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World Population Growth Through History
Billions 12 11 2100 10 9 Modern Age 8 Old Stone Bronze Iron Middle 7 Age New Stone Age Age Age Ages 6 2000 Future 5 4 1975 3 1950 2 1900 1 Black Death — The Plague 1800 1+ million 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 A.D. A.D. A.D. A.D. A.D. A.D. years B.C. B.C. B.C. B.C. B.C. B.C. B.C. 1 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 Source: Population Reference Bureau; and United Nations, World Population Projections to 2100 (1998).
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World Population Growth, in Billions
Number of years to add each billion (year) All of Human History (1800) 130 (1930) 30 (1960) 15 (1975) 12 (1987) 12 (1999) 14 (2013) 14 (2027) 21 (2048) Sources: First and second billion: Population Reference Bureau. Third through ninth billion: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005.
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Growth in More, Less Developed Countries
Billions Less Developed Regions More Developed Regions Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005.
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World Population Clock
2005 Natural Increase per World More Developed Countries Less Developed Countries Less Developed Countries (less China) Year 80,794,218 1,234,907 79,559,311 71,906,587 Day 221,354 3,383 217,971 197,004 Minute 154 2 151 137 Source: Population Reference Bureau, 2005 World Population Data Sheet.
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Projected Population Change, by Country
Percent Population Change, Women worldwide are having fewer children in their lifetimes, from an average of five children born per woman in the 1950s to below three in 2000. All of the most recent projections put forth by the UN assume that levels of childbearing will continue to decline in the next century. Source: Population Reference Bureau, 2005 World Population Data Sheet.
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The Classic Stages of Demographic Transition
Women worldwide are having fewer children in their lifetimes, from an average of five children born per woman in the 1950s to below three in 2000. All of the most recent projections put forth by the UN assume that levels of childbearing will continue to decline in the next century. Note: Natural increase is produced from the excess of births over deaths.
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Birth and Death Rates, Worldwide
Rates of birth, death, and natural increase per 1,000 population Natural Increase Birth rates and death rates are declining around the world. Overall economic development, public health programs, and improvements in food production and distribution, water, and sanitation have led to dramatic declines in death rates. And women now have fewer children than they did in the 1950s. Nevertheless, if death rates are lower than birth rates, populations will still grow. Also, it is possible for absolute numbers of births to increase even when birth rates decline. Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, 2005.
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10 Places With the Lowest Total Fertility Worldwide
Average number of children per woman, Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, 2005.
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Women of Childbearing Age
Number of Women 15 to 49 Billions The number of women of childbearing age more than doubled between 1950 and 1990: from 620 million to over 1.3 billion. Their numbers are expected to reach over 2 billion by the middle of this century, according to the UN’s medium projections. The growing population of women in their childbearing years and their male partners will contribute to future world population growth, even if levels of childbearing continue to decline. Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005.
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Diverging Trends in Fertility Reduction
Average number of children per woman Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, 2005.
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Trends in Life Expectancy, by Region
Life Expectancy at Birth, in Years In , infants born around the world can expect to live an average of 75 years — up ten years from today. Africa will experience the largest increase in life expectancy: from 49 years to 65 years. Life expectancy varies widely by region. In more developed countries, life expectancy averages 76 years, compared with only 49 years in Africa. Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005.
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Trends in Urbanization, by Region
Urban Population Percent Currently, world regions differ greatly in their levels of urbanization. In more developed regions and in Latin America and the Caribbean, over 70 percent of the population is urban, whereas in Africa and Asia, under 40 percent of the population is urban. By 2030, however, the urban proportion of these two regions will exceed 50 percent. By 2030, roughly 60 percent of the world’s population will be living in urban areas. Source: United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects: The 2003 Revision (medium scenario), 2004.
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Largest Cities, Worldwide
Millions The largest cities in the world are growing rapidly in size and they are shifting from the more developed regions to the less developed regions. In 1950 the three largest cities were in more developed countries; by 2000, only Tokyo remained in the top three. In 1950, New York was the largest city in the world, with a population of about 12 million. By 2015, the largest city worldwide is projected to be Tokyo, with triple this population size: 36 million. Source: United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects: The 2003 Revision (medium scenario), 2004.
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Urbanization in Central America
Population Living in Urban Areas Percent Central American countries are urbanizing rapidly, at a pace similar to that of their South American neighbors 20 years earlier. Sixty percent or more of the population in Costa Rica, El Salvador, Nicaragua, and Panama is projected to be urban by 2010; the projection for Central America as a whole is 71 percent. South America has nearly the highest rate of urbanization of any world region, projected to achieve 84 percent by 2010 (virtually tied with Northern Europe). Source: United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects: The 2003 Revision (medium scenario), 2004.
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Age Distribution of the World’s Population
Population Structures by Age and Sex, 2005 Millions Less Developed Regions More Developed Regions Age 0-4 Male Female Male Female Sex and age distributions show that less developed countries have significantly younger populations than more developed countries. Almost one-third of the population in less developed countries is under age 15. In contrast, less than one-fifth of the population in more developed countries is under 15. Today there are more than 2 billion young people below age 20 in less developed regions—the age cohort that will soon become the world’s newest group of parents. Young age structures in the less developed countries are due mainly to higher levels of childbearing in recent decades. Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision, 2005.
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Trends in Aging, by World Region
Population Ages 65 and Older Percent By 2025, over 20 percent of the population in more developed regions will be ages 65 and older. By 2025, one-tenth of the world’s population will be over age 65. Asia will see the proportion of its elderly population almost double, from about 6 percent in 2000 to 10 percent in In absolute terms, this represents a stark increase in just 25 years: from about 216 million to about 480 million older people. Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005.
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Women and Aging Projected World Population, by Sex, at Specified Age Groups, 2025 Percent The figure above depicts what demographers refer to as the feminization of aging. Although women make up half of world population, by the end of the next quarter century, they will account for more than half (54 percent) of people ages 60 and older, and 63 percent of very old people (80 and older). Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects:The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005.
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Adult Literacy, by Region
Literacy Rates, by Sex, Percent Nearly all men and women in more developed regions can read and write. However, literacy rates are lower in the less developed regions. Women’s literacy rates in particular vary significantly by region: from 53 percent in sub-Saharan Africa, to 73 percent in Asia, to 89 percent in Latin America and the Caribbean. Overall, more men than women are literate. This is especially striking in the Arab states, where more than three-fourths of men but about half of all women are literate. Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics: accessed online at on May 21, 2006.
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