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Econ 522 Economics of Law Dan Quint Spring 2017 Lecture 11
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Reminders HW2 due tomorrow night First midterm in class next Wednesday
Covers through end of property law (middle of last lecture)
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Last time, we started contract law
Legally binding promise Allows for transactions that doesn’t occur “all at once” Which promises should we enforce? Bargain Theory: enforce promises made as part of a bargain Requires three elements: offer, acceptance, consideration Today: For efficiency, which promises should we enforce? Other ways contract law can be beneficial
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For efficiency, what promises should be enforced?
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For efficiency, what promises should be enforced?
We saw two examples of contracts which would not be enforced under bargain theory, but which both parties might have wanted to be enforceable I’m shopping for a car, dealer promises to honor a particular price if I come back Alum promises a large gift to his University, needs time to deliver the money Suggests… Both sides think enforceability of the contract makes them better off If nobody else is effected enforceability is a Pareto-improvement! Brings us to a general principle: In the two examples from last time – buying a used car, and the rich alumnus – both sides wanted the contract to be enforceable This suggests that both sides think the contract being enforceable makes them better off Neither of these contracts seem to impose any externalities on anyone else So the enforceability of these contracts would appear to be a Pareto-improvement, that is, make the two sides better off without making anyone worse off And therefore, efficiency suggests they should be enforceable. And this illustrates a more general principle: In general, economic efficiency requires enforcing a promise if the promisor and the promisee both wanted enforceability when it was made.
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For efficiency, what promises should be enforced?
In general, efficiency requires enforcing a promise if both the promisor and the promisee wanted it to be enforceable when it was made different from wanting it to actually be enforced In general, efficiency requires enforcing a promise if the promisor and the promisee both wanted enforceability when it was made. Go back to the example we did at the beginning, you trusting me to make an investment with your money Suppose I promise to share the gains of the investment with you You want the contract to be enforceable: it’s the only way you’ll get your money back And I want the contract to be enforceable: it’s the only way I can get you to trust me with your money, which is good for both of us So we both want my promise to be enforceable; efficiency then suggests that it should be (Note the important distinction here between wanting the contract to be enforceable and wanting it to actually be enforced. At the time I make the promise, I want it to be enforceable – I want us both to live in a place and time whose laws would hold me to my promise Because if not, you won’t trust me, and won’t give me the money Once you’ve given me the money, though, I’d rather the contract not actually be enforced – I’d still be better off if I could keep all the money Hence, the wording of the principle above: efficiency requires enforcing a promise if both sides wanted it to be enforceable when it was made.)
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For efficiency, what promises should be enforced?
In general, efficiency requires enforcing a promise if both the promisor and the promisee wanted it to be enforceable when it was made different from wanting it to actually be enforced The first purpose of contract law is to enable people to cooperate by converting games with noncooperative solutions into games with cooperative solutions or, enable people to convert games with inefficient equilibria into games with efficient equilibria There are lots of other situations that are variations on this agency game I gave the example of an investment opportunity It could have simply been a Pareto-improving trade: I have a good you want, but we’re far apart, and so you have to trust me with your money before I ship you the good It could be an insurance policy: I choose to buy insurance, trusting that if my house burns down, the insurance company will pay for it I could simply be putting my money in the bank, trusting I can get it out later In all these cases, lack of enforceable contracts might lead us to miss out on a profitable exchange of some sort. This brings us to Cooter and Ulen’s first (of many) proclamations about contract law: The first purpose of contract law is to enable people to cooperate by converting games with noncooperative solutions into games with cooperative solutions. Clearly, in the example we did, cooperation is more efficient than no cooperation, since the combined payoffs are higher Thus, in this case, cooperation is efficient. (If cooperation were not efficient, we would not have tried.) Thus, we could rephrase this by saying that contract law enables people to convert games with inefficient solutions (equilibria) into games with efficient solutions
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For efficiency, what promises should be enforced?
