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Industrial development and economic growth: Implications for poverty reduction and income inequality Matleena Kaniivilä* Presented By: Rabeya Sultana Papri Student No.: MSS Masuma Sultana Student No.: MSS Economics Discipline Khulna University Khulna
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1.Introduction During recent years, the share of poor people in the global population has declined due to rapid economic growth in population-rich countries like China and India. Countries like East Asia are Catching up to industrialized countries. On the other hand, countries like Sun-Saharan Africa are lagging far behind and in such countries, the share of poor people has increased. Industrial development has had an important role in the economic growth of countries like China, the Republic of Korea (Korea), Taiwan Province of China (Taiwan) and Indonesia. Along with accelerated growth, poverty rates have declined in many countries. Some countries have managed to achieve growth with equity, whereas in others inequality ha remained high.
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2. The role of structural change in economic growth
According to the neo-classical growth model which is developed by Robert Solow (1956), capital accumulation is a major factor contributing to economic growth. Productivity is measured as an increase in output per worker which results from increases in the amount of capital per worker or capital accumulation. This capital intensifying will continue until the economy reaches its steady state point. At this point the rate of technological process is assumed to be constant and not impacted by economic incentives. Romer (1986, 1990) and Lucas (1988) initiated Endogenous Growth theory, and they focuses on explaining the Solow residual. According to them, technological change is the endogenous variable of the model and is the result of allocative choices of economic agents and is driven by R&D activities which are fuelled by private firms’ profit motive inventions and these are also nonrivalrous in nature.
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2. The role of structural change in economic growth (Contd.)
This new knowledge can supplement the productivity of exiting knowledge and yield increasing returns to scale. Thus, the marginal productivity of capital does not decline with increasing GDP per capita and incomes need not converge across countries. Some Essential Sources of Structural Change: Technological change and innovation Research and development Changes in domestic demand Trade and Specialization
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3. Economic growth and the poor
For achieving a reduction in absolute poverty rapid economic growth is often essential. But growth associated with increased income inequality does not automatically address the whole poverty problem. The Traditional Economic View: According to traditional economic view, highly unequal income and wealth distribution is a necessary condition for continued and rapid economic growth. The New Political Economic View: The new political economic view links greater inequality to lower future growth paths, and considers it an impediment to poverty-reducing growth, as the elasticity of poverty with respect to growth is found to decline when inequality increases.
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3. Economic growth and the poor (Contd.)
There was a widespread move towards greater egalitarianism during the 1950s and 1960s in many developing countries. After that, inequality remained high in many places because of the persistence of the traditional causes like high land concentration, unequal access to education and other public services, and the dominance of the mining and plantation sectors.
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4. Impact of industrialization and trade on the poor
Capital intensive location of industrial facilities: Industrial development is an essential element for economic growth and long term poverty reduction. How the poor benefit from growth is mostly depends on the pattern of industrialization. Use of capital intensive methods instead of labor intensive ones tends to increase income disparities. Location of industrial facilities also has an impact on poverty reduction and inequality. As industries are often concentrated in urban areas, it creates regional inequality between urban and rural areas. Degrees of Economic Openness: The degrees of economic openness of a country can have an important influence on its pattern of specialization and industrialization. A country should specialized according to the resource availed to it. A labor abundant country should be specialized in labor intensive industrialization process so that the inequality in that country could decline because of increased demand of labor.
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4. Impact of industrialization and trade on the poor (Contd.)
Trade and Investment Liberalization Trade and investment liberalization can decrease absolute poverty and inequality. The impact of trade liberalization varies between countries depending for instance on factor endowments and liberalization creates both winners and losers. Similarly, to international trade, the impact of foreign direct investment on income inequality varies between countries.
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5. Industrialization, economic growth, poverty reduction and inequality: Country examples
5.1 China China adopted a development strategy after the World War II that included deliberative insulation from the world economy, industrialization and dominance of the state. Since the reforms, growth has accelerated and in the 1980s and 1990s growth rates were highest in the world, 9.9 percent and10.3 percent respectively. Growth was especially high in industry.
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5.1 China (Contd.) Reforms Taken by China:
China takes following reforms to accelerate its growth: Rapid Industrialization Increased trade openness and export Gradual liberalization of financial markets Technology and know-how import Utilization of labor force High domestic saving rate Deregulating and facilitating labor market De-collectivized agricultural land Privatization of land use rights Rural infrastructural development Reduced mandatory delivery to the government Creating pricing system and market institution Reducing state’s role in resource allocation
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5.2 India Like China, India chose economic development strategy after Second World War by near autarky, industrialization and the dominance of the state in the economy. Development was considered synonymous with industrialization and industry was concentrating mainly on basic goods like steel and machinery. India takes several policies and reforms to accelerate its economic growth.
