2. BASIC ASSUMPTION
"Semi-Global" negative social mood today will escalate in 2011 ─ and beyond

3. The Downward Slide

4. Sociometers ∆Mood ≈ ∆Stock Index Stock Index leads Events

5. Collective Events-Descriptors
Positive Mood (+) Negative Mood (-)
unifying divisive
liberating restricting
togetherness separation
supportive opposing
open closed
happy sad
hard-working lazy
manic depressive
tolerant bigoted/xenophobic

6. The Outlook for World Trade

7. Middle East Events ( )

8. What’s Next? (2-12 years) Finance
- The Federal Reserve system will be discredited and finally abolished
Economy
- The real unemployment rate in the U.S. and most major countries around the world will rise and eventually exceed 25 percent
Politics
The European Union will fragment and ultimately disappear
Social Trends
- Global warming will be relegated to a sideshow in the spectrum of topical social concerns