In general, efficiency requires enforcing a promise if both the promisor and the promisee wanted it to be enforceable when it was made different from wanting it to actually be enforced The first purpose of contract law is to enable people to cooperate by converting games with noncooperative solutions into games with cooperative solutions or, enable people to convert games with inefficient equilibria into games with efficient equilibria Also note that without enforceable contracts, it is my ability to run off with your money that causes cooperation to break down In usual choice theory, more options always make you better off When a restaurant adds items to its menu, you should be at least as well off – if you don’t like the new items, you don’t order them But in a strategic setting, more options can make you worse off, since they change what other people expect you to do Enforceable contracts give me a way to limit my own options – in this case, to take away my ability to run off with your money In this case, limiting my options gives you a reason to trust me, and therefore makes me better off as well. (Slightly off topic, but as an example of how “foreclosing (ruling out) an opportunity” can be beneficial, the book quotes Sun Tzu’s The Art of War: “When your army has crossed the border [into hostile territory], you should burn your boats and bridges, in order to make it clear to everybody that you have no hankering after home.” By taking away your option of retreating, you make it clear that you’re serious about fighting.)
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So now we know… What promises should be enforceable?
For efficiency: enforce those which both promisor and promisee wanted to be enforceable when they were made One purpose of contract law Enable cooperation by changing a game to have a cooperative solution Contract law can serve a number of other purposes as well So now we have an initial idea of which promises should be enforceable Those which both the promisor and the promisee want to be enforceable when the promise is made And we know one purpose of contract law: to enable cooperation by changing a game to have a cooperative solution However, there are a number of other purposes that contract law can serve.
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Information
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Information Private/asymmetric information can hinder trade
Car example (George Akerloff, “The Market for Lemons”) One has to do with information We did an example a couple weeks ago of asymmetric information, and how that can disrupt trade We used the example of me wanting to buy your car, but you having more information than me about the condition of the car, and therefore how much it’s worth And in the example we solved, we found we could only trade when the car was basically worthless – otherwise, I’m too afraid of you being opportunistic and only selling me the car if it’s in bad shape
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Information Private/asymmetric information can hinder trade
Car example (George Akerloff, “The Market for Lemons”) Contract law could help You could offer me a legally binding warranty Or, contract law could impose on you an obligation to tell me what you know about the condition of the car Forcing you to share information is efficient, since it makes us more likely to trade The second purpose of contract law is to encourage the efficient disclosure of information within the contractual relationship. But this offers another way contract law can facilitate efficient trade – by helping us to overcome adverse selection problems Contract law could give me a way to offer a legally binding warranty Or contract law could impose on me a legal obligation to truthfully tell you anything I know about the condition of the car That is, once we’ve signed a contract for you to buy my car, contract law could make me liable for any mechanical problems with the car that I didn’t warn you about In this case, requiring me to share information is efficient, since it reduces your uncertainty about the value of the car, and therefore gives us a way to trade Which brings us to… The second purpose of contract law is to encourage the efficient disclosure of information within the contractual relationship.
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Next question If a contract is a promise…
what should happen when that promise gets broken? could be: I signed a contract with no intention of living up to it but could be: I signed a contract in good faith, intending to keep it… …but circumstances changed, making performance of the contract less desirable, maybe even inefficient! so what should happen to me if I fail to perform?
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Breach
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Breach I’m an airplane builder You and I sign a contract
You agree to pay me $350,000 I agree to build you an airplane You value the plane at $500,000; I expect building it to cost $250,000 Lots of things could happen… Price of materials could go up, increasing my costs to $700,000… …making it inefficient for me to build you a plane Costs could increase to $400,000… …so it’s still efficient for me to build you the plane, but I no longer want to Another buyer could arrive and offer me $600,000 for the plane I could break my arm, making it impossible for me to build the plane These are all reasons why I might want, or need, to back out of my promise There are also things that could happen that might make you want to back out You might lose an eye and be unable to fly without depth perception You might find another seller who can build a plane more cheaply, or a nicer plane And so on
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Breach A contract is a promise
Breach of contract is when promisor fails to keep promise To make a promise legally binding, there has to be some consequence when it is broken So, what should happen when a contract is breached? If penalty is too small, contract law has no bite If penalty is too large, promises might get kept even when that becomes inefficient Can we design the law to get breach of contract only when it’s efficient to breach? Suppose I’m an artist, and I’m working on a painting It’s still a couple of weeks away from completion, but you’ve seen my work before, and you like my theme, and you know that when I’m done, you’ll value my painting at $1,000 There are other buyers out there who might value it similarly, so you don’t want to wait until it’s done to buy it But I’m happy to sell it to you, and we agree on a price of $600 But now, as I’m finishing the painting, my crazy cousin comes to visit He sees my painting, and loves it, and thinks the colors would go perfectly in his beach house, and offers me $5,000 for it Clearly, he values the painting much more highly than you do Efficiency would require that he get it But I’ve already committed to sell the painting to you. And if the penalty for breach is very severe, I’ll keep that promise, and my cousin won’t get the painting
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When is breach of contract efficient?
