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Weathering The Perfect Storm
Magnus Fyhr
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Jefferies Tanker Index
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What’s In Store For 2005? Strong Global Economic Growth
Global Oil Demand Growing At 2%+ Stricter Regulations Against Single Hulls Increasing Competition For Shipyard Capacity Investor Concerns Center On Rate Volatility & Orderbook Risk/Reward Remains Attractive
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Jefferies Charter Rate Assumptions
VLCC Charter Rates ( E) Suezmax Charter Rates ( E) Aframax Charter Rates ( E) MR Product Charter Rates ( E)
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The “Rodney Dangerfield” of the Energy Sector …
Low P/E’s reflect volatility Capital intensive with historically poor returns Fragmented industry Tanker shares have historically been valued on NAV
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… Is Finally Getting Some Respect
Shipping stocks showing up on investor radar screens Trading volumes increasing Increasing number of publicly traded shipping companies Group market cap now above $20 billion
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Yield Stocks Are Trading At Premium
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Asset Values Are Firming Despite Volatility
VLCC Sale Prices ( ) EBITDA Payback On VLCC Newbuild VLCC 1 Yr. T/C Rates ( ) VLCC Spot Charter Rates ( )
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