1. EEA Transport Scenarios
Images and pathways for sustainable transport in Europe by 2050
How can European road transport further reduce its environmental footprint?
Dr. Peder Jensen
Acting Head of Air and Climate Change Programme, EEA

2. A decade of TERM reports
2010
1999

3. Environmental impact reduction strategies
Impact = Transport volume * environmental efficiency
Reduce transport volume
Fewer trips
Shorter trips
Increase environmental efficiency
More efficient vehicles
More efficient transport modes
Higher load factors
Cleaner fuels

4. Reduce transport volume
Fewer trips
Activity level in society
ICT developments
Shorter trips
Increased specialisation
Spacial development driven

5. Increase environmental efficiency
More efficient vehicles
Cars and CO2 regulation
Smaller vehicles
NEDC
More efficient transport modes
Collective vs. Individual
Flexibility
Higher load factors
Depends on fleet size and price
Cleaner fuels
Biofuels and electricity

6. Environmental impact reduction strategies
Impact = Transport volume * environmental efficiency
Reduce transport volume
Fewer trips +/-
Shorter trips -
Increase environmental efficiency
More efficient vehicles +/-
More efficient transport modes -
Higher load factors +/-
Cleaner fuels +

7. EEA transport scenarios: - a user perspective
Transport users do understand the challenge
Transport users more ready to alter daily commute than long distance travel habits
Transport users worried about equity impacts of higher transport prices
Transport users asks policy makers to show leadership and be less concerned about a four year election cycle

8. Cars 1970 – 2010 – 2050