Efficiency: > Social benefit of breach Social cost of breach Efficient to Breach < Social benefit of breach Social cost of breach Efficient to Perform Social benefit of breach: promisor saves cost of performing Social cost of breach: promisee loses benefit from promise Like anything, breach is efficient when its social benefit is greater than its social cost
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When is breach of contract efficient?
Efficiency: > Promisor’s cost to perform Promisee’s benefit from performance Efficient to Breach < Promisor’s cost to perform Promisee’s benefit from performance Efficient to Perform Social benefit of breach: promisor saves cost of performing Social cost of breach: promisee loses benefit from promise
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How do we expect promisors to behave?
Efficiency: > Promisor’s cost to perform Promisee’s benefit from performance Efficient to Breach < Promisor’s cost to perform Promisee’s benefit from performance Efficient to Perform What will actually happen (incentives of promisor): Like any decisionmaker, we expect the promisor to consider his private cost and private benefit when deciding what to do > Promisor’s cost to perform Promisor’s liability from breach Promisor will Breach < Promisor’s cost to perform Promisor’s liability from breach Promisor will Perform
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Can we design the law to get only efficient breach of contract?
Efficiency: > Promisor’s cost to perform Promisee’s benefit from performance Efficient to Breach < Promisor’s cost to perform Promisee’s benefit from performance Efficient to Perform What will actually happen (incentives of promisor): Promisor’s cost to perform Promisor’s liability from breach Promisor will Breach > < Promisor’s cost to perform Promisor’s liability from breach Promisor will Perform
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Can we design the law to get only efficient breach of contract?
> Promisor’s cost to perform Promisee’s benefit from performance Efficient to Breach Promisor’s cost to perform Promisor’s liability from breach Promisor will Breach > If we set liability from breach = promisee’s benefit from performance, promisor will breach exactly when it’s efficient When a promisor breaches a contract, he should owe a penalty exactly equal to the benefit the promisee expected to receive This is expectation damages Expectation damages: if I promise you something that has value of $100 to you, and then I break my promise, I owe you $100 This way, if it costs me more than $100 to keep my promise, I’ll break it, which is efficient if it costs me less than $100 to keep my promise, I’ll keep it, which is efficient
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Back to airplane example
Plane worth $500,000 to you, agree to price of $350,000, my cost of building the plane changes Expectation damages: I owe you $150,000 if I fail to deliver the plane Whenever cost is less than $500,000… I’m better off keeping my promise And it’s efficient for me to build you the plane Whenever cost is above $500,000 I’m better off breaking my promise and paying damages And it’s efficient for me to break my promise
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Another way to think about expectation damages: eliminating an externality
If I breach contract, I impose externality on you You expected payoff of $150,000 if I performed… …so if I breach, you’re $150,000 worse off If I have to pay you $150,000 if I breach, then I internalize the externality Now my action no longer affects your payoff (You get the same surplus of $150,000, whether or not I build the plane.) No more externality I choose efficiently when deciding whether to perform or breach
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What would happen under other remedies?
