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Estimating primary production of the Yellow Sea

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1 Estimating primary production of the Yellow Sea
Sinjae Yoo1*, Jisoo Park1, Yu-Hwan Ahn1, and Joji Ishizaka2 KORDI Ansan, South Korea

2 The Yellow Sea is the most productive sea in NP, or is it?
(PICES NPESR, 2004)

3 Yellow Sea UNEP LME Report, Sherman and Hempel (2009)

4 Primary productivity of YS in-situ estimation
Some of in-situ estimates on annual production are ~150 gC m-2 y-1, which is small compared to fish landings. Point measurements vary in the range of ∼ 3,175 ㎎ C m-2 d-1 depending on time and space. Uncertainty is significant

5 Our previous approach using satellite (Son et al., 2005, MEPS)
We divided the YS into three areas and got averages from each. P-I parameters (141 sets) Vertical CHL profiles were parameterized (86 profiles). Smith model (1936) was used for photosynthesis. KPAR was derived from nLw555 Empirical local algorithm (Ahn, 2004) was used to retrieve chlorophyll

6 Mean Primary Production Rate
Primary production in the 3 regions of the Yellow Sea Sub-region Area ×103 km2 Mean Primary Production Rate mgC m-2 d-1 ×104 tonC d-1 May Sep CCW 58.9 590.3 589.3 3.5 MYW 147.4 946.5 722.6 13.9 10.6 KCW 28.9 734.2 553.7 2.1 1.6 mean 835.6 672.4 total 235.2 19.7 15.8 ~225 gC m-2 yr-1

7 Limitations of the previous study
Estimation was possible only for two seasons (spring and autumn). Regions were fixed geographically but not optically. Averages of P-I parameters were used. Averages of CHL profile parameters were used. PP in the turbid region was not modeled accurately. CHL algorithm needs improvements.

8 Why ‘standard’ PP estimates based on satellite data are excessively overestimated?
Major sources of error in PP estimation Chlorophyll*** Photosynthetic parameters** Vertical structure of chlorophyll* Error of PP estimation when ignoring subsurface chlorophyll maximum = 17.7%~30.1% (Park, 2000)

9 8 different combinations for PP in YS (4 CHL x 2 PP algorithms)
SeaWiFS standard TCHL TTCHL GOCI

10 Table 2. Comparison of primary production in the central region of the Yellow Sea which were calculated by each chlorophyll-a algorithm. VGPM PP and AVGPM PP † Units mgC m-2 d-1 ‡ Units gC m-2 yr-1 Chl-a algorithm VGPM AVGPM Daily† Yearly‡ Daily Yearly SeaWiFS standard 1672 610.2 1142 416.9 TCHL 559 203.9 291 106.3 TTCHL 1222 446.1 839 306.4 GOCI 438 159.8 265 96.5

11 Comparison of SeaWiFS vs in-situ CHL in the Yellow Sea

12 Comparison of VGPM-based vs actual DIPP
in the YS In-situ VGPM Min 58.1 186.2 Max 1458.8 2034.4 Mean 445.5 808.6 MNB 119.6% RMSE 593.9 R2 0.05 slope 1.41

13 New approach New Chlorophyll-a algorithm
Yellow Sea Ocean Color Group supported by YSLME Project New Primary Production algorithm VGPM type Parameterized with local data

14 Yellow Sea Ocean Color Database (Bio-optical measurements)
Siswanto et al, in prep. China TANG Junwu National Satellite Ocean Application Service, SOA, Beijing Japan KAWAMURA Hiroshi Tohoku University ISHIZAKA Joji Nagasaki University Korea AHN Yu-Hwan, YOO Sinjae KORDI KIM Sang-Woo NFRDI

15 Results for YOC development
Two algorithms Tchl works well in the turbid waters in the YS but underestimates in the less turbid water TTchl works well in the less turbid water and the East China Sea Switching of the two algorithms is employed.

16 Data Independent data sets 1998~2007
(2006 & 2007 data provided by Prof JG Park) FEB, MAR, MAY, AUG, NOV, DEC Time difference between in-situ and satellite observation <= ±1 day Max CHL=12.1 mg m-3

17 Comparison of YOC vs in-situ CHL
TTCHL TCHL Mean 1.36 3.00 1.23 Min 0.12 0.39 0.18 Max 3.76 10.08 3.66 MNB 250.54 18.77 RMSE 2.64 0.57 R2 -0.273 0.723 Time difference=0-1 hr

18 Black: SeaWiFS standard
Red: TTCHL Blue: TCHL Green: GOCI

19 New PP algorithm fitted to in-situ data

20 New PP formulation In-situ Adjusted VGPM WIDR model Min 58.1 27.1 21.4
Max 1458.8 1678.4 2284.5 Mean 445.5 552.5 457.5 MNB 29.8% 0.0% RMSE 354.1 319.9 R2 0.388 0.56 slope 1.09 0.99

21 Monthly CHL composites of 2004 based on
JAN FEB MAR Monthly CHL composites of 2004 based on Switching of Tchl and TTchl (nLw>1.14) APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

22 Monthly PP composites of 2004 based on
YSVGPM

23 Average daily (time series) and annual PP of the YS
Daily PP in mgC m-2 d-1 Annual PP in gC m-2 yr-1

24 Limitations A large portion of the turbid regions is excluded.
When included, PP will decrease PP in the turbid region needs improvement Chlorophyll algorithm needs validated Photosynthetic PP in the Changjiang River Plume arae needs improvements

25 Summary The upper limit of YSPP seems ~300 mgC m-2 yr-1
Improvements needed in Chlorophyll algorithm PP models in the Turbid region Modeling the influence of Changjiang river discharge

26 Thank You!


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