Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

The Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy

Similar presentations


Presentation on theme: "The Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy"— Presentation transcript:

1 The Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy
Chapter 14 The Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy 14-1 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

2 Objectives The organization of the Federal Reserve System
Reserve requirements The deposit expansion multiplier The tools of monetary policy The Feds effectiveness in fighting inflation and recession The Banking Act of 1980 and 1999 14-2 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

3 The Federal Reserve System
The Federal Reserve Act of 1913 created the Federal Reserve System To provide for the establishment of Federal reserve banks, to furnish an elastic currency, to afford means of rediscounting commercial paper, to establish a more effective supervision of banking in the United States, and for other purposes First United States Bank [ ] Second United States Bank [ ] The charters of both were allowed to lapse The 1907 bank crises caused the public to demand the government do something to keep this from happening again 14-3 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

4 The Federal Reserve System
The Federal Reserve has five main jobs Conduct monetary policy which is, by far, the most important job Monetary policy is the control of the rate of growth of the money supply to foster relatively full employment, price stability, and a satisfactory rate of economic growth Serve as lender of last resort to commercial banks, savings banks, savings and loan associations, and credit unions 14-4 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

5 The Federal Reserve System
The Federal Reserve has five main jobs Issue currency Provide banking services to the U.S. government Supervise and regulate our financial institutions 14-5 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

6 The Federal Reserve District Banks
Each Federal Reserve District Bank is owned by the several hundred member banks in that district A commercial bank becomes a member by buying stock in the Federal Reserve District Bank So, the Fed is a quasi public-private enterprise, not controlled by the President or Congress Effective control is really exercised by the Federal Reserve Board of Governors in Washington, D.C. 14-6 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

7 The Federal Reserve System
Board of Governors Seven members Appointed by President Confirmed by Senate Sets reserve requirements Supervises and regulates member banks Establishes and administers regulations Oversees Federal Reserve Banks 12 District Banks Propose discount rates Hold reserve balances for member institutions Lends reserves Furnish currency Collects & clears checks Handle U.S. government debt & cash balances Federal Open Market Committee (Board of Governors plus 5 Reserve Bank Presidents. This committee directs open market operations which is the primary instrument of monetary policy 14-7 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

8 The Federal Reserve System
14-8 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

9 Independence of the Board of Governors
Neither the President nor Congress has any control over the Board of Governors The President gets to appoint Board members when a vacancy occurs Sometime this may be the Chairman Once the Senate confirms the President’s appointment the person appointed is not answerable to the President nor the Senate This independence allows them to follow unpopular policies if they feel it is in the best economic interest of the nation 14-9 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

10 Legal Reserve Requirements
The most important job of the Federal Reserve is to control the money supply The focal point of the Federal Reserve’s control of our money supply is legal reserve requirements Every financial institution in the country is legally required to hold a certain percentage of its deposits on reserve, either in the form of deposits and/or cash at its Federal Reserve District Bank or its own vaults 14-10 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

11 Legal Reserve Requirements
Technical Term Meanings Required Reserves (RR) is the minimum amount of vault cash and deposits (RD) at the Federal Reserve District Bank that must be held (kept on the books) by the financial institution Actual Reserves (RD) is what the bank is holding (on the books) Excess Reserves = Actual Reserves - Required Reserves ER = RD - RR 14-11 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

12 14-12 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

13 First $7.8 million of deposits: 0% reserve requirement
If a bank had $100 million in checking deposits (DD), how much reserves would it be required to hold? First $7.8 million of deposits: 0% reserve requirement Next 40.5 million: $40,500,000 X .03 = 1,215,000 Next 51.7 million: $51,700,000 X .10 = 5,170,000 Required Reserves = $6,385,000 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 14-13

14 What About Negative Excess Reserves?
If actual reserves (RD) are less than Required Reserves (RR), the excess Reserves (ER) are negative If a bank does find itself short, it will usually borrow reserves from another bank that does have excess reserves. These are called federal funds and the interest rate charge is called the federal funds rate A bank may also borrow reserves (RD) from its Federal Reserve District Bank at its discount window 14-14 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

15 Primary and Secondary Reserves
A bank’s primary reserves are its vault cash and its deposits at the the Federal District Bank These reserves pay no interest, therefore the banks try to hold no more than the Federal Reserve requires 14-15 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