Plane worth $500,000 to you, agree to price of $350,000, my cost of building the plane changes No penalty If costs rise to $400,000, I’ll choose to breach… …but performance would be efficient Penalty for breach is $1,000,000 If costs rise to $700,000, I’ll choose to perform… …but breach would be efficient
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Of course, with low TC, we could always negotiate around an inefficient rule (Coase)
Plane worth $500,000 to you, agree to price of $350,000, my cost of building the plane changes No penalty If costs rise to $400,000, I would want to breach… …but we could renegotiate a different price Penalty for breach is $1,000,000 If costs rise to $700,000, I would have to perform… …but we could negotiate a “buy-out” price Only expectation damages guarantee efficient breach/ performance even without renegotiation But if we knew this was a possibility – that I could breach our contract without penalty, and get you to negotiate a new, higher price… …then even if my costs didn’t really go up, I might be tempted to lie, and claim that they had, to force you to pay more And on the other hand, if the penalty for breach is too severe… …you might charge me a lot of money to get out of performing when my costs go up a lot… …which means I might be more hesitant to agree to the initial contract
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Another reason the remedy for breach matters: investment in performance
Many things promisors can do to reduce likelihood they will have to breach a contract If promisor agreed to build a house, he can… Buy materials ahead of time and store them in a warehouse Spend more time lobbying (or bribing!) local government to ensure he can get required permits Pay his assistant well, so he’s less likely to quit Some of these things may be hard to observe/verify, so impossible to build them into the contract itself
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Another reason the remedy for breach matters: investment in performance
Expectation damages (and only expectation damages) will lead to efficient level of these investments If promisor internalizes the cost of breach… …then he receives the full benefit of these investments, along with paying their full cost, so to minimize private cost, he chooses efficient level If penalty for breach is less than expectation damages… Breach still imposes negative externality, so investments in performance impose positive externality on promisee… …so promisor will invest less than efficient amount Similarly, if penalty for breach was more than expectation damages, the promisor would choose more than the efficient level of investment
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So now we’ve seen three things contract law can accomplish…
1. Facilitate non-simultaneous trade when trust is required Turn games with inefficient equilibrium into games with efficient equilibrium 2. Encourage efficient disclosure of information 3. Secure efficient level of breach, and efficient level of investment in performance Via expectation damages Next a fourth…
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Reliance
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Reliance You expect an airplane to arrive in spring – you might…
Sign up for flying lessons Build yourself a hangar Buy a helmet and goggles Reliance – investments which depend on performance Reliance increases the value of performance to promisee Reliance increases the social cost of breach Another aim of contract law is to secure optimal level of reliance I’m an airplane builder You come to me in the fall and order an airplane, which I will build over the winter and deliver in the spring Now that you’re expecting an airplane in the spring, there are a bunch of things you might do You might sign up for flying lessons You might build yourself a hangar – an airplane garage – so your plane doesn’t get rained on after I deliver it You might buy an awesome leather helmet and aviator goggles, so you can look like this guy Similarly, the farmer who has mailed in a check for $25 for a sure means to kill grasshoppers might plant more crops, since he’s no longer worried about the risk of grasshopper damage Similarly, the nephew whose uncle promised him a trip around the world might go out and buy a backpack, or a linen suit to wear in the tropics These are all examples of reliance – investments whose value depend on performance of the promise (An airplane hangar is very valuable if you end up with an airplane, and worthless otherwise) Or to put it another way, reliance is any investment which increases the value of performance to the promisee (An airplane is more valuable if you already have a hangar) Is reliance a good thing? well, in some cases, it may be cheaper to make these investments ahead of time if you wait to build a hangar until I deliver your airplane, the plane might get damaged in a hailstorm before the hangar is complete if the nephew waits to buy a backpack until his uncle sends him plane tickets, he might miss a big sale On the other hand, we know that the promisor may not always perform (and that this may be OK) So reliance investments are not a sure thing – if I fail to keep my promise, your investment in reliance is lost Or, since reliance increases the value of performance, it also increases the social cost of breach – you’ve built a hangar for nothing, or you resell the helmet and goggles at a loss And this brings us to: The fourth purpose of contract law is to secure optimal reliance.
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When is reliance efficient?
When social benefit of reliance > social cost of reliance Social benefit: increased benefit to promisee (Value of airplane + hangar) – (Value of airplane without hangar) Value is only realized if the promise is performed Social cost: direct cost borne by promisee Cost occurs whether or not promise is performed Reliance is efficient whenever (True of both discrete choices – whether or not to build a hangar – and also on the margin, for continuous choices) Increase in value of performance Probability of performance Cost of investment X >
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How should reliance figure into damages?
Expectation damages = expected benefit from performance If your reliance investment increases your anticipated benefit… should it increase the damages I owe you if I breach? Can we design damages to get efficient reliance, in addition to efficient breach?
