1. Chris.kavalec@energy.state.ca.us / 916-654-5184
California Energy Demand (CED) 2011 Revised Electricity and Natural Gas Forecast
SCE
February 7, 2012
Chris Kavalec Demand Analysis Office Electricity Supply Analysis Division /

2. SCE Electricity Sales
Average annual growth of 1.41%, 0.97%, and 0.67% from in the high, mid, and low scenarios, respectively, compared to 1.27% in the 2009 IEPR forecast (CED 2009)
Lower starting point vs. CED 2009
Lower in all three scenarios vs. preliminary 2011 forecast (3.4% lower in 2022 in mid case)
Econometric sales forecast 2.8% higher in mid case in 2022, 1.1% higher in high case

3. SCE Electricity Sales: CED 2011 Revised vs. CED 2009

4. SCE Electricity Sales: CED 2011 Revised vs
SCE Electricity Sales: CED 2011 Revised vs. CED 2011 Preliminary (Mid Case)

5. SCE Electricity Sales: CED 2011 Revised vs
SCE Electricity Sales: CED 2011 Revised vs. Econometric Forecast (Mid Case)

6. SCE Peak Demand
Average annual growth of 1.98%, 1.56%, and 1.01% from in the high, mid, and low scenarios, respectively, compared to 1.40% in the 2009 IEPR forecast (CED 2009)
Lower starting point vs. CED 2009 and preliminary
Lower in all three cases vs. preliminary 2011 forecast because of lower starting point, faster growth in mid and high cases
Econometric forecast higher in all three cases (1.75% higher in mid case in 2022)

7. SCE Peak Demand: CED 2011 Revised vs. CED 2009

8. SCE Peak Demand: CED 2011 Revised vs. CED 2011 Preliminary (Mid Case)

9. SCE Peak Demand: CED 2011 Revised vs. Econometric Forecast (Mid Case)

10. SCE TV Standards Savings

11. SCE Electric Vehicles

12. SCE Self-Generation Peak Impacts