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CHAPTER 3 RATIO ANALYSIS
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Chapter outline Introduction Requirements for financial ratios
Norms of comparison Types of ratios Profitability ratios Profit margins Turnover ratios Liquidity ratios Solvency ratios Cash flow ratios Investment ratios Financial gearing DuPont Analysis Conclusion
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Learning outcomes By the end of this chapter, you should be able to:
discuss the requirements for financial ratios identify the norms of comparison used to evaluate ratios identify the different types of ratios define, calculate and interpret profitability, liquidity, solvency, cash flow and investor ratios explain financial gearing apply the DuPont Analysis system to evaluate return ratios.
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Introduction Information provided in financial statements is used to calculate financial ratios Ratios attempt to provide more information in format that is comparable over time, between companies and between industries/countries Ratios are more understandable than the financial figures in financial statements Meaningful relationships between items from the financial statements are investigated with ratios
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Requirements for financial ratios
Primary objective: Simplify the evaluation of the financial performance and position of a company Meaningful Logical comparison between items from financial statements Relevant True indication of financial situation Comparable Ratio calculated in a consistent manner
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Norms of comparison Conventions Comparison over time
Norms developed over time May differ between firms/industries Comparison over time Determine if financial situation improved or declined Determine trends in the values of the ratios Comparison between companies Determine the competitive position of the company relative to its competitors
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Types of ratios Profitability ratios Profit margins Turnover ratios
Liquidity ratios Turnover times Solvency ratios Coverage ratios Cash flow ratios Cash coverage ratios Investment ratios
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Profitability ratios Evaluates efficiency with which a company utilises its capital to generate turnover Small investment in assets generates large income – company is highly profitable Large investment in assets generates small income – assets are not utilised efficiently Possible to calculate the profitability of different capital items Ensure relevant comparison between capital item and corresponding income/profit
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Return on assets (ROA) Measures how efficiently total assets are utilised to generate turnover Compares profit after tax with total assets ROA = In order to improve ROA: Improve profit figure, reduce amount of assets, or combination
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Return on equity (ROE) Indicates return generated on total equity
Total equity includes ordinary shareholders’ equity, preference share capital and minority interest Profit after tax represents profit available to equity providers ROE =
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Return on shareholders’ equity (ROSE)
Return generated on shareholders’ equity Shareholders’ equity includes ordinary shareholders’ equity and preference share capital Profit after tax minus non-controlling interest represents profit available to shareholders’ equity providers ROSE =
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Return on ordinary shareholders’ equity (ROSHE)
Return generated on ordinary shareholders’ equity Ordinary shareholders’ equity includes ordinary share capital and reserves Profit after tax minus non-controlling interest and preference share dividends represents profit available to ordinary shareholders ROSHE =
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Profit margins Indication of the percentage of turnover that shows as profit after certain deductions are made Profit margins could influence profitability ratios Higher profit margins should increase profitability levels
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Gross profit margin (GP)
Portion of turnover that is realised as gross profit after cost of sales has been subtracted GP =
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Operating profit margin (OP)
Portion of turnover that is realised as operating profit after operating expenses have been subtracted OP =
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Earnings before interest and tax margin (EBIT)
Profit made before taking any finance cost and tax into consideration EBIT =
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Net profit margin (NP) Portion of turnover available after tax is paid
Important to the equity providers Indication of portion of the turnover that belongs to non-controlling interest holders, which can be paid out as ordinary or preference dividends or can be reinvested as part of the company’s reserves NP =
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Turnover ratios Indicates speed with which an investment in assets is converted into turnover Higher the value of the ratio the more times per year the investment is utilised to generate turnover, and the higher the total profit should become Influences the profitability of a company Higher turnover ratios should increase profitability levels
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Total asset turnover ratio
Indicates efficiency with which total assets are utilised to generate turnover The higher the value of TA turnover ratio, the more times per year the investment in total assets is converted into turnover If a company is able to improve TA turnover ratio while maintaining same profit margins, its return on assets should increase TA turnover =
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Property, plant and equipment turnover ratio
Evaluates the utilisation of a company’s investment in PPE PPE at carrying value PPE turnover =
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Current asset turnover ratio
Indicates the number of times per year that the investment in the current assets is converted into turnover CA turnover =
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Trade receivables turnover ratio
Shows number of times per year that investment in trade receivables is converted into turnover TR turnover =
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Inventory turnover ratio
Focuses on investment in inventory Cost of sales is determined by the amount of inventory that is sold so INV ratio does not focus on the value of the company’s turnover Cost of sales figure is used instead INV turnover =
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Trade payables turnover ratio
Evaluates efficiency with which company utilises trade payables to finance its purchases When the TP turnover ratio is calculated, purchases of inventory during the year are required TP turnover =
