1. AgriCLASS – Agriculture Climate Advisory ServiceS
Telespazio VEGA UK Ltd
University of Reading
University of Molise
Telespazio France
UK Met Office
eGEOS
CGI March 2016

2. AgriCLASS
Vision
To facilitate the understanding of the effect of climate change on crops
To deliver a scalable system where crop modellers can access bioclimatic indicators derived from GCM’s
Challenges: Downscaling, bias correction, uncertainty, etc

3. AgriCLASS Demonstrators Viticulture Olives Beech Forestry
Case Study focus is on woody perennials – most affected by climate change
Viticulture
Buzet , SW France. 3-4wks shift in harvest date, affects wine flavour and alcohol content, impacts AOC typicality
Olives
Tuscany, Italy. 40% loss of crop due to pest, affects yield and flavour, impacts scarcity and price of virgin olive oil
Beech Forestry
Molise, Italy. Southern forests die-back due to drought, impacts productivity and biodiversity.

4. Preliminary Results: Olives
Predicted olive infestation by fruit fly in early summer rises.

5. Thank you