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Reliance and damages: example
Price of plane = $350,000 Value of plane = $500,000 Cost of hangar = $75,000 Value of plane + hangar = $600,000 Reliance and damages: example You’re buying an airplane from me Price is $350,000, to be paid on delivery Airplane alone gives you benefit of $500,000 Building a hangar costs $75,000 Airplane with hangar gives you benefit of $600,000 Without hangar, expectation damages = $150,000 If you build a hangar and I fail to deliver plane, do I owe… $150,000? (Value of original promise) $250,000? (Value of performance after your investment) $225,000? (Value of original promise, plus reimburse you for investment you made) Some other amount?
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To get efficient breach…
Price of plane = $350,000 Value of plane = $500,000 Cost of hangar = $75,000 Value of plane + hangar = $600,000 To get efficient breach… The only way to guarantee efficient breach is if damages included the added benefit from reliance Once you’ve made investment, you anticipate benefit of $250,000 from performance If damages are anything less than that, I’ll breach too often (If damages exclude the added benefit, then I’m back to imposing an externality when I choose to breach the contract) So what happens to the incentive for reliance investments if damages will increase to include this added benefit?
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If exp damages include benefit from reliance…
Price of plane = $350,000 Value of plane = $500,000 Cost of hangar = $75,000 Value of plane + hangar = $600,000 If exp damages include benefit from reliance… If you don’t build hangar, your payoff will be… $150,000 if I deliver the plane ($500,000 – $350,000) $150,000 if I breach and pay expectation damages If you build hangar, your payoff will be… $175,000 if I deliver the plane ($600,000 – $350,000 – $75,000) $175,000 if I breach and pay (higher) expectation damages So if expectation damages include the increased value of performance due to reliance investments… You’ll invest whenever (increase in benefit) > (cost) In this case, you’ll invest (because $100,000 > $75,000)
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If exp damages include benefit from reliance…
Price of plane = $350,000 Value of plane = $500,000 Cost of hangar = $75,000 Value of plane + hangar = $600,000 If exp damages include benefit from reliance… If expectation damages include increased value of performance, you’ll invest for sure Is this efficient? Reliance is efficient if (increase in benefit) X (probability of performance) > (cost) $100,000 X (probability of performance) > $75,000 Only efficient if probability of performance > ¾ If probability of performance < ¾, reliance is inefficient, but happens anyway Overreliance!
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X + X > X > Overreliance
If reliance investments increase the damages you’ll receive in the event of breach, you’ll over-rely You’ll rely if Efficient to rely if So if damages increase when you make reliance investments, we’re sure to get overreliance! (Your investment imposes an externality on me) Increase in benefit X Prob. of perform. + Increase in damages X Prob. of breach > Cost of investment Increase in benefit X Prob. of perform. > Cost of investment
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Better example: Continuous reliance
Price of plane = $350,000 Cost: either $250,000 or $1,000,000 Value of plane + $x hangar = $500, Öx Better example: Continuous reliance Additional value of plane Designer hangar with Starbucks - $480,000 Functional heating - $240,000 Metal poles, rigid roof - $120,000 Plywood frame, canvas roof - $60,000 Tarp and rope - $6,000 benefit Investment in hangar $100 $10,000 $40,000 $160,000 $640,000
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Three questions Let p be probability of breach Three questions
Price of plane = $350,000 Cost: either $250,000 or $1,000,000 Value of plane + $x hangar = $500, Öx Three questions Let p be probability of breach Three questions What is the efficient level of reliance? What will promisee do if expectation damages include anticipated benefit from reliance? What will promisee do if expectation damages exclude anticipated benefit from reliance?
