RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Disclaimer This presentation is being provided solely for informational purposes. Afghanistan Global Commodity Exchange does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of any information provided in this presentation and such information is provided without any correctness or condition of any kind. Neither Afghanistan Global Commodity Exchange nor any other person associated with the creation of this presentation or its contents shall be liable or responsible to any person for any harm, loss or damage that may arise in connection with the use of this presentation, including without limitation, any indirect, third party, or consequential damages. RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Technical Indicators A technical indicator is a series of data points that are derived by applying a formula to the price data of a security Price data includes any combination of the open, high, low or close over a period of time RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Technical Indicators A technical indicator offers a different perspective from which to analyze the price action. Some, such as moving averages, are derived from simple formulas and the mechanics are relatively easy to understand Others, such as Stochastic, have complex formulas and require more study to fully understand and appreciate Technical indicators can provide unique perspective on the strength and direction of the underlying price action RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Technical Indicators Why Use Indicators? An indicator can act as an alert to study price action a little more closely Indicators can be used to confirm other technical analysis tools Some investors and traders use indicators to predict the direction of future prices RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Technical Indicators Tips for Using Indicators Indicators indicate Signals should be taken in context with other technical analysis tools Learning how to read indicators is more of an art than a science Hundreds of indicators in use today Choose carefully and moderately RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Japanese Candlesticks
Candlestick charting first appeared sometime after 1850 Credit goes to legendary rice trader named Homma from the town of Sakata Original ideas were modified and refined over many years of trading eventually resulting in the system of candlestick charting that we use today RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Japanese Candlesticks
RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Candlesticks Pattern, WHY??

Major Candlesticks Pattern
Doji Bulls and Bears are at an equilibrium A state of indecision Always take notice RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Moving Averages Simple Moving Averages Average Value of a commodity over a set period Emphasizes the direction trend Upward trend is when a shorter duration MA (for e.g., 15 days) crosses over the longer duration MA (for e.g., 50 days) Downward trend is when a longer duration MA (for e.g., 50 days) crosses over the shorter duration MA (for e.g., 15 days) RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Moving Averages Exponential Moving Averages Similar to Simple Moving Averages Except more weight is given to the latest data 12- and 26-day EMA’s are the most popular Example of EMA RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Relative Strength Index
Developed by J. Welles Wilder Measures the magnitude of gains against the magnitude of losses over a period Range 0-100 Formula= /(1+RS) where, RS=Average Gain / Average Loss RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Relative Strength Index

Bollinger Bands Created by John Bollinger in 1980s Determines the overbought and oversold zones Consists of three curves Upper Band-Middle Band+2 S.D. Middle Band-20 Days SMA Lower Band-Middle Band-2 S.D. RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Fibonacci Discovered by Leonardo Pisano Series numbers: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, and so on Fibonacci Retracement Levels (Golden Mean) 0.236, 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, 0.764 Fibonacci Extension Levels 0, 0.382, 0.618, 1.000, 1.382, 1.618 RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Fibonacci Retracement
Works best when the market is trending Used to determine support and resistance level General consensus is the market always reverses from one of the support/resistance levels RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Fibonacci with Trend Lines
Useful on trending market i.e. Uptrend or Downtrend Example of silver Want to take a long position but don’t know when Draw the trend line from 24th August till 22nd October Draw the Fibonacci levels taking a swing low price of USD 22.79(coinciding with one of the lowest trend levels of 22nd October) and swing high price of USD RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Fibonacci with Trend Lines
Silver Prices found support at 61.8 level i.e. USD (coinciding with the trend line as well) on 16th November Take a Long position at this level Silver Prices broke the swing high level on 4th December RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Fibonacci with Japanese Candlesticks
Tracking the development of exhaustive candlesticks Indicates a continuation of a trend Example of Gold Draw the Fibonacci levels taking a swing low price of USD 1156 on 27th July and Swing high price of USD on 14th October RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Fibonacci with Japanese Candlesticks
Gold prices found support at 23.6 Fib Level on 21st October Formation of a Dragonfly Doji after a bearish candle the preceding day Dragonfly Doji indicates the beginning of a bullish trend Take a long position at this level Gold Prices break the swing high level on 5th November RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

MACD Developed by Gerald Appel in late 1970s Acronym for Moving Average Convergence Divergence Identify a new trend Calculation MACD: (12 Day EMA-26 Day EMA) Signal Line: 9 Day EMA MACD Histogram: MACD-Signal Line Rules for Trading When MACD>Signal Line=Bullish Market When MACD<Signal Line=Bearish Market RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

Conclusion Technical Indicators work in tandem with each other Weigh the pros and cons of each indicator before reaping the results The best strategy forward is using technical and fundamental factors simultaneously RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT,AGCXL ALL RIGHTS RESERVED

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