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1. The functioning of the financial markets is continuing to improve TED spread, basis points Note. TED spread is calculated as the difference between.

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Presentation on theme: "1. The functioning of the financial markets is continuing to improve TED spread, basis points Note. TED spread is calculated as the difference between."— Presentation transcript:

1 1. The functioning of the financial markets is continuing to improve TED spread, basis points
Note. TED spread is calculated as the difference between the three-month interbank rate and treasury bills. Sources: Reuters EcoWin and the Riksbank

2 2. Central banks’ total assets Percentage of GDP
Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Eurostat, Statistics Sweden and respective central banks

3 3. Volume of world trade World trade monitor index, year 2000 = 100, seasonally adjusted data
Source: Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis

4 4. Global GDP growth Annual percentage change
Note. Striped bars represent the Riksbank’s forecast MPU December 2009. Sources: IMF and the Riksbank

5 5. GDP growth in the US and Euro area Annual percentage change, seasonally adjusted data
Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast MPU December 2009 Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Eurostat, and the Riksbank

6 6. Range in Consensus forecasts for subsequent year Standard deviation
Source: Copyright Consensus Economics Inc.

7 7. GDP in the BRIC countries Annual percentage change
2007 2008 2009* 2010* 2011* Brazil 5.7 5.1 -0.4 4.7 3.7 Russia 8.1 5.6 -9.0 3.6 3.4 India 9.4 7.3 7.7 7.8 China 13.0 9.0 8.7 10.0 9.7 * IMF forecast January 2010 Source: IMF

8 8. Consumer prices, USA Annual percentage change
Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics and OECD

9 9. Consumer prices, euro area Annual percentage change
Sources: Eurostat and OECD

10 10. Economic Tendency Indicator and Purchasing Manager Index Index, average value = 100 respective net figures Source: National Institute of Economic Research

11 11. GDP growth in Sweden Annual percentage change, fixed prices
Note. Striped bars represent the Riksbank’s forecast MPU December 2009. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

12 12. GDP level in Sweden Index 2008 Q2=100
Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast MPU December 2009. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

13 13. Employment rate Employment as a percentage of population, 16-64 years, seasonally adjusted data
Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast MPU December. Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

14 14. Unemployment Percentage of the labour force, seasonally adjusted data
Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast, years. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

15 15. Current account balance and public finances Percentage of GDP
Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast MPU December 2009. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

16 Source: Statistics Sweden
16. Industrial and service production Index January 2005=100, seasonally adjusted data Note. Three-month moving average. Source: Statistics Sweden

17 17. Low resource utilisation Percentage deviation from the HP trend
Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast MPU December 2009. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

18 18. Employment in industry and private services Thousands
Source: Statistics Sweden

19 19. Inflation, CPI och CPIF Annual percentage change
Note. CPIF is CPI with a fixed mortgage interest rate. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast MPU December 2009. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

20 20. HICP inflation Annual percentage change
Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast MPU December 2009. Sources: Eurostat, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

21 21. Unit labour costs Annual percentage change
Note. Broken lines and striped bars represent the Riksbank’s forecast MPU December 2009. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

22 22. TCW exchange rate Index, 18 Nov 1992 = 100
Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast MPU December 2009. Source: The Riksbank

23 23. Repo rate Percent 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 feb-04 maj-04 aug-04 nov-04 feb-05 maj-05 aug-05 nov-05 feb-06 maj-06 aug-06 nov-06 feb-07 maj-07 aug-07 nov-07 feb-08 maj-08 aug-08 nov-08 feb-09 maj-09 aug-09 nov-09 feb-10 maj-10 aug-10 nov-10 feb-11 maj-11 aug-11 nov-11 feb-12 maj-12 aug-12 nov-12 Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast MPU December 2009, quarterly averages. Source: The Riksbank

24 24. Inflation expectations, 5 years ahead Percent
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 Source: TNS SIFO Prospera

25 25. Low wage increases Annual percentage change
Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast MPU December 2009. Sourcesr: National Mediation Office, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank


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