16 Primary and Secondary Reserves
Every bank holds secondary reserves, mainly in the form of very short-term U.S. government securities Treasury bills, notes, certificates, and bonds (that will mature in less than a year) are generally considered a bank’s secondary reserves These can be quickly converted to cash without loss if a bank suddenly needs money 14-16 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

17 14-17 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

18 Deposition Expansion (Continued)
How Deposit Expansion Works Bank A FED RD + 100 DD + 100 A> RD +100 Assume a 10% RR 14-18 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

19 How Deposit Expansion Works
Deposition Expansion How Deposit Expansion Works Bank A FED RD + 100 DD + 100 RR A> RD +100 When RDs at the Fed increase the money supply is increasing B> RD + 90 ER + 90 C> RD Bank B Etc. RD + 90 DD + 90 RR ER Bank C RD DD RD + $1,000,000 ER ER Assume a 10% RR 14-19 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

20 Deposit Expansion Multiplier (DEM)
1 DEM = Reserve Ratio Assume a RR of 10% Assume a RR of 25% 1 1 DEM = = 10 DEM = = 4 .10 .25 When RR decreases DEM increases When RR increases DEM decreases 14-20 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

21 Three Modifications of the Deposit Expansion Multiplier
Not every dollar of deposit expansion will actually be re-deposited again and lent out repeatedly Some people may choose to hold or spend some money as currency It is also possible that some banks will carry excess reserves This is not likely in times of high inflation 14-21 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

22 Three Modifications of the Deposit Expansion Multiplier
There are leakages of dollars to foreign countries This is caused mainly by our foreign trade imbalance The Deposit Expansion Multiplier is, in reality, quite a bit lower than if we based it solely on the reserve ratio If the reserve ratio tells us it is 10, perhaps it’s only 6 14-22 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

23 Cash, Checks, and Electronic Money
One of the jobs of the Federal Reserve is check clearing In 2004 Congress passed the Check Clearing Act of the 21st Century This was intended to hasten the adoption of electronic check processing When you use your debit card the amount is deducted within seconds after the card is swiped We still carry out about 80 percent of our transactions in cash However cash covers less than one percent of monetary transactions Electronic transfers account for five out of every six dollars that move in the economy 14-23 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

24 Cash, Checks, and Electronic Money
One of the jobs of the Federal Reserve is check clearing 14-24 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

25 Cash, Checks, and Electronic Money
Increasingly, money is changing hands electronically Today, $1.5 trillion a day is transferred electronically About one-third of these transfers are carried out by the Federal Reserve’s electronic network About two-thirds are done by the Clearing House Interbank Payment System (CHIPS) which is owned by 10 big New York Banks Does all this mean that we are well on our way to a checkless, cashless society? Yes and no 14-25 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

26 Cash, Checks, and Electronic Money
Does all this mean that we are well on our way to a checkless, cashless society? Yes and no We still carry out nearly 85 percent of our monetary transactions in cash When the total dollars actually spent is considered, cash covers less than 1 percent of the total value Electronic transfers account for five out of every six dollars that move in the economy 14-26 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

27 The Tools of Monetary Policy
The most important job of the Fed is to control the rate of growth of the money supply This effort focuses on the reserves held by financial institutions The most important policy tool to do this is open-market operations 14-27 Copyright 2005 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

28 How Open-Market Operations Work
Open-Market operations are the buying and selling of U.S. government securities U.S. government securities are treasury bills, notes, certificates, and bonds The Fed buys and sells securities that have already been marketed by the treasury The total value of all outstanding U.S. government securities is more than $4.0 trillion. This is our national debt What open market operations consist of, then, is the buying and selling of chunks of the national debt 14-28 Copyright 2005 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

29 How the Fed Increases the Money Supply
The FED buys U. S. Government Securities The Fed writes a check for, say, $100 million (this is money created out of nothing) Securities Firm RD + $100 DD + $100 RR ER The multiplier would be 10 10 X 90 million = 900 million X .60 = approximate increase in the money supply of 540 million over a period of time Assume 10% RR 14-29 Copyright 2005 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

