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Impaired driving can be prevented

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Presentation on theme: "Impaired driving can be prevented"— Presentation transcript:

1 Impaired driving can be prevented
Impaired driving kills > 16,000 and injures nearly 305,000 others every year. Every 32 minutes, someone in the United States dies in an impaired driving crash Every 2 minutes, someone is injured

2 Sobriety Check Points to reduce alcohol related crashes
Public Expenditure Analysis, Spring 2006 Ruth Salcedo Yolanda Martínez Jinxiang Liu

3 Sobriety Check Points to reduce alcohol related crashes
What are the costs? What are the benefits? How sensitive are our estimates?

4 Characteristics of the project
Number of checkpoints 156 per year (3 per week): Small scale 8 officers Large scale 12 officers Checkpoints are conducted at non work hours Time spent per intervention : 5 minutes

5 Costs Personnel Equipment Time spent by drivers
Time spent by passengers Mobility Loss Trials Publicity

6 Personnel costs per checkpoint
Hours per officer per checkpoint : Police wages and fringe (annual salary = 50,000) : $ 39.06 Overhead factor (1.5) : $ 58.59 Small scale : $ 5,391 Large scale : $ 8,086

7 Equipment costs per checkpoint
Equipment (5 year) Vehicle or trailer Equipment (1 year) Traffic vests Traffic cones Flares Breath testing devices Flashlights with chargers “Sobriety Checkpoint Ahead” sign “Be Prepared To Stop” sign Small scale: $ 67 Large scale: $ 82 Mini-cades Brooms and shovels Trash cans Portable generator Extension cords Multi-directional portable lighting

8 Mobility loss per checkpoint

9 Costs of Time Delay Small scale : $ 514 Large scale : $ 823
Time value per driver : 90% of wage Time value per passenger : 67.5% of wage Vehicle occupancy rate : 1.5 people Hourly earnings : $ 16.32 Vehicles will be intervened per checkpoint 240 in Small Scale 384 in Large Scale % intervened drivers charged with DUI 1% Small scale : $ 514 Large scale : $ 823

10 Other costs Cost per trials Small scale : $ 864 Large scale : $ 1,382
Publicity statewide: $ 300,000

11 Total Costs

12 Crashes Density per County

13 Crashes Density per County

14 Other scenario

15 2. Benefit Analysis 2.1 Introduction and Summary of Findings
2.2 Economic Cost of alcohol-related crashes in PA in 2004 2.2.1 Methodology used in economic cost calculation 2.2.2 Estimate alcohol-related crashes in PA in 2004 2.3 Benefit of checkpoint program 2.3.1 Our Detailed Methodology 2.3.2 Our calculation and findings

16 2.2.1 Findings: alcohol-related crashes in PA in 2004
# of crashes Total economic cost Cost savings in term of CBA Fatalities 542 2.1 B 0.2 B Nonfatal Injuries 26,983 2.9 B 0.3 B PDO 134,913 0.37B 0.04 B Total - 5.3 B 0.56 B Per checkpoint 10296,20% $ 103,205 $ 10,965 Per checkpoint 5148,15.3% $ 157,904 $ 16,776 Go NPV

17 2.2.1 Methodology used in economic cost calculation
The crashes can be classified into three groups: Fatalities Non-fatal injuries Property-Damage Only (PDO) Economic cost has five major components Medical care cost Public program cost Property cost Future earnings Quality of life

18 One example

19 The economic cost of alcohol-related crashes in PA in 2004
Fatalities Nonfatal Injuries PDO Reported 542 10,793 5,474 # of Incidence 26,983 134,913 Unit costs 3,800,000 107,000 2,715 Subtotal costs 2,059,600,000 2,887,127,500 366,287,438 Total costs 5,313,014,938 per checkpoint 103,205

20 A survey If you are fond of swimming, do you agree the policy of banning swimming because swimming could lead to death? No! Absolutely No! I will be very unhappy if I cannot swim. I know I could be drown if I swim. But I value the benefit of swimming higher than potential cost (death) If you ban swim to save my life, I’m not willing to take that. I hate this policy.

21 So is the alcohol-related crash policy
Expected Benefits: Saved time Saved cost for hotel, car rent Mental experience Expected Cost: Various cost due to fatal/nonfatal/PDO crashes People make their traffic safety decisions by comparing their private benefits with their private costs. They value the drive during drinking more than the risks of having a crash. Private life-saving benefits for drunken drivers are at least offset by private costs

22 The majority of alcohol-related crashes involve one car: the car with drunk drivers
Most of crashes are intoxicated drivers having single-vehicle crashes and intoxicated pedestrians straying into traffic. The proportion of the sober driver, the passenger with sober driver and sober nonoccupant among the total fatalities is low 2004: 14.3% 2003: 13.7%; 2001: 11.5; 1996: 11.7%; 1993: 14.5 %; So * 15%

23 Benefit of Checkpoint program in PA in 2004
Fatalities Nonfatal Injuries PDO Saved fatalities, injuries and PDO 69 4,047 20,237 # of attributable 59 2,833 14,166 subtotal Benefits 222,870,000 303,148,388 38,460,181 Total Benefits 564,478,568 Reduction rate 20% Total checkpoints 10,296 Benefit per checkpoint 10,965 Comparison

24 NPV The costs in each future years are constant
The estimated number of fatalities in alcohol-related crashes remained essentially unchanged in recent years. Persons Injured per year is also stable The unit cost is calculated by bringing future value back. We use 4% discount rate, from year 2007 to year 2020,(10,296 checkpoint, 20%) Total savings Per checkpoint NPV of w/ drunk in 2006 11,224,405,982 1,090,172 NPV of w/o drunk in 2006 1,192,531,302 108,758

25 In a state wide checkpoint program, the benefits outweigh the costs

26 Our analysis used a weighted average reduction rate

27 A 4% discount rate ensures consistency with our literature review
Cost and benefits of a community checkpoint program (Miller, Ted. 1995) Composing costs calculation used a discount rate of 4% The Economic Impact of Motor Vehicle Crashes, U.S. DOT “This rate was selected because most long-term cumulative rates of return on stocks cluster around that number. Investors appear to prefer the higher, riskier returns from stocks to the more conservative Treasury Bills by a significant margin”

28 Investing in statewide checkpoint program
Checkpoints have proved to be efficient in reducing Alcohol related crashes The program can be implemented in partnership with insurance companies. 19% Decrease Of single vehicle injury crashes involving male drivers ages 21 to 40 British Columbia (July to December 1995) Reduction in crash costs for the insurer supporting the program was estimated to be 3.4 times greater than the costs of the program

29 Q & A

30 Appendix: Equipment sample
Portable breath testing devices $ USD Reflective safety traffic vests High-Visibility Sweatshirt $50.00 USD Rechargeable flashlights $18.00 USD Razor-back shovel $20 USD


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