June 2007

16 PEEI in focus, PPI in industry
Share of MIGs in the total number of units in the national defined population Selection of units: less exhaustive (2 countries, 8 for IPI), sampling techniques (purposive mainly), cut-off based on turnover PPI IPI WP June 2007

17 PEEI in focus, PPI in industry
Sample size: units (half IPI) Second step: selection of products (judicious sampling or cut-off) – products Updating the sample Every five years (12 countries) {14 countries update annually the sample for IPI} Every year / 2 years / continuous update WP June 2007

18 PEEI in focus, PPI in industry
Definitions of prices Frequently noted: excluding VAT and excise duties Subsidies in or out STS-R “The appropriate price is the basic price that excludes VAT and similar deductible taxes directly linked to turnover as well as all duties and taxes on the goods and services invoiced by the unit, whereas subsidies on products received by the producer, if there are any, should be added.” Agreement between business and NSI on specifications of the product WP June 2007

19 PEEI in focus, PPI in industry
Time period 14 specifically mention the 15th Very good response rates: above 82% Slightly lower response rate in July, August WP June 2007

20 PEEI in focus, PPI in industry
Specific treatments Treatment of quality change Missing values WP June 2007

21 PEEI in focus, PPI in industry
Specific treatments Index compilation 2 to 4 steps One product of the business = one price = one elementary index 4-digit, cpa (6,9), prodcom (10 digit), commodity group, market (rare) - weights (except DE, IT, HU, AT, RO) 2 last steps for higher level of aggregation (CPA 6-digit & Nace 4-digit for example) – weighted average based on turnover/sales data (mainly) WP June 2007

22 PEEI in focus, PPI in industry
Revisions 16/30 countries do not revise Editing at micro and macro level - errors Consistency checks to avoid processing errors Measurement errors sometimes from the quality adjustment procedures / representativeness of products closely followed No measurement of non-response bias No calculation of sample errors except UK PPI=F(monthly growth rates) correlations between growth rates are modelled CV ~0.7 for total industry Comparison with other data: prodcom, prices indices (CPI, XMPI, UVI) WP June 2007

23 PEEI in focus, next subject
Eurostat’s proposal to cover Production in construction index Template prepared based on 2007 STS sources during the fall 2007 Send out to countries early December 2007 Replies by mid-April 2008 WP June 2007

24 Report to the Parliament and the Council
Based on different inputs discussed above By August 11th , 2008 – proposal to the WG in December 2007 WP June 2007

25 Report to the Parliament and the Council
Structure of the report Relevance (outcome of the benefits discussion -5 pages) Quality of the data (availability & coverage, timeliness, comparability, coherence, accuracy), described by annex (15-20 pages) Revisions of the main indicators (in relation to the statistical methods, the NSI dissemination policy and their impact on the index levels (5-8 pages)) Cost and burden arising from the STS-Regulation, reporting on best practices to lessen the burden on business (around 10 pages) So in total some pages (half in annex) WP June 2007

26 Report to the Parliament and the Council
The provisional time schedule: After the summer 2007, Task Force on Cost and Burden to finalise the text on the relevance and benefits Need feedback from countries related to the text on benefits October-November draft report prepared by Eurostat; comments from the Task Force members would be welcome December 2007 draft report submitted to the STS Working Group Proposal to the Statistical Programme Committee first half 2008. WP June 2007

27 isabelle.remond-tiedrez@ec.europa.eu, WP June 2007
Information to users Metadata updated in March 2007 with new definitions regulations, new indicators Dedicated section on Eurostat website PEEI in focus summary report = to make them available to public ask countries before the end of 2007 to give their agreement by WP June 2007

28 isabelle.remond-tiedrez@ec.europa.eu, WP June 2007
Conclusions Comments are welcome give their agreement for the Production Index in Construction to be the next PEEI in focus comments on the structure proposed and time schedule for the report to Parliament and Council WP June 2007


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