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Bo Redeborn EUROCONTROL
Planning, implementing and monitoring the ATM system's performance: European experience and SESAR developments Bo Redeborn EUROCONTROL
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Performance Planning SESAR approach Current European work
SESAR targets Brief recall of initial steps on European performance planning (ECIP, ATM 2000+); the PC capacity target; measurements and accompanying measures in place, e.g.: Capacity Enhancement Function, Network Operations Plan Context of performance today ANC11 outcome Conclusions Next Steps
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10 years of ATM Performance Planning in Europe
1997 2000 2006 2008 PRC ATM2000+ SESAR MP Qualitative performance objectives Road map of change through time Independent review Annual reports Policy advice Target setting ECIP NOP European Convergence & Implementation Plan Network Operations Plan
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Performance planning cycle & instruments
Strategic Objectives Medium-term Impl. Objectives Next season’s needs European ATM Master Plan Local Plans (42 States) Network Operations Plan European Plan User needs Network Operations Plan The Network Operations Plan (NOP) document provides a consolidated view of the next season ATFCM situation: traffic and capacity forecast, bottlenecks identification and description of the associated ATFCM and ASM measures. It’s the final result of the operations planning process which consolidates inputs from partners involved in ATM operations (ANSPs, Airports, Airspace Users, Military…) and from EUROCONTROL Units in charge of Flow, Capacity, and Airspace Management. The Network Operations Plan is an output of the Dynamic Management of European Airspace Network (DMEAN) Framework Programme. This document will be published twice a year – with Summer and Winter Releases – and the electronic format document on the Web site will be updated twice during the season. The current release is: Winter 2006 (1st November 2006 to 30th April 2007) Monitoring & Reporting Actual Operations SESAR: performance drive more explicit, plan to cover full life cycle, industry commitment, supported by regulation
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Meeting the Capacity Target
Target set in 2001 for 2006: 1’/flight en-route ATFM summer delay 2001: 3’/flight 2006: 1.04’/flight
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European Planning Activities in ICAO perspective
European efforts Used in EANPG deliberations Presented at ALLPIRG meetings ECIP approach acknowledged by ANC/11 Recommendation 4/2 — Investigation of performance-driven planning and implementation methods That States study the approach to planning and implementation commonly adopted by European States, with a view to the possible application of its elements in their respective regions Input to, and use of, ATMCP and ATMRPP panel work
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Performance Planning SESAR approach Current European work
SESAR targets Brief recall of initial steps on European performance planning (ECIP, ATM 2000+); the PC capacity target; measurements and accompanying measures in place, e.g.: Capacity Enhancement Function, Network Operations Plan Context of performance today ANC11 outcome Conclusions Next Steps
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SESAR Definition Phase Deliverable D2
Air Transport Framework: The Current Situation ATM Target Concept Deployment Sequence Master Plan Work Programme for Performance Targets ATM Performance Targets Vision Performance targets Short term improvements
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Mobility of citizens & goods Environmentally sustainable
The SESAR Vision Achieve a performance based European ATM System Built in partnership To best support expectations from society and States incl. military and all other aviation activities Mobility of citizens & goods Cost effective Safe Secure Environmentally sustainable
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A tri-partite Relationship to Achieve Performance
Future European ATM System Provision of airport infrastructure Demand for capacity Airspace Users Airports Demand for capacity of airspace & provision of air traffic services Demand for provision Supply of airspace capacity & air traffic services Air Navigation Service Providers
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Performance Partnership is Key
Planning & operational decisions interact All are based on the flight trajectory ATM Performance Partnership must Include well defined roles and responsibilities Be based on a shared set of values & priorities and the recognition of network interactions Leaning on An ATM Institutional Framework caring about societal interests An ATM Business Framework managing all phases of European ATM System lifecycle
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High Level Performance Objectives
Contribute to Vision 2020 Objectives for aeronautics: 80% cut in NOx emissions 50% cut in CO2 emissions per pax-Km Halving perceived aircraft noise 99% of all flights within 15 minutes of timetable Air traffic system capable of handling million flights a year Five-fold reduction in accident rates Pressure & challenge on all performance areas Temporary improvement of ATM performance is not a pretext to relax efforts Existing plans insufficient Lack of commitment & decision Lack of evidence & rationale Need more substantial & detailed work Devil in the detail Focused Validation EC COMM on SESAR
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SESAR Vision Objectives
A consistent, focussed and users-driven project Ambitious ATM design objectives enabling Triple capacity Half cost 2 Environmental impact per flight: -10% Factor 10 in terms of safety
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Application of a Performance-based Approach
2 Step 2: compare achievement & targets to assess gaps Expectations 1 Target – Actual = gaps gaps Achieve- ments Perf targets Perf targets Step 1: transform expectations in performance targets Step 3: update plans to mitigate gaps. Step 3: update plans to address gaps 3 Plan n Plan n+1 Plan n
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Performance Planning SESAR approach Current European work
SESAR targets Brief recall of initial steps on European performance planning (ECIP, ATM 2000+); the PC capacity target; measurements and accompanying measures in place, e.g.: Capacity Enhancement Function, Network Operations Plan Context of performance today ANC11 outcome Conclusions Next Steps
