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Stuck between East and West
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4th theme: External challenges and internal bewilderment
Weak State Syndrome Geopolitical rivalry and conceptual search Clash of Values and state models Return to security theories: RSC vs Hantingtoian civilisations etc. Sources: www+ Roberd Levgold, Bruno Coppieters, “Statehood and Security”; The South Caucasus 2018; Hanf/Nodia (once again)
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Independence 1991-2003. How real?
Buzan/Waever: weak state lacks empirical sovereignty; it remains a forum of competing sub-state actors Conflicts and confrontations (Abkhazia, South Ossetia, as well as Tbilisi, Samegrelo, Javakhetia, Ajara) Opening to the world New Neighbors Russia instead of the USSR
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Pro-Western Attempts OSCE, UN, the USA – Attempts to mitigate Russian domination over “conflict zones” TRASECA Council of Europe – turning point? GUUAM 2002 – Knocking on the NATO’s door? Differences of norms and Failed State
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Pro-Western Breakthrough
ENP AP Russian Troops go home “We will join NATO” Rudi Juliani How about “Singapurization”? Georgian perception about the West: Left vs Right Between post-modern hummer and pre-modern anvil Baltic-Black Sea Nexus?
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August War New Assertiveness of Russia
Was the West ready? Aware of the problem? The war through Liberal, Realist and Constructivist and lenses – “clash of values revisited”
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Bidzina Ivanishvili: Quo Vadis?
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Centuries old dilemma
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Stories and theories: Summary of the Georgian politics & Context
Confrontation with Russia Elite factionalism Ethno-cultural cleavages RSCT – Good starting point but regional parameters fluctuate more than Buzan imagines Control Regimes and Elite analysis Clash of civilisations
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Way out To deal with Economy With Criminality Paradigm shift
No other chance but Europeanisation, but it does not depend only on Georgian choice For the West: Realism needs revisiting, Liberalism recalled: Russia is a revisionist power; Further deliberations on Hybrid warfare and disinformation needed
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