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Liquidity ratios Liquidity refers to ability to honour short-term obligations Adequate liquidity: sufficient current assets are available to cover current liabilities If company’s liquidity is consistently at insufficient levels, it may eventually result in problems with solvency in the long term: could threaten the survival of the business
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Current ratio Compares current assets and current liabilities
Conventional norms of comparison: value of 2:1 if company maintains acceptable levels of liquidity Value less than one: indicates that there is less than R1 of current assets to cover R1 of current liabilities – this could indicate insufficient liquidity Current ratio =
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Quick ratio Focuses on current assets and liabilities
Unlike current ratio, not all current assets are included: Takes time to sell inventory Prepayments cannot be reclaimed Value of quick ratio more conservative estimate of current assets available to cover current liabilities Quick ratio =
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Cash ratio Focus is placed solely on cash and cash equivalents available Cash ratio indicates if sufficient cash is available to cover current liabilities Cash ratio =
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Turnover time ratios Turnover times of current assets provide indication of time it takes to convert investment into turnover Longer turnover times: weaker liquidity Turnover times of current liabilities provide an indication of average period of time before liability is redeemed Shorter turnover times: liabilities are paid earlier; negative effect on liquidity Turnover times influence cash conversion cycle More efficient management of working capital components could result in improved liquidity
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Trade receivables turnover time
Average time it takes to convert investment in TR into turnover Represents average collection period of trade receivables (i.e. how long customers that purchase items on credit take on average to pay accounts) Increase in value of ratio over time could be sign of decreased liquidity; could also be indication that credit terms are too lenient TR turnover time =
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Inventory turnover time
Calculates average time it takes to convert inventory into turnover Provides average age of inventory (i.e. how long an item of inventory has been in the business before it is sold) INV turnover time =
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Trade payables turnover time
Indicates average period it takes before trade payables are repaid If TP turnover time decreases: trade payables are repaid earlier; negative effect on liquidity Increase in TP turnover time: improved liquidity TP turnover time =
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Cash conversion cycle Indication of the time that elapses from when cash is spent on purchase of inventory until it is received back again Inverse relationship between CCC and profitability; could improve profitability by reducing CCC CCC =
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Solvency ratios Solvency refers to a company’s ability to cover all its obligations when it eventually closes down its operating activities Comparison between total assets and total debt capital If value of assets exceeds the value liabilities: solvency level would most probably be sufficient If this is not the case: long-term survival of the company may be at risk
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Debt : assets ratio Relationship between debt capital and total assets
Provides indication of the portion of the total capital requirement that is financed by means of debt capital The higher the value of this ratio, the weaker the solvency position Debt : assets ratio =
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Debt : equity ratio Compares amount of debt capital with equity capital The higher the value of this ratio, the weaker the solvency position Debt : equity ratio =
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Financial leverage ratio
Amount of total assets is compared with amount of equity capital included in the company’s capital structure The higher the value of this ratio, the weaker the solvency position Financial leverage ratio =
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Coverage ratios Consider ability to meet certain obligations when evaluating solvency If a company is unable to cover some obligations could result in solvency problems To determine if sufficient profits are available to cover obligations calculate coverage ratios Coverage ratios focus on obligations company are legally bound to consider – compares it with profit available to pay the obligation
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Finance cost coverage Finance cost payable on debt capital usually represents legally enforceable obligation If finance cost is not paid debt capital providers can take legal action to collect it Finance cost coverage ratio indicates if sufficient profits are available to pay finance cost Finance cost coverage =
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Fixed payments coverage
Fixed payments: obligations that company always needs to honour Obligations not honoured may result in termination of company’s activities Usually consist of finance cost and lease payments Profit available calculated by adding finance cost and lease payments to profit before tax Fixed payments coverage =
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Preference dividends coverage
Indicates if sufficient profits are available to pay preference dividends Relevant profit figure: profit after tax and minority interest Preference dividends can only be paid after provision has been made for all other obligations Preference dividend coverage =
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Cash flow ratios Important to consider if sufficient cash flows are generated to cover a company’s expenses and liabilities Also necessary to investigate a company’s sources of cash flows, and how these cash flows are utilised
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Cash flow to turnover ratio
Quantifies portion of company’s turnover that is converted into CFO Higher value indicates that turnover is converted into cash flow more efficiently Cash flow to turnover ratio =
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Cash return on assets Indicates how efficiently company’s assets are utilised to generate operating cash flows Higher value indicates that assets are utilised more efficiently to generate CFO Cash return on assets =
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Cash return on shareholders’ equity
Determines the cash return that the shareholders of a company received Higher value indicates that shareholders received a higher cash return on their investment Cash return on shareholders’ equity =
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Cash flow to operating profit