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11 SESAR Key Performance Areas (same as ICAO)
Societal Outcome Safety + Security Environmental Sustainability Societal & political effects Operational Performance Cost Effectiveness + Capacity Efficiency Flexibility Predictability Business level effects on users & operators Performance Enablers Access & Equity + Participation Interoperability No direct interest to airspace users customers
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Performance Targets A breakthrough in ATM performance target setting
Design objectives Vs 2020 targets: intermediate targets also to be addressed KPIs for some areas: to be further completed, e.g. safety not only via accidents Initial Strategic Design Performance Objectives & Targets Trade-off consideration in the light of the operational concept
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Derived from needs of society and airspace users
Performance Targets Derived from needs of society and airspace users Design Goals for scalable future capability: Capacity: handle 3 times traffic Safety: factor 10 Environment: - 10% on effects per flight Progressive deployment, when/where needed 2020 targets: Capacity: + 73% overall Safety: improvement factor 3 Costs to airspace users: - 50% Pressure & challenge on all performance areas Temporary improvement of ATM performance is not a pretext to relax efforts Existing plans insufficient Lack of commitment & decision Lack of evidence & rationale Need more substantial & detailed work Devil in the detail Focused Validation Also considered: Security, Efficiency, Flexibility, Predictability, Global Interoperability, Access, Equity, Participation (Reference: 2005)
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Long term design objective:
Performance Targets Long term design objective: X 3 Capacity 2005 2020 1 1.73 3 Capacity deployed as Traffic requires 2020 capacity target: +73%
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Performance Targets Network capacity: +73% in 2020
average figure for Europe need to adapt to varying growth in different parts of the airspace Airport capacity depending on runway configuration and other constraints E.g. single runway airport: up to 750 flights/day Scalability: an essential parameter
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Performance Targets ≥ 98% flight departing on-time (+/- 3 min / plan)
Cost Effectiveness 2020 Target: Direct ATM total costs / 2 Safety Safety level: improved by factor 3 (2020) (capability X 10 to meet a 3 X traffic increase ) Efficiency ≥ 98% flight departing on-time (+/- 3 min / plan) Fuel efficiency: < 5% of flights with additional fuel consumption of more than 2.5%
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Performance Targets Environment
Local environmental rules affecting ATM 100% respected Minimise noise emissions Gas emission reduction (through reduction of excess fuel consumption - see KPA Efficiency) Minimise adverse atmospheric effects
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Performance Planning SESAR approach Current European work
SESAR targets Brief recall of initial steps on European performance planning (ECIP, ATM 2000+); the PC capacity target; measurements and accompanying measures in place, e.g.: Capacity Enhancement Function, Network Operations Plan Context of performance today ANC11 outcome Conclusions Next Steps
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Incl. assessment of feasibility (affordable, safe, achievable,…)
D3 preview D3 - ATM Concept (June 07) ATM Operational Concept Architecture Supporting technologies Incl. assessment of feasibility (affordable, safe, achievable,…)
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Trade-offs & Commitment
Trade-off needed To balance conflicting requirements for resource usage To allow realistic transition Even within a performance area: e.g. noise Vs emissions Ambitious design targets to drive Development Phase work Actual Commitment on implementation targets Decisions to invest based on validated elements and steps
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Actions of all stakeholders to achieve the performance benefits
And then… Reference to derive technical requirements for architecture & enabling systems Change steps with performance gains from agreed baselines (now, 2012, 2020) Actions of all stakeholders to achieve the performance benefits Air Transport Framework: The Current Situation ATM Target Concept Deployment Sequence Master Plan Work Programme for Performance Targets
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Performance Planning SESAR approach Current European work
SESAR targets Brief recall of initial steps on European performance planning (ECIP, ATM 2000+); the PC capacity target; measurements and accompanying measures in place, e.g.: Capacity Enhancement Function, Network Operations Plan Context of performance today ANC11 outcome Conclusions Next Steps
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Conclusions 1/3 Data, a pre-requisite to discuss performance
Important to collect good data that people feel confident in sharing Just culture essential to get usable safety related data Safety is paramount, THE business of ATM Environmental performance not specifically addressed at this symposium, but becomes increasingly important Good environmental performance becomes essential to envisage building new airport capacity Both Short and long term perspectives needed, in a balanced way
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Conclusions 2/3 Not everybody equal on all KPIs
Performance is not about blame culture, or bad & good, but about everybody being good within own environment Partnership is essential Aviation increasingly seen as a total system Achievements result from shared efforts and contributions by different groups of stakeholders: all have rights and duties Cooperation necessary with especially airports and airlines users / ANSPs partnerships become increasingly common
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Conclusions 3/3 ATM Performance planning
Directly links actions & outcome Facilitates decision making & interoperability (regional & global) Novel domain Still room to learn & develop Evidence that approach helps deliver better performance Performance based approach Developed in Europe to deal with own very complex and varied set of circumstances Our experiences as examples to those in similar circumstances We are also eager to learn from others
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