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Modelling the spread of hepatitis C virus infection among injecting drug users in Glasgow: Implications for prevention Sharon J. Hutchinson, Sheila M. Bird, Avril Taylor, David J. Goldberg International Journal of Drug Policy Volume 17, Issue 3, Pages (June 2006) DOI: /j.drugpo Copyright © 2006 Elsevier B.V. Terms and Conditions
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Fig. 1 Estimates (10th, 50th and 90th percentiles per annum) of: (a) incidence, (b) cessation and (c) prevalence of injecting drug use in Glasgow during 1960–2000, generated from a modified Delphi study (Hutchinson et al., 2006). International Journal of Drug Policy , DOI: ( /j.drugpo ) Copyright © 2006 Elsevier B.V. Terms and Conditions
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Fig. 2 Prevalence of needle/syringe sharing reported by IDUs recruited in Glasgow and Edinburgh surveys. International Journal of Drug Policy , DOI: ( /j.drugpo ) Copyright © 2006 Elsevier B.V. Terms and Conditions
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Fig. 3 Graph showing the number of partners with whom IDUs in Glasgow, recruited during community-wide surveys in 1990–1994, reported needle/syringe sharing (i.e. injected at least once with their used needle/syringe) during the previous 6 months and the geometric distributions used in the model to approximate these data. International Journal of Drug Policy , DOI: ( /j.drugpo ) Copyright © 2006 Elsevier B.V. Terms and Conditions
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Fig. 4 Barplot showing the percentage of injecting episodes where a needle/syringe was shared among 837 Glasgow IDUs recruited during surveys conducted in 1990 and 1991–1994, stratified by whether respondents reported having either (a) 1, (b) 2–5, (c) 6–10, or (d) 11–20 sharing partners during the previous 6 months. International Journal of Drug Policy , DOI: ( /j.drugpo ) Copyright © 2006 Elsevier B.V. Terms and Conditions
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Fig. 5 States of HCV infection followed by individuals commencing injecting drug use. International Journal of Drug Policy , DOI: ( /j.drugpo ) Copyright © 2006 Elsevier B.V. Terms and Conditions
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Fig. 6 Modelled and observed seroprevalences for HCV among current IDUs in Glasgow, 1975–2000. International Journal of Drug Policy , DOI: ( /j.drugpo ) Copyright © 2006 Elsevier B.V. Terms and Conditions
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Fig. 7 Modelled incident number of HCV infections per annum among current IDUs in Glasgow, 1960–2000*. International Journal of Drug Policy , DOI: ( /j.drugpo ) Copyright © 2006 Elsevier B.V. Terms and Conditions
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Fig. 8 Modelled impact of hypothetical lower risk behaviours – in terms of (i) the percentage of IDUs who had shared a needle/syringe per year, (ii) the mean number of needle/syringe sharing partners per year, and (iii) the percentage of injecting episodes shared – on (a) HCV seroprevalence and (b) HCV incidence among current IDUs in Glasgow, 1988–2000. International Journal of Drug Policy , DOI: ( /j.drugpo ) Copyright © 2006 Elsevier B.V. Terms and Conditions
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