Important to determine what portion of profit is eventually converted into cash flows Cash flow to operating profit ratio provides an indication of the percentage of the operating profit that is converted into operating cash flows Cash flow to operating profit =
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Cash coverage ratios When evaluating a company’s ability to meet obligations also possible to focus on cash flows rather that profit figures Cash coverage ratios should provide analysts with an indication of whether the company has sufficient cash available to cover obligations Since most obligations need to be paid with cash, these ratios are of great importance
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Finance cost cash coverage
Determines cash flow available to pay finance cost obligations Finance cost cash coverage =
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Dividend cash coverage
Determines cash flow available to pay dividends If insufficient cash flows are available to cover dividends company needs to obtain external cash flows Dividend cash coverage =
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Reinvestment coverage
Determines if sufficient cash flows are generated to cover reinvestment in fixed assets Reinvestment coverage =
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Debt repayment coverage
Determines if sufficient cash flows are generated to repay long-term debt capital Debt repayment coverage =
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Investing and financing coverage
Determines if sufficient cash flows are generated to cover company’s investing and financing cash flows If company is unable to generate sufficient operating cash flows to cover these activities, they will have to obtain additional cash flows from its capital providers to meet the cash demand Investing and financing coverage =
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Investment ratios One of the most important groups of users of company’s financial statements are the shareholders – both existing and potential Are interested in potential benefits that investment will provide Also interested to find out if investment in the shares of the company is expected to increase or decrease in value over time
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Earnings per share Indication of the distributable profit that was earned per ordinary share during the year Attributable to the ordinary shareholders of the company EPS =
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Dividend per share Indicates the amount that investors receive per share in the form of ordinary dividends Usually only a portion of the EPS is declared as an ordinary dividend Portion not paid out reinvested as retained earnings DPS =
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Price : earnings ratio Indication of how many Rands investors are prepared to pay for each R1 EPS that is earned by the company If P : E ratio is greater than one, it is usually an indication that investors expect company to continue to grow in future P : E ratio =
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Dividend payout ratio Represents portion of attributable earnings that is paid to investors Remaining portion is reinvested as part of retained earnings Dividend payout ratio =
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Ordinary dividend coverage
Ordinary shareholders have last claim on profits When ordinary dividend coverage is calculated, focus is placed on attributable earnings Usually dividends only declared if sufficient profits are available If ordinary dividend coverage ratio is less than one, reserves from previous years used or additional debt capital obtained Ordinary dividend coverage =
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Market-to-book value Compares market capitalisation of shares with book value of shareholders’ equity Market capitalisation calculated using current market price: incorporate investor expectations about future financial performance Book value of ordinary shareholders’ equity: total capital ordinary shareholders contributed Comparison between the values provide indication of price investors are prepared to pay relative to investment at book values High value for ratio sign that investors are expecting high future earnings from the company
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Market-to-book value Market-to-book value =
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Financial gearing Effect that use of debt capital has on ROSE
If company is able to utilise debt capital efficiently may result in increased ROSE If utilisation of debt capital is not efficient use of debt capital will have a negative effect on ROSE Two important factors taken into consideration when evaluating financial gearing: ROA Cost associated with debt capital (RD)
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Financial gearing If company is able to generate ROA in excess of RD:
Return on capital higher than its cost; surplus profit will be transferred to shareholders increasing ROSE Company experience positive financial gearing Also possible that opposite situation occur: If ROA is lower than RD: company is earning less on debt capital than its cost; deficit will be transferred to shareholders and the use of debt capital will result in decrease in ROSE. Classified as negative financial gearing
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DuPont analysis Used to obtain a breakdown of return ratios
Possible to identify individual components that contribute to overall value of the return ratio Also possible to evaluate changes in the values of the ratios over time to determine where possible problem areas exist Can also compare the ratios of similar firms to investigate where value is created
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Conclusion The main requirements for financial ratios are to provide meaningful comparisons between items in the financial statements; that only relevant amounts must be included in their calculations; and that they need to be comparable over time. When evaluating financial ratios it is important to compare the values of the ratios to conventional norms, the value of the ratio calculated for the company over a period of time or to the values of the ratio obtained for similar companies.
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Conclusion (cont.) The main categories of ratios are profitability, liquidity, solvency, cash flow and investment ratios. Profitability ratios evaluate the efficiency with which a company utilises its capital to generate turnover. Liquidity ratios refer to a company’s ability to cover current liabilities by means of its current assets. Solvency ratios investigate the relationship between a company’s debt capital and its total assets.
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Conclusion (cont.) Cash flow ratios determine if sufficient cash flows are generated to cover the company’s obligations. Investment ratios are calculated to determine the benefits that the investors of the company earned. DuPont Analysis provides a breakdown of the components that contribute to a company’s ROE in order to evaluate changes in the ratio.
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