1. Next Generation of Aviation Professionals (NGAP)
8th NGAP Programme Meeting
Montreal, Canada
5 December 2016

2. Overview Status of ICAO Activities ICAO Forecast Document
NGAP Work Programme

3. NGAP Timeline

4. NGAP Timeline

5. NGAP Timeline

6. NGAP Today
Objective to support outreach for attracting youth by promoting career opportunities, from elementary school to university, into aviation education and professions, at global, regional and national levels – e.g. STEM
Resourced by volunteers from partner Int. Orgs, States, service providers, industry, academia, and training institutions
Currently managed by ANB – expanding to all ICAO Strategic Objectives and involving ROs
2 working groups - Implementation and Outreach

7. ICAO NGAP Activities 2016
Roll-out of guidance material for competency-based training for ATCOs and ATSEPs
Two draft training manuals published
Three implementation workshops held (HQ, Mexico, Lima)
State Letters
Promotion of NGAP Activities
Participation at SECA at WATS
Speeches/presentations in Canada, Korea, Mexico, Panama and Sri Lanka
SG speech on NGAP in Korea
SG message in ICAO Training Report

8. 39th ICAO Assembly Programme supported and resolution adopted
Urges Member States to work with the aviation community to identify long-term human resources needs and establish strategies to attract, educate and retain in the sector aviation professionals, considering gender equality
Encourages Member States to promote best practices that focus on meeting the needs and values of the next generation of aviation professionals to enable employee productivity, performance, recruitment, retention, and safety;
Encourages Member States, international and regional organizations, academia and industry to support the NGAP Programme, as one of the integral elements of capacity building, by providing technical expertise and guidance, and resources (human, financial and data) to help achieve the Programme’s objectives.

9. ICAO Forecast Document

10. ICAO Long term traffic forecasts
39th Assembly Resolution regarding the update of personnel forecasts
Aviation Data and Analysis Panel in March 2017
60%
of total traffic
63%
of total traffic
*Scheduled Services **Compound Average Annual Growth Rate

11. ICAO Long term traffic forecasts
Result of the work Multi Disciplinary Working Group on Long Term Forecasts (MDWG-LTF)
MDWG-LFT comprising of Members from CAEP, Member States and Industry
Endorsed by the 39th Session of the Assembly
60%
of total traffic
63%
of total traffic
*Scheduled Services **Compound Average Annual Growth Rate

12. Long-term air traffic forecasts
Scheduled international passenger traffic
Historical
Forecasts
6.0%
CAGR**
4.2%
CAGR**
Projected Top 10 Routes 2040
Rank 2040
Rank 2015
Long Term Forecast Route Group
Share 2040
Share 2015 1 4
Central Southwest Asia - Pacific South East Asia
11.9%
5.4% 2
Intra Europe
11.5%
15.8% 3 8
Central Southwest Asia - Middle East
11.3%
3.9%
Europe - North America
9.0%
11.8% 5
Central Southwest Asia - Europe
7.3%
5.8% 6
Intra Pacific South East Asia
6.1%
4.5% 7
Central Southwest Asia - North America
5.9%
4.1% 18
Central Southwest Asia- North Asia
4.6%
1.9% 9
Europe - Middle East
3.6% 10
Europe - Pacific South East Asia
3.5%
60%
of total traffic
63%
of total traffic
*Scheduled Services **Compound Average Annual Growth Rate

13. Long-term air traffic forecasts
Historical
Forecasts
Long-term air traffic forecasts
Scheduled international freight traffic
4.5%
CAGR**
4.2%
CAGR**
*Scheduled Services **Compound Average Annual Growth Rate

14. 39th Assembly Outcome regarding Personnel Forecasts
Report on the Development of a single set of harmonized long-term forecasts (A39-WP/64)
Update global and regional twenty year forecasts for pilots, maintenance personnel and air traffic controllers (DOC 9956) in April 2018 to meet the needs of the ICAO Next Generation Aviation Professional (NGAP) programme.
60%
of total traffic

15. ICAO Statistical Form N
Aviation Data and Analysis Panel will meet in March 2017
Experts from 35 States and 9 International Organizations
Panel will establish a working group to work on a new set of personnel forecasts (by gender)
Traffic forecasts
Endorsed by A39
Fleet forecasts
CAEP
ICAO Statistical Form N
60%
of total traffic
New Personnel Forecasts

16. NGAP Work Plan (2016 – 2018) Annual meeting with NGAP community
Organize quarterly telcons with partners
Implementation Workshops for roll-out of ATCO and ATSEP CBT provisions – 2017
Outreach communication media/products including:
NGAP website;
NGAP Newsletter;
NGAP article in ICAO Training Report;
Collaboration with Halldale Media for Student Education and Careers in Aviation (SECA)
Presentations at regional conferences/events around the world; and
Sharing of NGAP best practices;
Planned update of Doc once traffic forecasts have been completed – 2018
Aviation Training and Education Directory

17. NGAP Tomorrow
Help unite aviation, education and labour sectors at national levels
Regions to drive their own outreach activities, coordinated by the ICAO Regional Offices, with participation of all partners, supported by the NGAP Programme
Assist States and industry by providing guidance and tools for engaging the next generation and promoting aviation amongst youth as a viable career

18. THANK YOU!