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Stage 3: Project Feasibility (II)
Reading: RE Development, Principles and Process. (Chapter 16)
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Stage 3: Project Feasibility
Outline What is it? Carrying out the study Market Research & Analysis PESTEL factors feasibility Level 2 feasibility Risk management Who uses information from the feasibility study Stage 3: Project Feasibility
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Stage 3: Project Feasibility
P – Political factors Political landscape --- stability, ideologies etc... In depth knowledge of the macro economic landscape GDP and per capita income Interest rates Inflation Job security and income levels Industrial productivity Stability in stock market (business growth) Possible PPP or other partnerships (UN etc based on political accommodation of such etc...) Stage 3: Project Feasibility
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E – Environmental Factors
Define your catchment area and be sure development fits into environmental requirements of that area Trade areas or mile rings or the population (market) densities etc can be used depending on the nature and type of development/ product Going green -- ensure design and construction methods of development are sustainable and energy efficient Stage 3: Project Feasibility
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S – Socio-cultural Factors
Involving both social and cultural factors Social issues: Proper identification and management of “social” stakeholders General demographics and their preferences Value systems and ethical requirements Cultural issues Cultural practices that will influence development Stage 3: Project Feasibility
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T – Technological Factors
Preliminary drawings – elevations, floor layouts (plans), perspectives etc... (tendering???) Initial construction and total cost estimates – more accurate estimates for construction Sensitivity analysis --- moving plan from feasibility to optimization Decide on technologies to be employed and ensure availability, implementability etc... Stage 3: Project Feasibility
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Stage 3: Project Feasibility
E – Economical Factors Cash flows of the development should be analyzed using Payback or some discounted cash flow method (NPV or IRR) Costs... Pg 412 Cash flow during development period should be determined and analyzed (s-curves) Identify and analyze lenders and investors Checking their requirements and meeting them Seeking mutually satisfying terms and conditions Providing enough information for Due diligence Stage 3: Project Feasibility
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Stage 3: Project Feasibility
L - Legal Factors Influenced by political factors??? Research on and obtain permits and other government considerations Special focus of land issues due to local context Legal advise on various contracts and agreements to come up to/ with Due diligence of all factors, requirements and expectations Stage 3: Project Feasibility
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Value of their Participation : Cost of their Participation
Level Two Feasibility Ensuring project is feasible for each participant They must all see the development in the same light as the developer w.r.t. Value : Cost Can legal obligations suffice? Show cash flows of each participant in feasibility Focus > keep a committed team together throughout Value of their Participation : Cost of their Participation Stage 3: Project Feasibility
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Stage 3: Project Feasibility
Data Sources Ghana Statistical Board Census Data Economic Consultants Marketing Consulting Firms Ghana Education Service Other related Government Agencies General Public Other developers Etc… Stage 3: Project Feasibility
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Stage 3: Project Feasibility
Risk Management Some risk issues to consider: Availability of requisite data Financing this stage Proper feedback from market Ensuring appropriateness of design Availability of utility lines etc Permits from government agencies Warranty from design team + other insurances Etc..... Stage 3: Project Feasibility
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Who uses the feasibility study?
Developers Determine suitability of a location Best products for market demand Submits to lender for loans To fine-tune the product Investors/Lenders Assess project’s viability Ensure sound basis to give loans/investments Due Diligence Stage 3: Project Feasibility
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Who uses the feasibility study?
Designers To understand target market To create product style (looks), amenities, features unit sizes, etc. Marketing Managers To formulate sales strategies Advertising campaigns Interior merchandising Public relations Other promotional efforts Stage 3: Project Feasibility
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Who uses the feasibility study?
Local Government To determine whether to grant permit Whether public will accept project (meet their need) To determine financial impact on local economy To determine development impact fees Tenants & Occupants Firms use it for site-selection process To determine which city/town to locate office Suitability of specific properties for leasing Stage 3: Project Feasibility
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Who uses the feasibility study?
Sellers, Purchasers, Landowners Used as part of appraisal Identify an appropriate selling price for a project or land Property Managers Gain insights and information to reposition an existing property (renovation minor upgrade, etc.) Etc… Stage 3: Project Feasibility
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Stage 3: Project Feasibility
Decision time..... Go No Go Postpone Improve Project Stage 3: Project Feasibility
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