30 How the Fed Increases the Money Supply
The FED buys U. S. Government Securities The Fed writes a check for, say, $100 million (this is money created out of nothing) Securities Firm Interest Paid IR = RD + $100 DD + $100 Price of Bond RR ER If the Fed goes on a buying spree, it will quickly drive up the prices of U.S. government securities Assume 10% RR 14-30 Copyright 2005 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

31 How the Fed Increases the Money Supply
The FED buys U. S. Government Securities The Fed writes a check for, say, $100 million (this is money created out of nothing) Securities Firm $80 IR = RD + $100 DD + $100 $1000 RR ER If the Fed goes on a buying spree, it will quickly drive up the prices of U.S. government securities Assume 10% RR 14-31 Copyright 2005 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

32 How the Fed Increases the Money Supply
The FED buys U. S. Government Securities The Fed writes a check for, say, $100 million (this is money created out of nothing) Securities Firm $80 IR = = 8% RD + $100 DD + $100 $1000 RR ER If the Fed goes on a buying spree, it will quickly drive up the prices of U.S. government securities Assume 10% RR 14-32 Copyright 2005 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

33 How the Fed Increases the Money Supply
The FED buys U. S. Government Securities The Fed writes a check for, say, $100 million (this is money created out of nothing) Securities Firm $80 IR = = 8% RD + $100 DD + $100 $1000 RR ER $80 IR = = 6.67% $1200 Suppose this pushed the price of the bond up to $1200? Assume 10% RR 14-33 Copyright 2005 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

34 How the Fed Increases the Money Supply
The FED buys U. S. Government Securities The Fed writes a check for, say, $100 million (this is money created out of nothing) Securities Firm $80 IR = = 8% RD + $100 DD + $100 $1000 RR ER $80 IR = = 6.67% $1200 When the Fed goes into the open market to buy securities, it bids up their price and lowers their interest rate Assume 10% RR 14-34 Copyright 2005 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

35 How the Fed Decreases the Money Supply
The FED sells U. S. Government Securities The Security firm writes a check for, say, $100 million to the Fed (this check is, in effect, destroyed) Securities Firm RD - $100 DD - $100 The money supply decreases by approximately $540 million over time When the Fed goes into the open market to sell securities, bond, and notes prices fall and interest rates climb Assume 10% RR 14-35 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

36 How the Fed Decreases the Money Supply
The FED sells U. S. Government Securities The Security firm writes a check for, say, $100 million to the Fed (this check is, in effect, destroyed) Securities Firm $80 IR = = 8% RD - $100 DD - $100 $1000 $80 IR = = 6.67% $1200 The money decreases by approximately $540 million over time When the Fed goes into the open market to sell securities, bond prices fall and interest rates climb Assume 10% RR 14-36 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

37 The Federal Open-Market Committee (FOMC)
Open-market operations are conducted by the Federal Open-Market Committee (FOMC) This committee consist of 12 people Eight permanent members – the board of Governors and the president of the New York Federal Reserve District Bank The other four are presidents of the other 11 Federal Reserve District Banks They serve on a rotating basis 14-37 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

38 The Federal Open-Market Committee (FOMC)
The FOMC meets about once every six weeks to decide what policy to follow To fight recessions, the FOMC buys securities This increases the rate of growth of the money supply To fight inflation, the FOMC sells securities This decreases the rate of growth of the money supply 14-38 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

39 Borrowing Reserve Deposits
The discount rate is the interest rate paid by member banks when they borrow reserve deposits (RD) at their Federal Reserve District Bank The federal funds rate is the interest rate banks charge each other for borrowing reserve deposits (RD) from each other This is higher than the discount rate Banks borrow to maintain their required reserves (RR) Banks tend to borrow reserve deposits from each other because they may not like to call attention to the fact they are having to borrow reserve deposits 14-39 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

40 Increase in the Money Supply Decrease in the Money Supply
14-40 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

41 14-41 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

42 Changing Reserve Requirements
The Federal Reserve Board has the power to change reserve requirements within the legal limits of 8 and 14 percent for checkable deposits Changing reserve requirements is the ultimate weapon and is rarely used 14-42 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

43 Changing Reserve Requirements
To fight inflation, before the Board would take the drastic step of raising reserve requirements The District Banks would raise the discount rate The FOMC will be actively selling securities Credit will be getting tighter The chairman will be publicly warning that the banks are advancing too many loans 14-43 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