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5.2 India (Contd.) Reforms Taken by India Import substitution
Licensing of industrial activity Capital goods import Rational tax system Relax industrial regulation Allocative role of the government Relaxation of licensing system controlling internal production Currency devaluation Relaxation of restrictions on the inflow of foreign capital and technology transfer Abolition of quantitative restrictions on raw material imports, intermediates and capital goods Reduce tariff level Relaxation of rules restricting large companies Simplification of exchange control
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5.2 India (Contd.) Reforms Taken by India (contd.)
xiv. Breaking public sector monopolies xv. Reduce foreign currency debt dependence xvi. Tax reforms
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5.3 South Korea During the last years, economic growth in South Korea has been rapid. Due to rapid industrialization, the country was able to achieve remarkable growth with steep reduction in poverty and inequality. Growth in manufacturing is high in this country. But growth in agricultural value added has been continuously declining and thus, employment in this sector also declines. Employment in industrial sector has had an inverted U shape from during the last 25 years.
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5.3 South Korea (Contd.) Reforms Taken by South Korea Trade reforms
Export promotion Direct export subsidies Tax exemption Low interest export loans Duty free access to imports Protection of infant industries Investment programmes to promote heavy industries Direct government controls in banking sector Tax incentives Trade protection Land reform
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5.4 Taiwan Province of China
Taiwan has experience rapid economic growth over the past half century. Economic growth has been heavily based on the growth of manufacturing sector and export oriented. The country specialized in labor intensive production and later shifted towards capital intensive and high-tech production.
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5.4 Taiwan Province of China (Contd.)
Reforms Taken by Taiwan Import substitution Excessive use of tariff and non-tariff barriers on imports Selective credit policies Push for exports of manufacturing Sectoral industrial policies Promotion of state owned firms Set up industrial parks Duty free import materials Establishment of institutions designed to identify, transfer, diffuse and absorb foreign industrial technology and innovation
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5.5 Indonesia Indonesia’s growth was very rapid from the late 1960s until the Asian crisis of 1997.During that 30 years period, the country moved from a predominantly agricultural production base to a more industrialized base economy. Rapid economic growth has benefited a large share of the population as poverty fell form more than 70 percent in the mid 1960s to 11 percent in The Asian crisis in 1997 caused an increase in poverty rates.
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5.5 Indonesia (Contd.) Reforms Taken by Indonesia
Shift from a closed economy and heavily interventionist policy to more market oriented economy Restoration of external stability, fiscal constraints Restoration of banking system Liberalization of the investment regime included incentives and assurances to new foreign investors Simplification of export and import procedure A unified and fully convertible fixed exchange rate Price control were eliminated Balanced budget policy Import substitution and public financing Erection of barriers to import Allowing foreign banks to open offiecs
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5.6 Mexico During the 1980s and 1990s, Mexico faced several economic crisis. The service sector is the largest contributor to Mexican economy and accounted 70 percent in The contribution of agriculture was minor in GDP and it was only 4 percent in The share of manufacturing has been relatively constant over the years and 18 percent in GDP at A remarkable part of Mexico’s production of manufacturing for export is currently occurring in maquiladoras (in bond assembly for re-export plants). Mexican economic policy was based on import-substituting industrialization. The strategy included high protective tariffs and other import barriers, especially to consumer goods. Industrial expansion was promoted through public investment in energy and transportation infrustracture.
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5.7 Brazil Economic performance in Brazil has been volatile like other Latin American countries. The contribution of the industrial sector (manufacturing, construction, mining and utilities) has remained constant over the past three decades. Manufacturing is the single most important sub-sector of industry and accounts for nearly two-thirds of industrial GDP. Through small contribution to GDP, agriculture is still an extremely important sector for Brazil. The share of service sector increases and it is about 60 percent in GDP. The government has liberalized the service sector especially the telecommunication, financial services, and port and airport services. Public banks private participation and foreign investment has increased over the years. In Brazil, poverty reduction was significant especially in the 1990/1999 period with poverty rates falling by 10 percent. Since then poverty rates remained unchanged at least through the early 2000s.
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6. Conclusion The extent to which industrial development effectively decreases poverty and inequality depends on the pattern of industrialization. The degree of policy freedom left to developing countries is narrower than it was some decades ago, even if some well-planned government intervention may seem justified based on the success stories of the earlier decades. The government still have a primary role in promoting sustainable economic growth and especially poverty-reducing growth. But government’s role in skill formation, technology support, well-functioning institutions, innovation financing, infrastructural development, and provision of variety public goods are notable. Rapid economic growth tends to decrease poverty. Rapid growth may increase income inequality but it is inevitable. Promotion of job creating industries and SMEs and supporting the creation of domestic linkages an reduce inequality.
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Thank You All
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