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Reconciling the System of National Accounts for the U. S
Reconciling the System of National Accounts for the U.S. and Estimation of Structural Distribution of the Statistical Discrepancy Baoline Chen Bureau of Economic Analysis Washington, DC 20230 July 15~17, 2009 15th International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance Sydney, Australia
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1. Introduction
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Introduction (cont.)
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Introduction (cont.)
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Introduction (cont.)
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Introduction (cont.)
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2. Major Data Problems Identified
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3. GLS Reconciliation Model
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GLS Reconciliation Model (cont.)
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GLS Reconciliation Model (cont.)
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GLS Reconciliation Model (cont.)
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GLS Reconciliation Model (cont.)
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4. Reliability of Initial Data
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Reliability of Initial Data (Cont.)
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Reliability of Initial Data (Cont.)
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5. Balanced Estimates and Distribution of Aggregate SD
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Table 2-a: Balanced Estimates of Industry Aggregates and % Adjustments from Initial Estimates
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Table 2-b: Balanced Estimates of Commodity Aggregates and Percentage Adjustments from Initial Estimates
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Table 3: Distribution of Aggregate SD between VA and Final Uses
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Table 4-a: Initial and Balanced Estimates for 65 Industries (In billion dollars and %)
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Table 4-b: Initial and Balanced Estimates for 69 Commodities (In billion dollars and %)
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Table 5-a: Estimates of Statistical Discrepancy by Industry (In billion dollars and %)
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Table 5-b: Estimates of Statistical Discrepancy by Expenditure Category (In billion dollars and %)
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Histograms and Statistics of % Adjustment in Variables
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Histograms and Statistics of % Adjustment in Variables
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Histograms and Statistics of SD distribution
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6. Conclusion
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Absolute Percentage Adjustments in Gross Output and Intermediate Inputs
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Absolute Percentage Adjustments in GOS and Final Uses
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Statistics of Absolute Percentage Adjustments in Variables
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