44 Changing Reserve Requirements
If the money supply is still growing too rapidly – the Fed reaches for its biggest stick and raises reserve requirements This weapon is so rarely used because it is simply too powerful If the reserve requirement on demand deposits were raised by just one half of 1 percent, the nation’s banks and thrift institutions would have to come up with nearly $4 billion in reserves This would drastically reduce the nation’s money supply 14-44 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

45 Summary: The Tools of Monetary Policy
To fight recession, the Fed will Lower the discount rate Buy securities on the open market Lower reserve requirements This would be done only as a last resort 14-45 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

46 Summary: The Tools of Monetary Policy
To fight inflation, the Fed will Raise the discount rate Sell securities on the open market Raise reserve requirements This would be done only as a last resort 14-46 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

47 The Fed’s Effectiveness in Fighting Inflation (Assume all the tools have been used)
Bond prices have plunged Interest rates have soared The growth of the money supply has been stopped dead in its tracks Banks find it impossible to increase their loan portfolios Buying by consumers and businesses is declining The inflation rate has no choice but to decline 14-47 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

48 The Fed’s Effectiveness in Fighting Recession (Assume all the tools have been used)
Bond prices have increased Interest rates have gone down Banks will have excess reserves and want to make loans But who wants to borrow the money? Creditworthy individuals and business have little incentive to borrow any money Businesses and individuals who really need to borrow money can’t because the first rule of banking is: never lend money to anyone who needs it. Easy money has little or no effect in ending a recession 14-48 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

49 The Fed’s Effectiveness in Fighting Inflation and Recession
Federal Reserve policy in fighting inflation and recession has been likened to pulling and then pushing on a string Like pulling on a string, when the Fed fights inflation, it get results – provided of course, it pulls hard enough Fighting a recession is another matter. Like pushing on a string, no matter how hard the Fed works, it might not get anywhere 14-49 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

50 The Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980
This Act is clearly the most important piece of banking legislation passed since the 1930s Under this Act: All depository institutions are now subject to the Fed’s legal reserve requirements All depository institutions are now legally authorized to issue checking deposits that may be interest bearing All depository institutions now enjoy all the advantages that only Federal Reserve member banks formerly enjoyed –including check clearing and borrowing from the Fed (discounting) 14-50 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

51 The Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980
Another important consequence of this law is that by the end of the 1990s, intense competition reduced the 40,000-plus financial institutions that existed at the beginning of the 1980s to a little 20,000 today The lifting of the prohibition against interstate banking combined with further advances in electronic banking will create greater consolidation, perhaps with just 30 to 40 giant financial institutions doing most of the business 14-51 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

52 The Banking Act of 1999 In 1980 the jurisdiction of the Federal Reserve had been extended to all commercial banks and thrift institutions In 1999 it was further extended to insurance companies, pension funds, investment companies, securities brokers, and finance companies This new law allows banks, securities firms and insurances companies to merge and sell each other’s products 14-52 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

53 Fiscal and Monetary Policies Should Mesh
In 1990s there was little coordination in the making of fiscal and monetary policies Fiscal policies are made by the federal government Monetary policy is determined by the Fed Fiscal policy at best is described as a series of compromises between Congress and the President Fiscal and monetary policy should mesh, but obviously different people with different objectives cause these to work at cross-purposes all too often A step in the right direction could be to allow every President to appoint the Chairman of the Board at the Fed when he begins his term What about doing away with the Fed and allow the elected leaders of the federal government to determine both fiscal and monetary policy? 14-53 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.

54 Current Issue: Who Controls Our Interest Rates?
What can we expect over the next decade? The Federal Budget annual deficit will probably exceed $500 billion every year Americans will continue to spend not only all their incomes but continue to spend more than they earn with credit cards The U.S. Treasury will become still more dependent on the kindness of foreigners to finance our debt Who does control our interest rates? While the Fed is still the biggest kid on the block, it no longer calls all of the shots If our financial dependency on foreigners continue to grow Our monetary policy will originate more and more in Shanghai, Tokyo, , London, , Frankfort, and other financial capitals 14-58 Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.


Download ppt "The Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy"

Similar presentations


Ads by Google