1. Jamaica Participants: Prof. Anthony Chen, CO-PI Dr. A. Amarakoon
Dr. M. Taylor
Ms. A. Ashby
Ms. Tannecia Stephenson (partially supported by the IAI/CRN)

2. Jamaica Results from preliminary retrospective studies:
Development of regression models for predicting climate in Jamaica and other Caribbean Islands.
A separately funded project commenced, with the participation of the CRN project members as advisors: “The Threat of Dengue Fever – Assessment of Impacts and Adaptation to Climate Change in Human Health in the Caribbean”.
Results from preliminary retrospective studies:
Dengue epidemics have a pronounced seasonality (peaking in the later half of the year).
Dengue epidemics in the Caribbean are more probable in an El Niño or El Niño + 1 year.
There appears to be a close association of the epidemic with temperature.