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Three questions Let p be probability of breach Three questions
Price of plane = $350,000 Cost: either $250,000 or $1,000,000 Value of plane + $x hangar = $500, Öx Three questions Let p be probability of breach Three questions What is the efficient level of reliance? x = $90,000 (1 – p)2 What will promisee do if expectation damages include anticipated benefit from reliance? x = $90,000 What will promisee do if expectation damages exclude anticipated benefit from reliance? Total social gain when costs stay low: 500, sqrt(x) – 250,000 – x Total social gain when costs go up: – x If probability costs rise is p, expected total social gain is (1-p) (250, sqrt(x) – x) + p (-x) 250,000 (1-p) (1-p) sqrt(x) – x Choose x to maximize this: derivative is 600 (1-p) /(2sqrt(x)) – 1 = 0 x = 90,000 (1 – p)2 x = 90,000 (1 – p)2 is the efficient level of reliance When expectation damages include anticipated benefit, private gain to promisee when costs stay low: 500, sqrt(x) – 350,000 – x = 150, sqrt(x) – x Private gain to promisee when costs go up: 150, sqrt(x) – x Expected private gain to promisee is 150, sqrt(x) – x Choose x to maximize this: derivative is 600/(2 sqrt(x)) – 1 = 0 -> x = 90,000 So promisee would invest x = $90,000 in reliance When expectation damages exclude anticipated benefit, Private gain to promisee when costs stay low: 500, sqrt(x) – 350,000 – x = 150, sqrt(x) – x Private gain to promisee when costs go up: 150,000 – x Expected private gain to promisee is 150,000 + (1 – p) 600 sqrt(x) – x Choose x to maximize this: derivative is 600 (1 – p)/(2sqrt(x)) – 1 = 0 x = 90,000 (1 – p)2 So promisee would invest x = $90,000 (1-p)2 in reliance
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Reliance and breach Just showed: if damages include added benefit from reliance, promisee will invest more than efficient amount But if damages exclude added benefit… Then promisor’s liability < promisee’s benefit from performance Which means: promisor will breach more often than efficient And promisor will underinvest in performance “Paradox of compensation” Single “price” (damages owed) sets multiple incentives… …impossible to set them all efficiently! (When we get to tort law – that is, rules covering liability for accidents – we’ll see this same problem One price – how much I owe you if I hit you with my car – will create incentives for me (how fast to drive), and for you (how carefully to look when crossing the street) And it’s hard to set both incentives efficiently In tort law, we’ll see, there is a trick we can use)
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So what do we do? Cooter and Ulen: include only efficient reliance
Perfect expectation damages: restore promisee to level of well-being he would have gotten from performance if he had relied the efficient amount So promisee rewarded for efficient reliance, not for overreliance So how do we fix this? Cooter and Ulen adjust their definition of expectation damages in the following way: Perfect expectation damages restore the promisee to the level of well-being he would have had, had the promise been kept, and had he relied the optimal amount (This is why they attach the word “perfect” to expectation damages) Thus, the promisee is rewarded for efficient reliance this increases his payoff from performance of the promise, and also increases his payoff from breach, since it increases the amount of damages he receives But the promisee is not rewarded for excessive reliance – overreliance damages are limited to the benefit he would have received given the optimal level of reliance. It’s a nice idea, but it seems like it would be very hard in general for a court to determine after the fact what the optimal level of reliance was (It might also be hard for the promisee to know this, since he may not know the probability of breach.)
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So what do we do? Cooter and Ulen: include only efficient reliance
Perfect expectation damages: restore promisee to level of well-being he would have gotten from performance if he had relied the efficient amount So promisee rewarded for efficient reliance, not for overreliance Actual courts: include only foreseeable reliance That is, if promisor could reasonably expect promisee to rely that much What is actually done in practice? The usual rule is that liability is limited to the level of reliance that is foreseeable. Reliance is foreseeable if the promisor could reasonably expect the promisee to rely that much under the circumstances Reliance is unforeseeable if it would not be reasonably expected American and British law tend to define overreliance as unforeseeable, and therefore noncompensable. An example of unforeseeable reliance telegraph company fails to transmit a stockbroker’s message, resulting in millions of dollars in losses the telegraph company could not reasonably expect the stockbroker to rely that heavily on one message so the telegraph company would not be liable for the full extent of the losses Another example: the rich uncle’s nephew, when he was promised a trip around the world, goes out and buys “a white silk suit for the tropics and matching diamond belt buckle”. After the uncle refuses to pay for the trip, the nephew sells the suit and belt buckle at a loss, and sues his uncle for the difference The court might find the silk suit foreseeable reliance, but the diamond belt buckle unforeseeable, and only award him the loss on the suit. (The book points out that “in American law, gift promises are usually enforceable to the extent of reasonable reliance.”)
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